[SPEAKER_00]: what is up everyone welcome back to another edition of the she and show me Sean she and here and shared up the dot com and i'm back on my top five bets for the week in the world of a mixed martial arts and obviously we have a massive week coming up uh this week with uh with did you could argue uh the biggest you have seen of the air you have seen three two nine in terms of
[SPEAKER_00]: How would you put us in terms of maybe 4 MMA fans for MMA in general and when I say a big I mean big in terms of the biggest star and the biggest story lines and really that no you could argue the last one was even bigger which the White House and all about a lot of that was to do
[SPEAKER_00]: geopolitical issues maybe more so or so that what's all the name of it so uh we will uh we will get into it we will go for our bet uh we'd not been sure last week the week before wasn't the best we didn't yeah I don't think we hear a bit anyway port if anyone saw over my twitter
[SPEAKER_00]: I sent out five bets for two different sports for soccer and for harling our national sport here in Ireland and I ordered a five bets I sent one of the bets a player was injured and he didn't play but the other four bets all hit all plus money bets I believe and the flyer was seven to one so I'm better at even other spots
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I mean, I
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's get into this and let's talk about our bet for your C329.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to start at the very top.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to start with the men event and the best money bet I think available this weekend in that and I look through it all.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was actually thinking about giving like five bets.
[SPEAKER_00]: for UFC 329's main event and not just for the carried, but I decided not to know me, we talked about filming here, but the bet, Ben number one, Max Holloway inside the distance at plus one or seven.
[SPEAKER_00]: I had initially just given you Max Holloway straight up, he's here on one place of minus one eight six, but then I was looking and it's one of those,
[SPEAKER_00]: It's one of those map markers betting places, not actually bookies, so I don't know whether it's right or not.
[SPEAKER_00]: Let feel free to let me know in the comment section below, so like that place, I don't want to name it.
[SPEAKER_00]: Mine is one of your six and I'm looking at like a legitimate betting place here and it's minus tree.
[SPEAKER_00]: Sorry, mine is too torquedy.
[SPEAKER_00]: That's a two big of a gap there so I don't want to be, I don't want to be lying to people here saying I got a great price of max hardware when can you actually get that price and a real betting outlet?
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not sure.
[SPEAKER_00]: So anyway, we forget about that.
[SPEAKER_00]: Now sometimes you have to take those prices.
[SPEAKER_00]: We nerds into a lot of betting lines out there.
[SPEAKER_00]: But for this one, all of our max hardware inside the distance at a plus one or seven, which is the best
[SPEAKER_00]: I think Max hardware is going to win this fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's going to win inside the distance, and there's my analysis, but like, look, everyone has gone through this fight at Nazium at this stage.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not... it's not...
[SPEAKER_00]: It's very inconceivable, the kind of rare wind this fight to me, right?
[SPEAKER_00]: And I look, we've talked, if you look at my show earlier under week, we talked about everything else.
[SPEAKER_00]: We talked about the corkests and all that.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to keep this strictly, strictly sporting, because it is a bit in show.
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, please don't say that I didn't talk about it.
[SPEAKER_00]: Go on listen to actual go on listen to severe my podcast as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: I talked about it for over an hour this week, so please listen to that.
[SPEAKER_00]: November of this year to Eddie Alvarez, November of 2016, that's 10 years.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's one one fight in that time, against Danceroni.
[SPEAKER_00]: Since then, so let me just check that out again.
[SPEAKER_00]: So November 2016, Max Holloway, since then, he fought anti-nipedist in beat him, Josel don't beat him, Josel don't get in beat him, Brian or Greg and beat him last, they'll some part of a decision, beat Frank Yeager, fall Vulcanovsky 3 times and last to him, beat Calvin Kierder, beat Rodriguez,
[SPEAKER_00]: beat Aaron Lalen, Chanson Jung, and just to get you the current champion in the world, beat Dosson Barrier, and last it's Boria, and Olivera.
[SPEAKER_00]: Extremely active, and winning almost all of those fights.
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, okay, he lasted champion, Olivera, champion in the Boria, champion three times in in Volcanavsky and a guy who, you know,
[SPEAKER_00]: in Dostoparia, who's an intern champion, but he was there there about for a long, long, long, long time and ending the beat, and subsequently.
[SPEAKER_00]: So it's very, very hard.
[SPEAKER_00]: But based on that alone, to see how Max Halloween doesn't win this fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: And now I've talked, I've broken down the actual fight in itself.
[SPEAKER_00]: I probably don't have time to do that here, but if you were to say a kind of regret, he's very best.
[SPEAKER_00]: The first is Max Halloween.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's very best.
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think kind of regret or win that fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think kind of regret or hit so hard.
[SPEAKER_00]: We see, look, we saw him fight before, okay, they were kind
[SPEAKER_00]: Max Holloway has struggled against guys who hit very hard and were very good technical strikers you know slightly better than him and my Gregor is exactly that in my opinion but it would be insane to think that kind of my Gregor at nearly 30 years of age next week I think
[SPEAKER_00]: would be able after five years out after having one win in 10 years after breaking his leg and half.
[SPEAKER_00]: It would be incented and key could be competitive for the guy like Max Holloway who's still, you know, close his prime.
[SPEAKER_00]: I didn't Max Holloway's probably, you know, probably the latter end of his prime.
[SPEAKER_00]: let's say if he's maybe three or four years past his prime but still towards his prime like in another maybe three or four years maybe another two years or whatever you could say oh maxala is not the fighter he wants was he's not there right now I don't think that's the case well to it is the issue but I think the well to it thing
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, he just fight wasn't uncharted on us.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not as if he's gone straight up from one far too far to Well, the world as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: He was at one fifty five.
[SPEAKER_00]: There's pitchers going around in a tree way classes He looks pretty similar.
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think it's going to be that much of a difference I think McGregor is going to struggle with these cardio if he can't get him out of there Ernie if he doesn't get him out of there.
[SPEAKER_00]: Ernie.
[SPEAKER_00]: There's going to be that moment where the
[SPEAKER_00]: the switch just turns, and Max Halloween's gonna take over.
[SPEAKER_00]: And McGregor has always been a guy if he doesn't get you out of there early.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's gonna struggle afterwards, and now the net is a little bit different, but that's how I feel like it's gonna go.
[SPEAKER_00]: McGregor's probably gonna look okay in the first round.
[SPEAKER_00]: Probably gonna look okay maybe in the second, the end of the second is gonna struggle.
[SPEAKER_00]: The turret is gonna struggle badly, and I feel like in turret or four, I'll finish just what's gonna happen here.
[SPEAKER_00]: So Max Halloween incited distance, plus one, zero seven is better number one of the week.
[SPEAKER_00]: Ben number two the week.
[SPEAKER_00]: I was going to say I'm going against Europeans here, but he's European as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: Ben was sent any at minus one, two, two, two, two, two, two, two, two, two, two, and he's fired against Petty Pym, but again, this was another fight I looked at a lot of different options, a lot of different bets for the big one I was looking at as a
[SPEAKER_00]: And I don't know, as I see the air, I probably, I don't know, I feel like I feel like change if I've ever had to give it up, but I want.
[SPEAKER_00]: I just feel like Santini is going to be a tough match up for Pennypim, because of his power.
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, I said it many times here before, and I've given you something.
[SPEAKER_00]: Santini's one of those guys, I've usually gotten right in fairness.
[SPEAKER_00]: There's a lot of guys I get wrong now.
[SPEAKER_00]: We've won if we're coming up in a minute, and we'll talk about here in a second, but I feel like I have a kind of a good grasp of where Santini is.
[SPEAKER_00]: If you are a guy who has a speed of a strike in efficiency, which in fairness, I do think Patty Pimble has, Santini is going to look good against you.
[SPEAKER_00]: But if you're, let's say you're a McGregor and he's probably more a hollow air, I think Santini was stronger against those guys because I don't think he's the best technical strike on the world, but he is powerful.
[SPEAKER_00]: That's exactly what I picked off some hurry at to beat him.
[SPEAKER_00]: I thought like okay, the start is gonna make a tough, but like I think it'll it'll just shine true Now power, powerful when he can hit you a powerful and he's more skilled in you when he I don't think he's a guy who's power shines true against more skilled strikers But it does shine true against lesser Shrikers the name and I think that's exactly what Patti Pimba is now centony is a guy who does want to get the fighters around a little.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm very good submissions
[SPEAKER_00]: So what's Patty Peem did obviously, really good submissions.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think Patty is a better submission artist than Anthony.
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, if Anthony gets him down, that doesn't mean he can't submit him, but go wait me here for a second.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think, I think, honestly, did both struggle to take each other down?
[SPEAKER_00]: Who do I think will have the advantage day or in the resting part?
[SPEAKER_00]: I think Santani will be able to take Patty down easier than the other within vice versa.
[SPEAKER_00]: But I do think, again, Patty's...
[SPEAKER_00]: ability on the ground is better in centimeters.
[SPEAKER_00]: Paddy's not an easy out on the ground at all.
[SPEAKER_00]: That's why I think it'll probably end up standing, I think, standing here probably ended up landing a big strike in him and win in the fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: So, Santini, minus one, two, two, better number two the week.
[SPEAKER_00]: Um, better number three the week.
[SPEAKER_00]: The dress from the plus money, better known even in case you're saying, well, actually the first one was as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: Mario Bozista, plus one, 25, um, do we need to fight over Corey Sandhagen.
[SPEAKER_00]: I went back and forth and this one to be honest, I'm the actual pick until I saw the prices, and I have to take the plus money guy again, but this and the next guy actually are guys that sometimes they don't have the best grasp on in terms of picking them to win, but the reason I'm going for this is that you look at San Tegans record.
[SPEAKER_00]: So when I look at
[SPEAKER_00]: an artist kind of he's a guy who likes to trone while start to stuff it in a more controlled manner don't get me wrong and you know but I don't think like
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think he is like a very technical athletic fighter.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's athletic in his wildness, but not in his technical, uh, in the technical aspect of game, in my opinion, right?
[SPEAKER_00]: No.
[SPEAKER_00]: Is he more technically the most fighters?
[SPEAKER_00]: Absolutely.
[SPEAKER_00]: But I think part is that as the type of guy who is very technical gets behind his jab, who can win fights via being a technical fighter, like against Josa Aldo, like against patchy
[SPEAKER_00]: If you think about like San Hagen, San Hagen is never done that, it's like a top fighter I don't think.
[SPEAKER_00]: Like he lost the end, lost the 9 P.G.
[SPEAKER_00]: now he's lost his ear, but like he lost the morale as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: I just have a feel and this one's going to go to a decision.
[SPEAKER_00]: and Bautista is going to win that decision.
[SPEAKER_00]: If you look even, and this is a very agricultural way I look on that Maribody's, the indecision, seven and one.
[SPEAKER_00]: Coruscante again seven and five indecisions.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that tells a story in that when he gets pushed to three rounds, are he gets pushed to five rounds?
[SPEAKER_00]: He struggles to win rounds because he is the more flashy guy and he doesn't have the the technical domination, which the likes of Bautista has behind it.
[SPEAKER_00]: So I just, I fancy Mario, but he's just a Nick two rounds here.
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I could see San Egon win in the first.
[SPEAKER_00]: And both is the win in the second and third, or like, I also, it's also the start of where, but he said could pick up any one, sorry, San Egon could pick up any one round in this.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not saying San Egon's gonna win the first, he's gonna tire and lose in a he could pick up the third.
[SPEAKER_00]: He could pick up all three if he lands something crazy and all of them don't get me wrong, but,
[SPEAKER_00]: At this level, it's very weird that Puntures chance, and I don't see any is a Puntures chance, but like the one punch, the one strike actually takes the round.
[SPEAKER_00]: Like Cheetahvera was a great guy for doing that.
[SPEAKER_00]: Open to the point, but But he's there's a guy that Usually that point doesn't come again.
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm going for Mario about he's there.
[SPEAKER_00]: And I'm going for him at the pretty good price, I think, of plus one, two, five.
[SPEAKER_00]: The next one I could not believe this price and honestly I had to check two or three different places to make sure this is correct.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not for King Green to win a plus 120.
[SPEAKER_00]: He is the underdog against Terns McKinney and I'm like, how, what, how has this happened?
[SPEAKER_00]: I, I don't know, this is the case.
[SPEAKER_00]: Do I like,
[SPEAKER_00]: this is the the most insane betting line I think I've seen in a while and there's a couple you know a couple come out every so often you're thinking yourself how to have a like Bobby Green beat Jeremy Steven saying as a l'Huber landscape's in junior and he's last tree okay he lasts a few fights a hoofy he lasts the patty of him that but like he's been at a good level he won all the ways for a total of the fatties this year won twice when he's fighting December
[SPEAKER_00]: But like, turns to McKinney, in fairness to knocked out Kyle Lenson, you know, he's knocked out some good lads.
[SPEAKER_00]: He submitted some good lads.
[SPEAKER_00]: But he's a, as they say in America, he's a 500 fighter, like he's a guy who wins one, he loses one.
[SPEAKER_00]: If he doesn't knock you out early.
[SPEAKER_00]: you're going to probably knock him out early like he has last eight times all eight are inside the distance Bobby Green okay Bobby Green has been finished nine times too but he has gone to a decision eight times in losses as well he can submit you he can decision you he can knock you out like 12 knuckles 10 submission start the decision he can win fights in a lot of different ways turns me can't really like
[SPEAKER_00]: Are he knock you out zero and zero in decision starting to begin he has after 26 fights Which is incredible.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's great value.
[SPEAKER_00]: Love turns McKinney.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's not when it is fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: Let's see like Maybe he'll knock King Green out early Bobby Green.
[SPEAKER_00]: I hate column King and like if I feel like this fight I don't maybe I'm crazy.
[SPEAKER_00]: I feel like this fight should be like plus 400 for turns McKinney and I give him as my flyer to week
[SPEAKER_00]: But the fact that he's the favorite, I think he's just crazy, crazy.
[SPEAKER_00]: So Bobby Green, then number four a week at plus 120.
[SPEAKER_00]: And the flyer of the week is Brandon Rival, via decision at plus 400.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think this is a pick-up for you, honestly, against against Lani Kavanaugh.
[SPEAKER_00]: the straight or bent in it is plus 175 plus 180 for rival minus 220 minus 230 ish for for lanycavena and I don't think that's that's far off.
[SPEAKER_00]: I would probably have lanycavena just my favorite as well
[SPEAKER_00]: The reason Brandon Roy Val is a underlog in this fight is because he's lost a few fight recently.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's lost the man I kept.
[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, he got knocked out earlier.
[SPEAKER_00]: But he's lost Joshua then the champion in the world.
[SPEAKER_00]: He lost the Pantoji at the champion in the world.
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe between that, he'd be Tatsuda Taira who just fought for the title.
[SPEAKER_00]: He'd be Brandon Roy who's the champion not too long ago.
[SPEAKER_00]: But this guy is a really, really top fighter.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's only targeted three years of age.
[SPEAKER_00]: He's still young.
[SPEAKER_00]: Lani Cabernet is only 27, right?
[SPEAKER_00]: He's six years younger than him.
[SPEAKER_00]: There's only six years in it, but he's like a little baby gone around.
[SPEAKER_00]: Not bad tech.
[SPEAKER_00]: It's so young.
[SPEAKER_00]: And he's a very good fighter.
[SPEAKER_00]: I've followed Lani since I think maybe the third five he's career in cage where he's just something like that.
[SPEAKER_00]: This guy is an absolute beast and I expect him to be a champion at some stage.
[SPEAKER_00]: But I think this is a close fight.
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think landing will just about win a board.
[SPEAKER_00]: A plus 400, I do think it's going to a decision as well.
[SPEAKER_00]: Land is an anti-decision five times, rival is going to decision 10 times in his career.
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it's going to be a close one.
[SPEAKER_00]: But if you give me, well, what did I say?
[SPEAKER_00]: What's 4 to 1?
[SPEAKER_00]: 4 to 1?
[SPEAKER_00]: Unrivaled to win that decision?
[SPEAKER_00]: That's exactly what the flyer is.
[SPEAKER_00]: It might win and might not win, but it's a very, very good price.
[SPEAKER_00]: Alright everyone.
[SPEAKER_00]: We will leave it there.
[SPEAKER_00]: Thank you very much for tuning in.
[SPEAKER_00]: Please bet responsibly.
[SPEAKER_00]: Please subscribe if you're watching this or listen to this and Spotify on YouTube or wherever it might be.
[SPEAKER_00]: And yeah, just some support over on Shardog.com.
[SPEAKER_00]: But for now, my name is Shardog and far that wonderful website of Shardog.com and I'll see you all.
[SPEAKER_00]: Next time.