[SPEAKER_00]: What is up everyone?
[SPEAKER_00]: Welcome back to another edition of the She-In-Show with me Sean She-In here on Shardog.com.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I am back on my top five bets.
[SPEAKER_00]: For the week in the world of mixed martial arts and it's the MMA fans Deloitte this weekend because on Friday we have PFL on on Saturday.
[SPEAKER_00]: We have the UFC and that's how people like it.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think especially for the better's out there, you know, we get to make or lose when we're on Friday and then see what we have.
[SPEAKER_00]: see what we have left over for for Saturday night and honestly it's it's two those nights where there's no big title fight there's no big number one can didn't fight you could argue maybe a couple of them could be close but man you know but just some good solid fights and a few good like move in fights as well in un-bored carrots so yeah
[SPEAKER_00]: Can't complain about it, can't complain about it too much and we'll see if we can make some money from it.
[SPEAKER_00]: Last week, we didn't make a whole pile of money.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll be honest.
[SPEAKER_00]: We had one fight that didn't happen.
[SPEAKER_00]: And it's happened in this week, so I'm gonna make it one of my best of this week.
[SPEAKER_00]: So I want to tell you about that for a second.
[SPEAKER_00]: No spiders here, but obviously that didn't happen.
[SPEAKER_00]: We kind of had two, two terrible, terrible, terrible flyers last week.
[SPEAKER_00]: Both of them got destroyed.
[SPEAKER_00]: Open only an archie call again.
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, listen about them the better.
[SPEAKER_00]: We'll flurry as one of our best very unlucky, like that he could have got a savage.
[SPEAKER_00]: 19 seconds earlier at the end of the first round.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think almost everyone agrees that it was a bad star in the end.
[SPEAKER_00]: Although, you know, from that point, would he have won anywhere?
[SPEAKER_00]: It would have been very, very tough.
[SPEAKER_00]: But again, I definitely think it was a bad star for Genet 1.
[SPEAKER_00]: So I feel, I feel lucky because of the star for Genet 1, but I don't know, from that point out, if I would have gone anywhere, so we'll look, we'll take the last one out.
[SPEAKER_00]: And then we got, we did get 1 win.
[SPEAKER_00]: We get,
[SPEAKER_00]: D.D.
[SPEAKER_00]: analysis and that one was was pretty down the middle and pretty good.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think like the will surely want to do the back and forth.
[SPEAKER_00]: The open and actually ones I just thought they were good prices and I gave them the outside chance of being good at those prices.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think all been actually a short, not twice, for the first few seconds, Hoi and I thought so, like he hit Oliver, like no one was probably hit him before.
[SPEAKER_00]: He went to, you know, if he could have taken him down, he probably would have been Oliver just really really good.
[SPEAKER_00]: just got midminsed me to really an unfarcing me for him.
[SPEAKER_00]: So bad week last week, um, after not a bad week, week before after we hit in the, um, hit in the flyer, I am very, very, very, very confident to my flyer this week.
[SPEAKER_00]: Not as confident as a walker one this is early.
[SPEAKER_00]: But getting there, I think I'm Brazilians submissions are my five goto flyers though this week, but we'll get to that in a second overall, 63 from 120 tree, you know, a few weeks or that was a last better, it's kind of come down a little bit and we have hit four flyers, I was hoping for 10 this year, I don't think that's gonna happen, but maybe if we get to five this week, maybe we go on a run, but okay, let's get to it, better number one of this week.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to start with the PFL, give you two bets from the PFL, two bets from the OC and the flyer as well, then at the end.
[SPEAKER_00]: I gave it to you last week.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to give it to you again, double the ash and more and more of the price in this one.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm just looking here.
[SPEAKER_00]: There's a couple of different places.
[SPEAKER_00]: He is around minus 150, there's one much lower, but I do not want to necessarily trust it.
[SPEAKER_00]: And then there's ones around.
[SPEAKER_00]: Some have a minus 180, some have a minus 160.
[SPEAKER_00]: The money is $1.50 and the best price you'll get at the moment is definitely real, so I'll throw that out at you here.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's fighting Simeon Powell.
[SPEAKER_00]: We've rocked down last week, so I won't break it down.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll hold out here for you.
[SPEAKER_00]: The only thing I would say is because so this fight was supposed to take place on the New York PFL card.
[SPEAKER_00]: And we know, no, do you knock?
[SPEAKER_00]: The New York Commission can be a bit.
[SPEAKER_00]: uh... finicky uh... is is the word i would uh... i would probably use uh... like there was rumors of someone who had like a medical uh... uh... you know a scoper and uh... you know uh... some sort of surgery in the last six months and they wouldn't let them uh... compete because of that uh... no i don't know whether that's exactly the whole the whole true uh... are not but
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, it's one of those things.
[SPEAKER_00]: If it's not a major thing in six months, someone could easily get back in and participate in our sport.
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think, you know, I think there'll be all right to compete this week, which everyone of them was.
[SPEAKER_00]: But my main takeaway is whenever something like that happens, there's two things I look at right, one, the way it.
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, you've co-ed a week ago.
[SPEAKER_00]: You're going to have to co-ed again here to make the way that who does that benefit.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it probably benefits Yashimura enough.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's only five for 11.
[SPEAKER_00]: Simian Powell is six for four.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's a big guy as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: I talked about racket chair just a minute ago.
[SPEAKER_00]: Rockets will not have you put not a bit of ways and I remember saying last week.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I could see him doing it I could see see me and Paul gone off David we have put not a bit of air being there.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's a big frame You actually more of you could see him more as maybe a middle west, you know, so I think that's a benefit The actually more of and the other thing is as well the experience for us, right?
[SPEAKER_00]: It's all well and good
[SPEAKER_00]: preparing for a fight getting there, you have this date and suddenly the date has changed.
[SPEAKER_00]: Who's that going to benefit?
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, I think that falls for Yasha Mordov.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's 10 years old, or he has a lot more fights in his game.
[SPEAKER_00]: When is he 35 fights, I believe?
[SPEAKER_00]: Simian Paul only 14 fights into his career, and I suppose yet to win kind of the big one against the top contender, in the division where is Yasha Mordov?
[SPEAKER_00]: has, you know, beaten him because I ain't gonna be in Rob Wilkinson, beaten Tyson Pedrong, and guys like that.
[SPEAKER_00]: So, I do think from that mindset, from being able to turn around quickly and go, okay, we were supposed to go in, let's go again now here, I do think that.
[SPEAKER_00]: benefits the action board of plus and in the fact of last week, I just think the matchup might too, yes, you're more of very few people want to strike on him.
[SPEAKER_00]: Very few people want to strike what's in me and Paul as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I'm going to say that exact sentence last week, but I really like the action board of I think he is a top top fighter and I think he'll win the fight and I still like him at that price.
[SPEAKER_00]: Slightly worse price the last week, but I'll still go for it there
[SPEAKER_00]: My next two bets are going to be the two main events.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going for Brian Battle to win at minus one four five again.
[SPEAKER_00]: There are a few lower prices out there.
[SPEAKER_00]: I see him one place here.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's minus one two five.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's up as far as minus one six five and another place here.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll go on the middle at minus one four five for his fight against Dalton Raster and it's I think it's it's a bit of a risk.
[SPEAKER_00]: But the reason I am going for it is I think
[SPEAKER_00]: The last fight against Johnny Ebeln, which was in March, so it's long enough for go for it to have made a difference and also long enough for it to not negatively infect him in terms of the way the fight went now, it was a submission defeat and it only lasted four minutes, so I wasn't as if he's, you know, he took a lot of damage running that will still be affecting him what is it, five, six months later.
[SPEAKER_00]: But
[SPEAKER_00]: I think sometimes, and I've seen it before, you know, maybe smaller organizations or even years ago, see, that's a, someone like Shamil's during the UFC and then they went to CageWars.
[SPEAKER_00]: And it felt like, you know, they, he went in there again.
[SPEAKER_00]: I remember it was Carl Binder.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was actually at that fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: And he lost him.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I remember thinking like Shamil's went on a bit of a run, not maybe directly after I put a whole after, remember thinking like,
[SPEAKER_00]: it's it's real outside of you as well and I think sometimes that's have to be reminded of that and I think that was the reminder for Brian Battle and this one.
[SPEAKER_00]: He is a good fighter.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think most people lot of Brian Battle is a very, very good fighter.
[SPEAKER_00]: He can submit you know, he can you know, he can beat you on the feed, he can take you down.
[SPEAKER_00]: Like AP Randy Brown in the last UFC fight, okay, it was a year and a half or whatever it was right now, but still, that's a really, really good win.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think, look, if he can beat Randy Brown, I think he would all just expect he can beat Daltarasta.
[SPEAKER_00]: Rost is a good fighter, I've always liked Rost and, you know, he nearly had him because saying, and I ordered our last time until him because saying, and I got him, that might be the issue again against the guy like Brian Butler, who was, you know, to excuse the point here, but battle tested.
[SPEAKER_00]: The one here would say about racés though like
[SPEAKER_00]: Yes, I'm some really good wins.
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, he lost our injury, but then beat him the next time out beat Norbert in the vineyard junior who will see in a few weeks and dinner where he continues to show who to me is one of the top prospects in the world.
[SPEAKER_00]: And you know, I mentioned Will Florey earlier and that was after an arm and the vineyard hit beat in Will Florey.
[SPEAKER_00]: So like Norbert's no longer for him to win that fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I was an arguable decision as I think a few of Dalda Rasa's fights have been, but I just I feel like Brian
[SPEAKER_00]: if he can stop Ross, they're kind of getting on top of him, you know, figuratively and literally, I'm kind of...
[SPEAKER_00]: get this fight into the latter half of the foreshown into the second round into the third round.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think a battle can kind of pick his shot again, pick his battles.
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't get dragged in by Rasta into the fight that he wants, and I think I think he can.
[SPEAKER_00]: I, I, I fail for a Bryan battle in that fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: But you know, you never, you never know what board these guys to be honest, but I, I'm going to side a, uh, Bryan battle in that one.
[SPEAKER_00]: just quickly elsewhere on under the PFL card.
[SPEAKER_00]: I kind of like Joshua Silver is under like he was really impressive in his last fight plus one four five but you know aren't there freeze at the top out as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's minus two hundredish so I didn't really want to give that big of a price.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was impressed with the Laura Dana before her previous fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: She's also a big price but you know Cheyenne Bowers looks a good fighter.
[SPEAKER_00]: She's a minus 350 each favor there.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was going to do a double of Moldowski and Lewis McGridlin, and I was going to do a treble of Moldowski Lewis McGridlin and then a skull south, which I think I haven't looked up actually since yesterday.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it was about even money.
[SPEAKER_00]: So those are the guys I would, I would have favored her, also like Maxwell Nana.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's not a bad price around minus one-farty-ish over there, so if you want to check
[SPEAKER_00]: Right, over to the UFC, I promise you, bed from the main event, I'm going for the under 3 and a half rounds in Gamera versus Salcillet at minus 1 or 8.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's, I think that's the best bed on this fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was looking through a Gamera is around the plus 120 Salcillet is around the minus 1,
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think one of these guys will get heavily on top early is my prediction.
[SPEAKER_00]: Now how early?
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I was looking at an under around and a half is plus 250.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was looking at under two and a half rounds is plus one, forty, three.
[SPEAKER_00]: Those I don't think are bad bad seeded because I've I'd do
[SPEAKER_00]: Do feel like someone's gonna get heavily on top here, either.
[SPEAKER_00]: I've not seen this knock on to be like an even back and forth fight over five rounds.
[SPEAKER_00]: Like the fight not to go to the decision at minus one eight six.
[SPEAKER_00]: I actually don't think that's a bad betty.
[SPEAKER_00]: They're like the fight to go to a decision at plus one four six.
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't like that at all.
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I think.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think in the last fight, I've done a preview.
[SPEAKER_00]: If you haven't seen my UFC preview, I'm doing, you know, a shock to preview, and the lads used to do, it's similar to my, my PFL preview, picked out to have two fights and a couple underneath that as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: But, like, South Kills last fight against Beneel, they're usual, okay, he wouldn't inspect after a fashion in the end.
[SPEAKER_00]: But, or until the finish,
[SPEAKER_00]: Darious can fit like he took him down, he knocked him down, he, you know, had big, big issues with him.
[SPEAKER_00]: And Gamma is a much better racer, or maybe not necessarily grappled by Darious from the fight gets his ground is fantastic, but I think Gamma is much better than I do again, therefore, and he lost that fight, but I think the point stands, if he can put Salgil into that sort of area, I think he can...
[SPEAKER_00]: I think you can drag Salkil into a world that he has never been in before.
[SPEAKER_00]: But also, if you can't do that, if you can't take him down, Salkil is killer.
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, text, use the bone on the feet.
[SPEAKER_00]: Really, really, really good.
[SPEAKER_00]: So, I either think one of them will get, and in Gamera, we'll get highly on top with the wrestling.
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, I think the foil says standing and Salkil will will kill.
[SPEAKER_00]: So, I love
[SPEAKER_00]: The next one I'm going to go for is my first price bet of the nice, I'm going for Billy Quarantillo a plus 150 and there's only kind of one reason I'm going for this to be honest because the last time Diego Ferreira fought, which was just under a year ago against Alexander Hernandez.
[SPEAKER_00]: I remember saying to myself after that,
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think Diego Federer is there anymore.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm like, I kind of have hope and he'll retire, because I like Diego Federer and of lies.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's been around for an half a long time.
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, he's 41 years of age.
[SPEAKER_00]: He made his UFC debut in 2014, 12 years ago.
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, this guy was such a good fighter and he was in such a good division that he didn't get what he deserved.
[SPEAKER_00]: and like he was never a guy who lost in the way he lost Alex and her and then it's like he's okay he's got to finish by some really good guys you know like like material scammer out and you know and do some pory and people like that but
[SPEAKER_00]: I think Alex and her and his wouldn't have been on his level a few years ago, and you probably would have said the same with all your respect to Billy Quarrantillo But I feel like Billy's the type of guy who will turn this in to A brawl and again a few years ago if I had said that again stegofrera I would know 100% be picking Diego Federer.
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe we're in a foreshadow knockout.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm just not sure Diego has it anymore
[SPEAKER_00]: Now Billy stals 37 maybe he doesn't like this match against his kind of good, but I think Billy is a lot less, a lot more likely rest, you know, he's less rest, less, you know, the ticks on the clock, then Dindiego Freira, it's also been two years since his nachos, to Cobb Swanson,
[SPEAKER_00]: But I just feel like Billy my push the pace and this one and end up getting the way in a plus one 50 and I think it's probably a pick and fight at this stage of careers again few years about definitely not but I'm going for that.
[SPEAKER_00]: And then for the flared week, I love this flared week to be honest, I'm going for Alexia Tainara to invite Submission, a plus 410 against the Mandalemus, a big, big fan of this spell, come back watching lots of Tainara for it, she's really good on the ground, she's 14 wins, no knockouts, it's Submissions, I actually fancy her to get maybe an Amber or a rear naked chock,
[SPEAKER_00]: She obviously, in our DOC debut, Rere Neckichoke, my name is Canada, the first round, okay, she's gone to two decisions since then, but outside of the DOC, she got many, many, many submissions.
[SPEAKER_00]: Amanda Lemus, she's been submitted twice.
[SPEAKER_00]: uh... in our career in fact she got armbar and we're gonna get over back in twenty twenty four i think she's susceptible to the takedown the problem for tineries kind of getting people to the ground but when she can get them to the ground i think she's deadly there i think she will be able to get lemaus to the ground if she can't like lemaus is very dangerous on the feet make no mistake about that she she hits very very hard but i fancy tineries to get this flight to the ground and that plus four-hand price it reminds me of all the walker from a few weeks ago now you know not as clear as that but it was
[SPEAKER_00]: these is better the year, not out about it.
[SPEAKER_00]: But I really, really, really, really like this bet like if you look at the prices.
[SPEAKER_00]: She's a big forever.
[SPEAKER_00]: She's a plus two or sorry, a minus 250 favorite.
[SPEAKER_00]: Lemos is over plus 200.
[SPEAKER_00]: Tynarovic emission plus 410.
[SPEAKER_00]: Right, just to recap those five bits.
[SPEAKER_00]: Yes, you're more of minus 150, battle minus 1, 4, 5, the older.
[SPEAKER_00]: 3 and a half rounds, minus 1, 08, and the main event of the UFC Billy Quartillo plus 150.
[SPEAKER_00]: And Tynarovic emission plus 410.
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, everyone.
[SPEAKER_00]: Thank you very much for tuning in.
[SPEAKER_00]: Please bet responsibly.