[SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
[SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
[SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
[SPEAKER_00]: 11 straight nights of American air strikes, pounding Iran's coastline.
[SPEAKER_00]: a naval blockade cutting off half a billion dollars a day in oil revenue, Iran's own currency and free fall inflation reportedly over 180 percent.
[SPEAKER_00]: And now President Trump is threatening to hit the one target the regime thought was untouchable.
[SPEAKER_00]: Stick me the very end of this video because I'm going to break down something nobody in the legacy media is explaining why the moves that look chaotic on the surface are
[SPEAKER_00]: That's been building for months and once you see the board, the way Trump sees it, you won't look at this war the same way again.
[SPEAKER_00]: Hey gang, it's me, Donald, just leave your major professor here to help you make sense of the madness with breaking news and analysis.
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[SPEAKER_00]: In the last 24 hours US Central Command has unleashed a firestorm
[SPEAKER_00]: On Iran's coastline, command centers reduced to rubble, missile and drone launch sites obliterated, air defense systems wiped off the map.
[SPEAKER_00]: This new offensive is just degrading what's left of Iran's firepower.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's driving back the ability to project power, mile by mile, until nothing is left standing close enough to threaten the straight.
[SPEAKER_00]: all critical coastal choke points along the Strait of Hormuz.
[SPEAKER_00]: This follows earlier strikes that really set this new phase in motion.
[SPEAKER_00]: A 90-minute wave of precision strikes against Greater Tomb Island, a strategic outpost Iran sees from the UAE back in 1971.
[SPEAKER_00]: hitting coastal defense systems and cruise missile storage and launch sites.
[SPEAKER_00]: And around the same time, we saw perhaps the most insane moment in this conflict.
[SPEAKER_00]: U.S. forces deployed seronic, corsair, unmanned surface vessels in combat for the very first time ever.
[SPEAKER_00]: Striking a submarine and ship maintenance facility at Bonda Robas on Iran's coast.
[SPEAKER_00]: That's not a symbolic hit, that's the U.S. Navy debuting an entirely new class of weapon.
[SPEAKER_00]: literally terminator style weapons against Iran's naval infrastructure never seen before and with devastating effect.
[SPEAKER_00]: And now the key target that military analysts are keeping their eye on is pickaxe mountain.
[SPEAKER_00]: This is the big one.
[SPEAKER_00]: So after Operation Midnight Hammer obliterated Iran's three main nuclear sites, Fordown, Natalms, and Isfahan.
[SPEAKER_00]: Israeli intelligence now believes Iran quietly moved thousands of advanced centrifuges into a granite fortress buried as much as, I mean, we're talking hundreds upon hundreds of feet under a mountain known as pickaxe mountain, just a couple of miles from Natalms.
[SPEAKER_00]: This is their plan B. Iran spent years reinforcing the site specifically because they knew their above ground facilities were vulnerable.
[SPEAKER_00]: And here's why this target is different from anything we've hit so far.
[SPEAKER_00]: Pickaxes tunnels.
[SPEAKER_00]: are estimated to run somewhere between 260 and 330 feet into solid granite, deeper than 4-0, which was already considered the crown jewel of Iran's nuclear program in terms of security.
[SPEAKER_00]: For example, the GPU 57 massive ordinance penetrator, our most powerful bunker buster, is designed to punch through roughly 200 feet of Earth, which leaves the Pentagon staring down three options.
[SPEAKER_00]: 14 ton bunker busters on the exact same spot, one on top of the other and hammered through granite like driving a nail.
[SPEAKER_00]: They could send in commandos on the ground to plant charges by hand and if facility that might be booby trapped.
[SPEAKER_00]: Or they can reach for a weapon nobody in Washington wants to say out loud.
[SPEAKER_00]: We already kind of saw that hitting the coastal with the unmanned ships.
[SPEAKER_00]: That's what we'll be looking for in the hours and days ahead.
[SPEAKER_00]: How are they going to take pickaxe mountain out now?
[SPEAKER_00]: Well, the bombs fall.
[SPEAKER_00]: The other half of this strategy is just as brutal.
[SPEAKER_00]: economic, strangulation.
[SPEAKER_00]: The U.S. enforced naval blockade remains in full force, and it's cutting Iran off from close to half a billion dollars a day in oil revenue.
[SPEAKER_00]: Despite Iran's best efforts to shut the straight down completely, U.S. forces have helped facilitate the transit of roughly 900 commercial vessels
[SPEAKER_00]: and 450 million barrels of crude oil since early May.
[SPEAKER_00]: More than 50,000 American troops remain in theatre to keep that flow moving, and every barrel that gets diverted through American controlled routes is a barrel Iran doesn't get paid for while U.S. exporters like West Texas crude get richer by the day.
[SPEAKER_00]: So this is the pincer move.
[SPEAKER_00]: This is the vise grip that U.S. forces have imprisoned Iran with.
[SPEAKER_00]: And it's all designed for ever erase around sole trump card, their one point of leverage that they've used against the international oil trade for 47 years, the mere threat of shutting down the state of Hormuz, where 20% of the world's oil flows through.
[SPEAKER_00]: That threat alone was enough to get the entire international community give around whatever it wanted.
[SPEAKER_00]: That threat is now being rendered completely and forever inert.
[SPEAKER_00]: Every time Iran threatens to straight their military and infrastructures bombarded all the while their economies cut off from half a billion dollars a day in oil expert exports by a US-led blockade which in turn fractures the regime from within.
[SPEAKER_00]: In other words, their one trump card,
[SPEAKER_00]: if they ever try to play it, only ends up destroying them.
[SPEAKER_00]: And it's showing.
[SPEAKER_00]: Iran's own former presidential adviser, Masud Nili, admitted publicly that their economy was quote breaking open.
[SPEAKER_00]: The Iranian reall has collapsed roughly 260% in value since October 2023, and outside estimates now put inflation well above 100%.
[SPEAKER_00]: One state-aligned Iranian commentator admitted on state television that the Americans have put them in a vicious cycle and they are slow-boiling us like a frog.
[SPEAKER_00]: Meanwhile, Trump is systematically peeling away Iran's regional network.
[SPEAKER_00]: Lebanon's president visited the White House for the first time in 15 years, and the United States is now working to train in that Lebanese units to purge has
[SPEAKER_00]: for Lebanon to do the unthinkable to join the Abraham Accords and align with Israel.
[SPEAKER_00]: Iraq signed off on a chevron pipeline, running oil from Baghdad through Syria to the Mediterranean, meaning tankers can now bypass the Strait of Hormuz entirely.
[SPEAKER_00]: Kanaka Phillips took a major stake in Iraqi oil, Starlink is entering Iraq.
[SPEAKER_00]: JP Morgan is opening a branch in Baghdad deals worth some $60 billion dollars Iraq, Syria, Lebanon.
[SPEAKER_00]: They're all being pulled out of Tehran's orbit and real time and realigned around a pro American alliance and this is all part of Trump's 40 chess that's completely realigning the world around American American interests in ways we've never seen before.
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[SPEAKER_00]: The Iranian analyst Eda Turon has an excellent piece on which he calls Trump's 5-D chess on Iran, forget 4-D, right?
[SPEAKER_00]: And it resonates so well with what we've been arguing for months and the chess metaphors key for Turon.
[SPEAKER_00]: So think about how chess actually works.
[SPEAKER_00]: You don't know exactly how the game unfolds on move one.
[SPEAKER_00]: You adjust based on what your opponent does and you
[SPEAKER_00]: The Islamic Republic isn't a normal opponent.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a deeply ideological regime with a wide network of proxies and lifelines keeping it alive, and it's never played in good faith.
[SPEAKER_00]: So when people expect, you know, just one decisive knockout blow and it doesn't come?
[SPEAKER_00]: They read every negotiation or pause as weakness, particularly on the Trump side.
[SPEAKER_00]: But the argument here is that Trump understands the pieces on the regime.
[SPEAKER_00]: The pieces that the regime has on the board.
[SPEAKER_00]: He expects the reaction, and he is gradually removing or neutralizing those pieces using military force, negotiation, sanctions, and diplomatic isolation altogether.
[SPEAKER_00]: So in other words, nothing Trump does with Iran is an isolation.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's always working together with a number of other pieces on the geopolitical chessboard.
[SPEAKER_00]: And Iran sees five
[SPEAKER_00]: distinct yet interrelated dimensions to this chessboard.
[SPEAKER_00]: So first is the regime itself.
[SPEAKER_00]: Trump knows that this is a brutal, ideologically fanatical regime, with a track record of very cruel crackdowns, including, of course, the massacre of tens of thousands of this past January.
[SPEAKER_00]: Trump's negotiations calibrated pressure aren't really
[SPEAKER_00]: weakness under this view.
[SPEAKER_00]: Their risk management to avoid pushing a cornered regime into an even bloody response against its own people.
[SPEAKER_00]: A lot of people don't understand, but I think, again, she's Iranian.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think she has a very interesting insight into this.
[SPEAKER_00]: Trump is doing his best to make sure that this regime does not lash out against the own people as well as study the oil markets and rearm US forces in the region as well for sure.
[SPEAKER_00]: But there's no weakness.
[SPEAKER_00]: There's no second guessing.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's all strategic, both for us and for the Iranian people.
[SPEAKER_00]: Secondly, you've got a strategy that Trump is employing here at home on the domestic American front.
[SPEAKER_00]: So as you all know, you've got a very deliberate third-worldest infiltration of both left-wing and right-wing media influencers who've pushed this whole absurd notion that Trump is fighting Israel's war in a deliberate attempt to divide his own base.
[SPEAKER_00]: The ceasefire and the MOU were tactical tools to ease those divisions, as well as diffuse congressional attempts,
[SPEAKER_00]: to limit Trump's war powers, and of course to calm oil markets and give consumers here at home some relief at the gas pumps.
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's dealing with the domestic front at the same time.
[SPEAKER_00]: Third, you've got the factor of foreign lifelines
[SPEAKER_00]: that have kept Iran afloat these 47 years.
[SPEAKER_00]: And we're not just talking, you know, Europe's historically two-faced relationship at Tehran or Gulf states like the UAE and Qatar playing both sides while quietly helping Iran evade sanctions.
[SPEAKER_00]: We're talking most particularly about China and Russia, both of which want to prevent
[SPEAKER_00]: A total collapse of Iran because a strong west-aligned Iran would flip the entire regional balance against them.
[SPEAKER_00]: If you've been with this channel for some time, you'll know that we've long argued that Trump's actions against Iran are ultimately about China, Iran's chief financier.
[SPEAKER_00]: Taking out Iran means both
[SPEAKER_00]: boxing out China for influencing and dictating the security architecture of the Middle East, particularly centered on their own tacit control over or moves the most critical energy choke point on the planet.
[SPEAKER_00]: All the while forcing China to comply with sanctions and buy oil at market prices, thus removing their global manufacturing and exporting leverage.
[SPEAKER_00]: China's whole business model has been based on buying cheap oil from Venezuela and Iran in order to export cheap goods.
[SPEAKER_00]: So that's why Trump's recent visit to China was so important.
[SPEAKER_00]: It was all about including China in the New geopolitical order that will come out of all of this given how they're being boxed out of the Middle East.
[SPEAKER_00]: Fourth, you've got the regime's rotting internal structure, a system built on Komeni's doctrine of absolute clerical authority, again, going all the way back to the original Iotolokomani,
[SPEAKER_00]: That is now cracking under the weight of reported infighting among successors following comedies, death, and the more the vice-grip, the pincer movement of U.S. military and bombardment and economic strangulation is applied, the more the regime cracks from that pressure.
[SPEAKER_00]: And then finally, fifth, you've got the proxy network.
[SPEAKER_00]: the so-called axis of resistance stretching from Hezbollah to the Houthis to Iraqi militias which arguably began unraveling, not on October 7th, but fascinatingly back in 2020 with the killing of General Customs Salamani in Trump's first administration.
[SPEAKER_00]: That has been steadily severed further through the fall of Assad and Syria, that takes away Russia's doorway into the region, the degrading of Hezbollah,
[SPEAKER_00]: and the campaign to pull Iraq and Lebanon into the American orbit as we've seen of late.
[SPEAKER_00]: And so when you take all of these moves on the geopolitical chessboard, the ideological nature of the regime itself, the pressures on the domestic front here at home, the foreign lifelines and the influence of China, the regimes internal infighting and the unraveling of their regional proxies like Hezbollah and Khamas.
[SPEAKER_00]: The conclusion of this argument is straightforward, strategic patients, layered pressure across all five of these dimensions at once, and avoiding the traps that lead to all out regional war is what a serious, long-term strategy against a regime like this actually looks like.
[SPEAKER_00]: Even if it doesn't satisfy people looking for an immediate single, decisive strike, no we're not talking about forever wars either.
[SPEAKER_00]: Whether or not you buy every layer of that argument, one thing is undeniable.
[SPEAKER_00]: The military and economic pressure campaigns are real, they're documented, and they are converging on a regime that is, by its own official submission, cracking under the weight of both.
[SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening to this episode of The Turley Talks Podcast.
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