[SPEAKER_00]: what's up everyone welcome back to another edition of the she and show me Sean she in here on shardaga dot com and today i am back with my top five bets for the week in the world of mixed martial arts as ufc tree turkey comes the tone and um
[SPEAKER_00]: Joe what it's, this is a bit of a weird character because the main event bringing fight, I think a lot of people would acknowledge that.
[SPEAKER_00]: The common event as a title fight in the end, that's the best title fight in the world, but I actually think it's a good matchup and a good fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: The layout of the rest of the card is very weird, but there's actually some fun fights too.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was talking to Luke the other day, we did a preview, but I was doing another preview after and I'm talking about a coming in here like cheating in Jekwani, Joe Alvers, pretty good fight, Jail and Turner and Kaiya Fernandez.
[SPEAKER_00]: That's not a bad fight, and also I like Jeremiah Wells, or LB, and I think Magniver's bringing my kind of make sense as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, not amazing, but like I do think there is probably a good man card in there.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's just really good to roll the whole card, which is.
[SPEAKER_00]: the UFC in 2020, it's really isn't it?
[SPEAKER_00]: Before we get to that though, let's look back at last week and go over our bets.
[SPEAKER_00]: It was a bit of a middle and week last week.
[SPEAKER_00]: We had the Ashim World off who didn't hit, he lost that.
[SPEAKER_00]: We had Brian Matlow who did it.
[SPEAKER_00]: not the greatest fight in the world to be honest we had the under best better week by far minus one away uh that was Gamera, Salqild, Undertree and Harron's, but he corned he loved didn't win unfortunately and our flyer didn't hit with Titanara either but we uh we've been new week we're back we got two out of for last week we fit 65 bets overall 30 year out of uh 127 I believe it is I actually haven't written down that update the number yet I haven't been doing school and I'll do that for next week.
[SPEAKER_00]: But yeah, not too bad, and hopefully this week, we will get on a little bit better.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll be honest, I've gone for a few bigger prices this week, because I feel like the pay-per-views, the big cards, let's try it again, let's try a little bit of money out of us, and let's see if we can do it here.
[SPEAKER_00]: So, bed number one, I'm going for the main event here.
[SPEAKER_00]: and I am going.
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously I had two beds for the man event right and one was going to be a flyer, but this one is just going to be a straight up But I think over Islam versus Gary to go to a decision at minus one five two I think this fight is going long.
[SPEAKER_00]: I really do I would be I would be very surprised if it didn't go very long.
[SPEAKER_00]: They're both guys that Look they've worked out and finishes and both have have a good record of finishes, but they also
[SPEAKER_00]: board of gun to decision, you know plenty of times and he's last fight up at Welterweight isn't a passion of struggle to finish jet elementally and obviously and you know there wasn't even that much of a size difference there.
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think Welterweight will be tougher for him to finish fights like he had finished his tree before that against against the right way.
[SPEAKER_00]: It was funny it was a fed away decision before that where you know the fight for it and even where he went to a decision.
[SPEAKER_00]: But
[SPEAKER_00]: you know he has 10 decisions in his career in Gary has also 10 decisions in his career one is 10 and all obviously and one is nine and one so that's you know that's pretty good like Gary is going to decision in his last what is six fights in a row so I eat
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I might have I might have a tad bit of bias here as to picking the winner, but I do like to fight to go along whoever wins Like eating Gary is not going to be an easy out like obviously he's only last once and it was it was Shavka McCash, okay, he has been knocked out once and in fairness, but he's never lost I'll fight outside of that and I think look
[SPEAKER_00]: Who are you picking to win the fight?
[SPEAKER_00]: If you're picking in some hash after win the fight, you're probably picking him to win via wrestling and maybe land in a few straight shots down the middle and he and if the lint advantage isn't enough, are you really picking him to maybe submitting or to knocking out maybe some people are, but I'm certainly not going to pick it in to win.
[SPEAKER_00]: You're probably picking him to kick the leg to use the jab to kind of be perfect throughout the whole fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: Now I know actually what's happened to Luke about that.
[SPEAKER_00]: If you haven't seen the preview of Luke Thomas, I'm sure you have, but if you haven't, please watch that.
[SPEAKER_00]: I asked that question to Luke and I saw a few people in the comments section saying, no, he doesn't need to be perfect and Luke said the same thing.
[SPEAKER_00]: He doesn't need to be perfect and you know what I think that might convince me, but I think he probably needs to be near perfect to get it done and if he is, I think that's going to be a decision.
[SPEAKER_00]: So I really like to fight to go to the decision.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not a bad price there at minus one, five, two.
[SPEAKER_00]: So that is my best for the main event.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll show my other one.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'll say to you.
[SPEAKER_00]: My flyer to week was going to be in Gary-Vide decision at minus, sorry, at plus 410.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's a savage price, that's to be honest.
[SPEAKER_00]: Plus 410, that I think if he does win the fight, he's going to win it via the decision.
[SPEAKER_00]: And the straighter price, let me just look here, is the best price you'll get in the money where it's plus 270.
[SPEAKER_00]: So, I think he's going to win the decision if he does win.
[SPEAKER_00]: You're getting an extra, what is the plus one, Farky there?
[SPEAKER_00]: for free basically no again if you lose if you're not in for free but I think that's I think that's a good bet so let's go with that one okay bet number two
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going for Joel Alvarez to get the submission at plus one nine five.
[SPEAKER_00]: Now I told you that I didn't give any, I didn't give any bigger prices this week, but I think Joel Alvarez is one of those guys that, you know, you often see a guy who is
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, who is looking for the submission for a long time, getting submissions for a long time, and then starts getting knockouts are the other way around.
[SPEAKER_00]: They're looking for knockouts, and then they get submissions, when they have like a good record of getting bored of them.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think Joel Alvers is at the point now, where he is kind of, he was on his knockout face there for a while.
[SPEAKER_00]: He won two fights for a knockout and raw a winner, and closer, obviously we did a decision when Luke had a last to Amazon, and he was convinced to Amazon.
[SPEAKER_00]: But I feel like he's gonna revert now back to the submission game.
[SPEAKER_00]: Because of this match up as well, he's fighting Chidi and Jekawani, who obviously is a really good striker.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's 15 knuckles and one submission win in his career.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's last four times via submission as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: If you look at Joel Alvarez, he's won 17 times via submission in his 23 fights.
[SPEAKER_00]: And you're giving me plus 195 on him to win via submission.
[SPEAKER_00]: In a fight where I'm just checking it here, he is a minus 300 favorite in this fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: I kind of really like this, like, you know, he's submitted matcha Casey, you know, I kind of a wild striker at times as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's, you know, submitted some good, submitted Joseph Duffy, submitted Alexander Vakalev as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I think this is the start of the fight where Joel Alvers, I think he's a very smart fighter, I think he's good with his jab, with his leg kicks, he's very well around the fighter, but I think he will at some stage and his fight say it himself.
[SPEAKER_00]: Why am I taking a chance under free with Gidi Bang Bang in Jekwain in my favorite nickname?
[SPEAKER_00]: Why wouldn't I just take this fight to the ground?
[SPEAKER_00]: I have a superiority there, why would I not just get the submission?
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he will get the submission, I think, I think, I think
[SPEAKER_00]: I was looking at the bit and I didn't know this as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: I might for a bit of a flyer, but I like the tower ground submission for Joel Alver is something like that.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's a thing that could, like he's plus 1200 for a submission in the tower ground.
[SPEAKER_00]: As a flyer's flyer, here I know, but I like Joel Alver's.
[SPEAKER_00]: What did I say?
[SPEAKER_00]: Plus one, nine, five to get the submission.
[SPEAKER_00]: Bat number three, I am going far, is my only shred of better of the week, near Magnet.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going from near Magnet, a plus one, one, eight.
[SPEAKER_00]: Honestly, I like him in this fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: I have never been...
[SPEAKER_00]: a big believer of a regime but he might to be honest, you know, he started three years of age and I last he's asked for it to put in Ali Saryana, that was in February, you know, he's fights before that I watched back to us in Vanderford fight earlier today.
[SPEAKER_00]: He was losing that fight and he got caught in the guillotine or he caught him in the guillotine before that Billy Gaffy saw him last week.
[SPEAKER_00]: not a bad fighter but that was two years ago.
[SPEAKER_00]: I need to ask the chamber Grimbo.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it's proven kind of a buster flush since then.
[SPEAKER_00]: And you know, near my name is a guy who, like, a few of
[SPEAKER_00]: a couple of years ago, I was thinking maybe this is going to be the inform, but didn't he came back and he beats the Lesquita Santas, chocked out Jake Matthews, and again, I said it just a minute ago, Joel Lelversy, last year it's Levamsav, but anyone can lose the year it's Levamsav, I'm not willing to write him off yet, like Neon Magnetomy has always been like a top 25-ish fighter, you know, sometimes maybe top 10, even at one stage, top 15.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think he's probably still around the top 25-ish top turkey.
[SPEAKER_00]: is rising in brachimai?
[SPEAKER_00]: Oh, you don't think so.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think, I mean, he's just going to be kind of quicker to the jab.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think quicker to the lake kick and wind the fight that way.
[SPEAKER_00]: And maybe even a better rest as well, because we saw in the Ascent Vendor fortified.
[SPEAKER_00]: you know, but he might as a kind of a bit slow and Vanifort was able to get in and the steak sounds pretty easily.
[SPEAKER_00]: If he can do it, I think Magnet can do it.
[SPEAKER_00]: No, I think Magnet's issue sometimes is the game planning, but if the game planning is good, I think the, I think the fight is there for him.
[SPEAKER_00]: So Neil Magnet plus 1 1 a at bat number 3 of the week.
[SPEAKER_00]: Ben number four, yeah, other week is going to be a military back RLB to win around 1-1-1-1-1-5.
[SPEAKER_00]: I told you I'm giving you big money bets and I'm giving you big money bets.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm a big fan of Mr Becker RLB, he's fighting Jeremiah Wells RLB, he's still only 28.
[SPEAKER_00]: Well, it's in 19 fights in his career.
[SPEAKER_00]: The only guy he's last in the last.
[SPEAKER_00]: How many?
[SPEAKER_00]: 12 or something like that is my tell us around Becky that was a split decision You know, he's being Chris Carter's Jack Harmanson to feet with Sawyer of Brinner Medich look how good Medich is right now and he he be or has Medich finished him in fact in the second round and
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, he's finally got who's 39 years of age in Jeremiah Wells.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's last win was against Tim Rambo again.
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't want to jump on Tim Rambo not a great fighter.
[SPEAKER_00]: Last to Max Griffin before that last Carlton hours before that.
[SPEAKER_00]: Oral by the massive favor here.
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, he is a finisher.
[SPEAKER_00]: He has many first round finishes two.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's last three fights.
[SPEAKER_00]: Have been via first round.
[SPEAKER_00]: So my bed again, just to remind you, twin and round one plus one nine five.
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, Jeremiah was okay.
[SPEAKER_00]: He hasn't been a guy who's gotten finished all that very much.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think in fact he's only been finished once against Carlsson Harris, but again, at 39 years of age, against looking through his record here, is this the best guy he's ever thought?
[SPEAKER_00]: Yes, I think it is looking through it there.
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think there's anyone even close.
[SPEAKER_00]: This is the best guy he's far by a mile.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think RLB is going to cut him huge problems and I fancy the first round finish.
[SPEAKER_00]: A plus one nine five for RLB there.
[SPEAKER_00]: Right.
[SPEAKER_00]: I feel like a soldier that the show this week.
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know why the flyer.
[SPEAKER_00]: again, we've given you good plus money bets, the fire is not the the the biggest bit no more, but it's plus 320, which is not bad, and it's Jillian Robertson to win via decision.
[SPEAKER_00]: I see again, I really like this best after my chat with Luke.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was kind of on the fence about who to pick to in this fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was probably just about leaning down because I kind of underestimated some times.
[SPEAKER_00]: But in our conversation, I think we both came to the realization together that
[SPEAKER_00]: Horming via decision is probably the likely as Alcomades, considering as Luke pointed out to me, the Kinsey Darn's takedown defense not the best in the world, and in I pointed out that in the last five fights in a row for Jillian Robertson,
[SPEAKER_00]: who you would look at as a submission artist, you know, she's one nine of her 17 fights via submission, or over half, there you go.
[SPEAKER_00]: Madam Alex, agree.
[SPEAKER_00]: She would known of those last five via submission.
[SPEAKER_00]: Isn't that kind of the perfect way to go in the fight against someone like we can see darn where you're attacked on after zero submission artist and that's how you win.
[SPEAKER_00]: But now you've proven that you don't just win that way, you can win via decision or you can win via, you know, usually TKO punches on the ground.
[SPEAKER_00]: I didn't get she can take McKinsey darn down and keep her down.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think she can cut her massive problems.
[SPEAKER_00]: She's not a bad fighter on the feed, either.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it'll probably be relatively even there.
[SPEAKER_00]: In fact, I think Robertson's probably a better technical fighter, McKinsey darn.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's probably a little bit of a better power fighter, but McKinsey darn.
[SPEAKER_00]: The biggest issue, the biggest difference between two of these fighters is, Jimny Robertson almost always turns up and she's at her best.
[SPEAKER_00]: I cannot say the same for McKinsey darn.
[SPEAKER_00]: I really can't.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's a litany of fights in her career where you're looking at her, oh my god McKinsey, come on, just do this, do this, do this, and she doesn't do it, even some fight she's won.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I suppose you do make that
[SPEAKER_00]: assessment of her because she, you know, she is so talented and she came from such a base.
[SPEAKER_00]: I used to always make a similar assessment to Israel at Asagne.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's so good.
[SPEAKER_00]: You are, you almost want him to be better.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the same is from a Kinsey Dern.
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, McKinsey Dern is the champion at the moment, so maybe I'm being a little bit harsh on that one.
[SPEAKER_00]: But I think the point stands if this is a fight where McKinsey Dern doesn't maybe turn off as,
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, as well as she normally can, I think Gillian Robertson is a live live underdog here.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think she can absolutely win.
[SPEAKER_00]: She's plus one at six best prices well to win the fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's a very good bet.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's a bit of a steal, so that wouldn't be a bad bet to go for either.
[SPEAKER_00]: So there you go, I don't think I'll sound the character that I've been looking at.
[SPEAKER_00]: One, I had another bit in it as well, and I can only have five, so I took it out, but I could have more about it.
[SPEAKER_00]: I like a Sivan Riva Vitch to get the knockout against it's a Marboza.
[SPEAKER_00]: That's a Rome minus one, four, three, and the mayor's on price, but that was one I was looking at as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: This Turner and Fernandez fight, they're both very similar
[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, the developers are looking at there is that fight not to go to the decision not a grab price minus 400.
[SPEAKER_00]: I like to under one and a half rounds at minus one one minus one four one ish not a bad price, but uh, that's what I was getting there.
[SPEAKER_00]: The Centelucic illustration or illustration or not a great fighter.
[SPEAKER_00]: It one good performance I think recently, but
[SPEAKER_00]: If it's in Delucas, anywhere near, I think he can win that fight, but I also have a feeling that if it's in Delucas might not be the fighter he wants was, so that's why I avoided that one.
[SPEAKER_00]: But just a recap.
[SPEAKER_00]: Our five bets from the weekend, the main event to go to the decision at minus 1-5-3, plus 1-5-9, Alvarez, submission, plus 1-80, Neil Magney, or LB to win around 1-1-1-5 as well, and then the flyer to week is Janine Robertson to win via the decision at plus 3-20.
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, everyone.
[SPEAKER_00]: Thank you very much for tuning in.
[SPEAKER_00]: Please bet responsibly, my name is Sean Gianne, for sure about dot com.
[SPEAKER_00]: Enjoy the fights and set our night with see you all, next time.