WEBVTT 00:04.891 --> 00:14.189 [SPEAKER_01]: Welcome to the Toolshed, a podcast covering all levels of professional baseball to help give you the edge in your dynasty leagues. 00:14.209 --> 00:23.867 [SPEAKER_01]: From the MLB draft, all the way to the show, the Toolshed podcast has you covered with rankings, player analysis, and in-depth discussion. 00:24.388 --> 00:27.895 [SPEAKER_01]: And now, here's your host, Eric Cross. 00:31.064 --> 00:31.905 [SPEAKER_00]: What's up, everyone? 00:31.945 --> 00:35.429 [SPEAKER_00]: Welcome into another episode of the Toolshed Podcast Proct, you by Roto Baller. 00:35.909 --> 00:36.730 [SPEAKER_00]: This is episode 442. 00:36.930 --> 00:38.372 [SPEAKER_00]: Thank you for joining me. 00:38.812 --> 00:39.793 [SPEAKER_00]: I'm your host Eric Cross. 00:40.294 --> 00:44.498 [SPEAKER_00]: You can find me on Twitter at Eric Cross MLB and the show is at Toolshed Pod. 00:45.099 --> 00:49.764 [SPEAKER_00]: Going over some rookies for 2026 and this one specifically hitters. 00:50.284 --> 00:54.709 [SPEAKER_00]: I'll do pictures in the episode on Monday of next week. 00:54.689 --> 00:58.074 [SPEAKER_00]: It's just hitters in this one for 2026 value. 00:58.154 --> 01:00.157 [SPEAKER_00]: So nothing long term here. 01:00.177 --> 01:09.611 [SPEAKER_00]: Just looking only at 2026 impact, who you should be drafting, who you shouldn't be drafting, who's a good value, et cetera, et cetera. 01:10.111 --> 01:13.997 [SPEAKER_00]: A lot of interesting names are going to be debuting, either on opening day, 01:13.977 --> 01:19.849 [SPEAKER_00]: or probably shortly thereafter, or some mid-season guys, we'll go over all of that, I'll go over all of that in this episode. 01:20.470 --> 01:22.915 [SPEAKER_00]: But before I get into all of that, the usual housekeeping. 01:23.396 --> 01:27.083 [SPEAKER_00]: If you enjoy the podcast, please rate and review when we're to the platform you do listen on. 01:27.724 --> 01:34.618 [SPEAKER_00]: You can find all of my content either on Rotobar or over on my Patreon, which is toolshedofanicy.com. 01:34.598 --> 01:39.785 [SPEAKER_00]: It makes sure you check out all of the great content over on Rotobar with Rotobar's premium pass. 01:39.805 --> 01:56.148 [SPEAKER_00]: Right now is a great time to take advantage of all the phenomenal content and tools available at Rotobar with our Fantasy Baseball Draft Kit and MLB Premium Pass, a ton of my content is in there, ATT Projections, Dick Marianna's rankings, mock draft tools, and so much more. 01:56.609 --> 02:02.597 [SPEAKER_00]: And if you act now, you can get a whopping 30% off. 02:02.577 --> 02:08.927 [SPEAKER_00]: everything you need to get you ready for your drafts is over on a rotabolar via content, tools, and so much more. 02:09.648 --> 02:13.173 [SPEAKER_00]: All right, let's start with the big name, Connor Griffin. 02:13.654 --> 02:22.628 [SPEAKER_00]: I'll probably go mostly in order here of ADP and there's really only two kind of three guys that are in the top 02:22.608 --> 02:49.020 [SPEAKER_00]: Connor Griffin you've been going I mean 80 people have keep changing, but yeah, I'm looking at NFBC 80 P over the last like three weeks or so Which for him is like 165 but that again keeps getting higher and higher or earlier and earlier I should say With really each passing home run that he hits he already has three home runs the spring Though though those are his only three hits the spring, but still new metrics under the hood so far have been pretty good 02:49.473 --> 02:54.302 [SPEAKER_00]: But you know, the hype on him, it's the hype trends derailing at this point. 02:54.382 --> 03:01.715 [SPEAKER_00]: Again, in a good way, but it's got to the point where I feel like if this continues, he's got to be top 180 p.s. 03:01.816 --> 03:05.322 [SPEAKER_00]: He'll be going in that 80 to 100 range I bet. 03:05.588 --> 03:15.014 [SPEAKER_00]: in a couple weeks if this continues we'll see but especially if he still can't put that point and we're starting to think that he's going to be on the open in the roster for Pittsburgh. 03:15.074 --> 03:15.856 [SPEAKER_00]: That's the big question. 03:16.237 --> 03:21.572 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean I have been pretty consistently saying that I don't think. 03:21.670 --> 03:23.272 [SPEAKER_00]: That Pittsburgh should do that. 03:23.292 --> 03:30.461 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I know I've been, you know, free to prospect in the past, but I feel like it's situation dependent and with Connor Griffin. 03:30.541 --> 03:41.755 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, obviously he's a phenomenal talent and it's not often where you can say this guy has, you know, top five overall upside for fantasy, not just top five shortstop. 03:41.735 --> 03:52.092 [SPEAKER_00]: Top five overall, like getting up into the Bobby with junior range, you know, getting up into the Corbin Carroll range, you know, a coonier range, that type of range. 03:52.673 --> 03:59.625 [SPEAKER_00]: That's the episode we're talking about here with Connor Griffin, but he only has 21 games above. 03:59.605 --> 04:05.896 [SPEAKER_00]: single A, you know, he had 50 games at low A, 51 and high A and 21 in double A. 04:05.996 --> 04:23.908 [SPEAKER_00]: And yeah, he was phenomenal every level he was at he had 338 in low A, 325 and high A, 337 in double A, lowest LP at any level was 396 is sluggable 500 at all three levels WRC plus above 155 at all three levels. 04:24.158 --> 04:35.917 [SPEAKER_00]: While being young for every level he was at, especially double way, you know, 19 years old, in double way, just doing his thing and excelling, and really just getting better at every level. 04:36.038 --> 04:46.555 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, on top of having, you know, the mass of power, the mass of speed, and, you know, 21 home runs 65 steel, so the surface stats were there. 04:46.535 --> 04:48.602 [SPEAKER_00]: He got better in terms of being a pure header. 04:49.364 --> 04:53.316 [SPEAKER_00]: Contact rate was going up, K rate going down, walked right, ticking up a little bit. 04:53.999 --> 04:58.232 [SPEAKER_00]: So all those improvements that we wanted to see from him, he made, you know. 04:58.567 --> 05:28.270 [SPEAKER_00]: in spades even so you know he's checking off all the boxes with you know a big fat sharpie and long-term I mean I made a trade for him in a couple dicey leagues already including my homekeeper league I have him in another one so you know obviously he's a guy that you want all the shares of but for this year I mean I don't think I'm gonna go after him in that 80p but to be top 150 probably even closer top 100 again I just don't think he's up to like June 05:28.250 --> 05:45.175 [SPEAKER_00]: be honest, like, you know, if anybody were to, you know, have a, you know, 25, 50 rookie season, like I did in my bold predictions, it'd be him, but I think the best thing for him would be to keep him in double-A triple-A, probably triple-A at this point, you know, for two months, given a couple of months, bring him up in June. 05:45.756 --> 05:48.440 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, I think that would be the best thing for best of luck to do with him. 05:48.541 --> 05:56.873 [SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, as much as I would love to see him up opening day and see him be, you know, one of the best 05:56.853 --> 06:02.059 [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I think he's probably up close for the mincees in the opening day, but I don't know. 06:02.079 --> 06:06.385 [SPEAKER_00]: We'll see Pittsburgh, you know, never seems to do what we want or what we think they should do. 06:07.446 --> 06:17.919 [SPEAKER_00]: So we'll see on that one, but for 80 p being top 150 for the most part for Carter Griffin, I probably won't have a lot of shares unless he falls, but he let's just be honest. 06:18.459 --> 06:20.582 [SPEAKER_00]: He's not going to fall whatsoever. 06:21.136 --> 06:37.491 [SPEAKER_00]: Next guy up in ADP for rookies, where I will looking at Samuel Bessayago and remember that pick 175, 180, we're so range and also South Stewart kind of mistaken into that back end top 200. 06:37.471 --> 06:38.813 [SPEAKER_00]: lately as well. 06:39.574 --> 06:41.196 [SPEAKER_00]: I feel fine with both these guys. 06:41.396 --> 06:44.540 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, catcher is super deep. 06:44.560 --> 06:57.397 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, it is insanely deep and, you know, besides a guy that I think I have him ranked as like my What is it probably like S, I mean, some of that not SP my, my catcher 12 or something like that catcher 13. 06:57.477 --> 06:59.800 [SPEAKER_00]: He's right around that back ends 06:59.780 --> 07:23.627 [SPEAKER_00]: top you know 12 starting catcher ranking spot and if you want to wait on you know getting your first catcher and you want to you know get an upside play he's great and you know his ADP here I'm referencing NFBC ADP and so that always gets pushed up so he's probably just outside top to 100 or so in Yahoo formats but 07:24.417 --> 07:37.006 [SPEAKER_00]: In your single country, Yahoo League, you can really afford to wait, you know, I've done that in a lot of my leagues, though I love me some, you know, Ramirez, some Drake Baldwin, et cetera, a lot of guys that I love at this catcher spot. 07:37.026 --> 07:40.654 [SPEAKER_00]: I'm kind of becoming a catcher guy, I'll be enough, but 07:40.634 --> 07:47.651 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, I've found myself in my drafts kind of waiting because you can wait until everyone else kind of have been filling their spots already. 07:47.952 --> 07:48.754 [SPEAKER_00]: They're catching spot. 07:48.814 --> 07:56.533 [SPEAKER_00]: And at the same time, you're out there filling out the older shirt stop or second base or you know, reliever starter, whatever. 07:56.513 --> 08:00.200 [SPEAKER_00]: And then like look at this like catcher 10 to 14 range. 08:00.281 --> 08:16.092 [SPEAKER_00]: It's in 80p it's the energy as at the restaurant Alejandro Kirk for Cisco Oliver as it's him send me a psio so you can wait in that range and get them up side guy You know whether you know you're an Alvarez guy you're a psio guy You're you know banking on a bounce back from Adley 08:16.072 --> 08:20.568 [SPEAKER_00]: You can still get some pretty good value and pretty good upside if you wait. 08:20.689 --> 08:24.442 [SPEAKER_00]: So I am fine if you want to wait and take the upside play on Bessayo. 08:24.964 --> 08:27.533 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, especially if you're in a single country Yahoo League. 08:27.850 --> 08:34.222 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, if it doesn't work out, like, all right, but I, you know, he struggles or he is demoted, the triple A, I mean, it could happen. 08:34.262 --> 08:43.279 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, we saw that we'll copy mail, you know, last year, you know, and he doesn't work out, then you drop them and pick up Kyle Teele or Clark Jensen or, you know, Dylan Dengler, whoever. 08:43.780 --> 08:46.444 [SPEAKER_00]: So, I don't think it'll be too much of a risk there. 08:46.505 --> 08:51.073 [SPEAKER_00]: So, I'm finding that ADP, and then South Store is an ADP I really like. 08:51.188 --> 08:56.878 [SPEAKER_00]: Stewart going on that, you know, back in top 200 I will be eating that ADP all day. 08:57.699 --> 08:59.262 [SPEAKER_00]: Absolutely no questions asked. 08:59.903 --> 09:03.188 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, he's not a guy you're going to draft as your starter, you know, at first base. 09:04.370 --> 09:09.358 [SPEAKER_00]: But as a starting corner in filter, I freaking love South Stewart this year. 09:09.379 --> 09:12.143 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, first off the ballpark, got a lot of background. 09:12.163 --> 09:12.945 [SPEAKER_00]: I can small park. 09:13.425 --> 09:17.432 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, obviously one of the, you know, best hitters park probably number two hitters park. 09:17.412 --> 09:44.078 [SPEAKER_00]: behind course field huge babbit boost you know boost home runs everything you want for your hitter it helps so you know that is a nice little added bonus but Stewart's profile is already really good you know he is really impressive in terms of quality of contact it might not be Roman Anthony level of QOC or even besides level when it's right there it's like just a 09:44.058 --> 09:49.363 [SPEAKER_00]: where he was above the 50% heart hit rate, both in the majors and the minors last year. 09:50.044 --> 09:58.212 [SPEAKER_00]: The contact rate did take down a little bit and triple A in the majors, but for the most part, he's been an average or above average contact rate guy. 09:58.232 --> 10:00.674 [SPEAKER_00]: He keeps the K rate in check. 10:01.395 --> 10:09.323 [SPEAKER_00]: So honestly, a 260 30 type of season from South Stewart would not surprise me in the slightest. 10:09.556 --> 10:13.622 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, we're even maybe even more like I 35 home runs once surprised me either. 10:13.642 --> 10:16.265 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, that may be a little bit on the high under the spectrum, absolutely. 10:16.866 --> 10:21.673 [SPEAKER_00]: But I am quite high on South Stewart for this year and long term. 10:22.154 --> 10:26.960 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I think I love the fit for him in great American ballpark, love the power. 10:27.021 --> 10:29.264 [SPEAKER_00]: I think he's a hit for a respectable average. 10:29.885 --> 10:32.048 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, maybe OBP is slightly lower. 10:33.209 --> 10:35.192 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, if you doesn't get that walk, create backup, but 10:35.982 --> 10:42.309 [SPEAKER_00]: The bat is really, really good, and that line up, I think, because if he's really, really good as well, especially if, you know, L.E. 10:42.349 --> 10:46.273 [SPEAKER_00]: bounces back, who is, you know, second half, kind of injury struggles. 10:47.014 --> 10:51.098 [SPEAKER_00]: And if you get a Maddie McLean bounce back, if you get in a well, we'll be taking that next step. 10:51.479 --> 10:55.303 [SPEAKER_00]: This is a lot of talent in that Cincinnati lineup. 10:55.323 --> 11:04.032 [SPEAKER_00]: And I think Stuart could be a big part of that and be a guy that's, you know, hitting in the middle somewhere that order and driving in a lot of runs. 11:04.012 --> 11:05.755 [SPEAKER_00]: So I like Stewart a lot. 11:05.775 --> 11:22.847 [SPEAKER_00]: He might be my favorite value or what are my favorite values of any rookie for 2026 We draft leagues this season and kind of right behind him two of the guys that are going right around 200 or just outside of its Carter Jensen and I'm going to talk about Murakami 11:22.827 --> 11:25.190 [SPEAKER_00]: So another, you know, catcher right there. 11:25.670 --> 11:32.037 [SPEAKER_00]: So he's a, Jensen's a guy where, you know, he's going more as like the catcher 16 is 17 15. 11:32.257 --> 11:39.085 [SPEAKER_00]: Kind of in the midteens, but, you know, he's a guy that I am very high on. 11:40.066 --> 11:47.434 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a guy that I've gotten higher and higher on every time I kind of look at the profile and rank him if you'll guys keep bumping him up higher and higher. 11:47.414 --> 11:51.760 [SPEAKER_00]: his quality of contact was really, really impressive last season. 11:52.702 --> 11:55.446 [SPEAKER_00]: And he draws walks, he can steal some bags. 11:55.486 --> 12:00.573 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he's in a burner by any means, but he's always kind of added a little bit of a speed element. 12:00.994 --> 12:10.928 [SPEAKER_00]: And last year, he had 10 steals and 111 games, 20 bombs, 12 percent walk rate, 25% K rate, 298, 377, 501 slash lime. 12:11.169 --> 12:14.113 [SPEAKER_00]: And then he added another three home runs in 20 games. 12:14.093 --> 12:22.544 [SPEAKER_00]: 391, 550 slash line with the Royals, you know, again, quality contact was really, really good last year. 12:22.584 --> 12:34.759 [SPEAKER_00]: He had a barrel rate, 21% with the Royals to feet, percent hard hit rate, to feet, percent hard hit rate in AAA as well, average EV, like 94, 95 miles an hour at both levels. 12:35.420 --> 12:36.962 [SPEAKER_00]: Just really good. 12:36.942 --> 12:41.689 [SPEAKER_00]: quality of contact and the contact skills are pretty deep decent as well. 12:42.230 --> 12:50.624 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he's right around, you know, average in terms of in zone and overall, he's run 74% overall, not a lot of swing strikes. 12:50.684 --> 12:52.747 [SPEAKER_00]: Only a 10.7% swing strike rate. 12:53.348 --> 12:55.952 [SPEAKER_00]: Again, he keeps the K rate relatively in check. 12:56.413 --> 12:57.474 [SPEAKER_00]: Walks at a high clip. 12:57.975 --> 13:02.983 [SPEAKER_00]: So I think he can provide you top 10 catcher value this year. 13:02.963 --> 13:06.190 [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, the deep is just going to get deeper at this position. 13:06.832 --> 13:20.162 [SPEAKER_00]: If you get Messiah doing his thing, Carter Jensen doing his thing and kind of performing the way they could, you know, have the potential to do this position is even more sexy in 2027, so we have a season. 13:20.513 --> 13:31.398 [SPEAKER_00]: So, Jensen's a guy, again, if you, you know, single catch your league, late round, upside flyer, 100% of for it, if you're in a two-cut two-cut format, I would love him as my, as my C2. 13:31.959 --> 13:35.788 [SPEAKER_00]: High-up side C2 that can perform as a C1. 13:35.768 --> 13:37.029 [SPEAKER_00]: Sign me up all day. 13:37.129 --> 13:40.152 [SPEAKER_00]: So I like Jensen's ADP a good bit. 13:40.873 --> 14:04.155 [SPEAKER_00]: So I like him and Bessail again two upside flyers if you don't want to you know pay a top 100 top 150 peck into want to wait get one of these two guys get Adley Alvarez you know a lot of fun catchers in that range for sure and then we'll talk about Markami He's a guy that I think there's a lot of discourse a lot of varying levels of intrigue with him you get 14:04.135 --> 14:24.324 [SPEAKER_00]: the people that are just all in, you know, even when he did over in Japan, how he was going to be sitting out over there, one of the better hitters in that league, really the best better part of the last, you know, several years, seven, eight years, whatever it's been, and then you got the other side of it where, you know, can he make enough contact? 14:24.384 --> 14:30.312 [SPEAKER_00]: That's the question, you know, you see the, you know, the contact rates over there, you know, 14:30.292 --> 14:46.387 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, K-8, you know, all that is a concern, but the power is this massive and anybody that's what I've kind of watched video of Murakami, whether it be, you know, batting practice this spring or just his games in Japan, like this could be an immediate 30 home of guy. 14:47.147 --> 14:58.678 [SPEAKER_00]: It's just a matter of your team build at the time, if you can build around a possible low average, but given where the 80 PS, as it's kind of like in that 200 range, 14:59.722 --> 15:01.203 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, that's not terrible. 15:01.404 --> 15:02.585 [SPEAKER_00]: I thought it was going to be higher. 15:02.605 --> 15:06.769 [SPEAKER_00]: I thought he's going to be like a top 150 80 page given the hype on him. 15:07.330 --> 15:08.531 [SPEAKER_00]: That's really not the case. 15:09.271 --> 15:17.339 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, again, 200, if you get him, that's probably, you're dropping your corner and fielder at that range, again, somewhere arranged or like where style steward is. 15:17.460 --> 15:24.987 [SPEAKER_00]: I prefer style steward this year, but, you know, since the 80 P from our comics 200-ish, 15:24.967 --> 15:25.869 [SPEAKER_00]: I'm okay with that. 15:26.249 --> 15:32.301 [SPEAKER_00]: If you're 30 on runs, even if it's 220 gives you 30 on runs, that's at least, you know, decent value. 15:32.962 --> 15:39.375 [SPEAKER_00]: And hey, if it's 242.50 35 bombs, I mean, he's pushing top 100 overall value there. 15:39.455 --> 15:44.865 [SPEAKER_00]: So I don't think it's a bad ADP at all for Murakom is a matter of 15:44.845 --> 15:47.231 [SPEAKER_00]: what team build you have. 15:47.972 --> 15:51.701 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, you already have a decent average for your team. 15:52.363 --> 15:55.951 [SPEAKER_00]: So you can, you know, forward take on a possible lower average guy. 15:56.573 --> 15:59.901 [SPEAKER_00]: But if it can, I don't hate that ADP whatsoever. 15:59.941 --> 16:02.888 [SPEAKER_00]: And then you drop down a little bit and ADP here. 16:02.868 --> 16:06.754 [SPEAKER_00]: You got Kazuma Okamoto going, I don't know, like 20, 25 fix later. 16:06.774 --> 16:07.515 [SPEAKER_00]: He's not to 25. 16:07.735 --> 16:08.677 [SPEAKER_00]: It's strange. 16:09.257 --> 16:15.507 [SPEAKER_00]: JJ weather holds around 24 to 50, and then just in Crawford around 270. 16:16.268 --> 16:19.533 [SPEAKER_00]: Those are kind of like the last ones in the top 300, though Kevin McGonagall. 16:20.214 --> 16:24.240 [SPEAKER_00]: He's been going right in the back end of the top 300 lately. 16:24.260 --> 16:32.031 [SPEAKER_00]: He was like in the top 300 and kind of dipped 16:32.011 --> 16:43.489 [SPEAKER_00]: And to like that back back 25 of the top 300 and so a lot of great names there, I mean right and those four names two of those guys are top five prospects for me. 16:43.604 --> 16:48.471 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, I just kind of bumped with hold up from six to five, and I have a gone to let too. 16:48.772 --> 17:11.586 [SPEAKER_00]: So you got two elite guys, you got a tier one guy and a mechanical and a tier two guy in JJ weather holds and you know, out of everybody I've talked about or we'll talk about in this episode, I have weather hold ranked as my number one rookie hitter for this season and we've gone and go right behind him. 17:11.566 --> 17:13.489 [SPEAKER_00]: Because I think they're both up very early. 17:13.529 --> 17:20.040 [SPEAKER_00]: I have weatherhole, you know, a slot higher because I think he has a better chance of cracking the opening day roster. 17:20.621 --> 17:30.737 [SPEAKER_00]: I'd say weatherhole being up an opening day is 50 50 McGonagol probably more like 35 65 40 60 and it's a little bit lower percent chance. 17:31.538 --> 17:32.680 [SPEAKER_00]: But 17:32.660 --> 17:41.983 [SPEAKER_00]: See, Lewis is in a full rebuild, and they have no reason to not give Jaguar the whole a ton of time this season. 17:42.865 --> 17:49.943 [SPEAKER_00]: And if they do, as they should, and if they do, I think he can be a guy that hurts for 2020. 17:50.243 --> 17:55.868 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, not one thing in the profile stands out, but there's just so much good in the profile. 17:56.388 --> 18:02.674 [SPEAKER_00]: He's above average power and he showed that last year at a 48% hard hit rate in AAA. 18:03.234 --> 18:05.737 [SPEAKER_00]: Get an average EV over 91 miles an hour. 18:06.397 --> 18:08.499 [SPEAKER_00]: He's above average contact. 18:09.140 --> 18:10.901 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, maybe even plus contact. 18:10.921 --> 18:18.748 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, last year, the miners used around 79, 80% overall and 83% in zone when the 8% swing strike rate. 18:19.437 --> 18:21.323 [SPEAKER_00]: there's above average speed as well. 18:21.945 --> 18:28.384 [SPEAKER_00]: He had 23 steals last year, including 14 in double A, nine in triple A. 18:28.820 --> 18:44.210 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, he's always been a guy that, you know, even in college with stealing bags and the approach, one of the better all around the approaches you'll see, got that walks a ton and keeps a K rate well under 20% and does so while hitting for power. 18:44.291 --> 18:50.102 [SPEAKER_00]: It's not like he's one of those guys that just, you know, puts about on the ball and just keeps the K rate low in that regard. 18:50.082 --> 18:52.305 [SPEAKER_00]: because he drives about to it. 18:52.325 --> 18:54.868 [SPEAKER_00]: There's, again, above average drop power here, too. 18:54.908 --> 19:02.477 [SPEAKER_00]: So he just says everything well, not really any one glaring weakness or really anything where you're like, oh, hey, that's a concern. 19:03.298 --> 19:06.022 [SPEAKER_00]: That doesn't really exist in whether holds profile. 19:06.883 --> 19:13.491 [SPEAKER_00]: And it'll be interesting to see kind of where he slots in long term, I'm guessing probably at second base. 19:13.471 --> 19:20.447 [SPEAKER_00]: And as they had made some wind at short, no one gourmands kind of stolen the picture, so probably not at short, be either second base or third base. 19:20.507 --> 19:20.968 [SPEAKER_00]: I don't care. 19:21.590 --> 19:26.020 [SPEAKER_00]: I think both positions, especially second base are pretty bad right now, third base. 19:26.621 --> 19:31.733 [SPEAKER_00]: As it has the big names at the top, then it gets kind of sketchy, second base even more so. 19:31.713 --> 19:40.363 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, in terms of sketchiness and lesser amount of big names at the top, you can really trust and really depend on giving a big number. 19:40.444 --> 19:56.623 [SPEAKER_00]: So I'd love to see him a second base, but regardless, I think he's W1, the best rookies of the 20, 20, 20, 60 is in a guy that I could flirt with or even exceed 20, 20 with a good average, with a good OPP in giving you that good five category production. 19:56.603 --> 20:10.162 [SPEAKER_00]: I think he's the safest bet to give you a really good rookie season out of all of these rookies that shared us given the profile, the proximity, just skill sets, the opportunity to play. 20:11.304 --> 20:14.128 [SPEAKER_00]: So, whether the hold is a guy that I would jump 80p for. 20:15.170 --> 20:17.733 [SPEAKER_00]: Again, his 80p is in that 225, 250 range. 20:18.354 --> 20:25.885 [SPEAKER_00]: I would be fine going, you know, 200 back and top 200 20:26.320 --> 20:50.303 [SPEAKER_00]: This season, you know, Justin Crawford, he's a guy that's trending more and more as being the starting center fielder for the Philadelphia Phillies for a couple of reasons one they have nobody else like they did not bring anybody in there's nobody else on the current roster that can really handle center field on a regular basis maybe in a pinch. 20:50.283 --> 20:52.166 [SPEAKER_00]: sure, but not on a regular basis. 20:52.806 --> 20:55.450 [SPEAKER_00]: And you're not throwing any of those Bench guys out there. 20:55.470 --> 20:59.756 [SPEAKER_00]: Really, I mean, it just looks like it's Crawford's job to lose at this point. 20:59.776 --> 21:06.505 [SPEAKER_00]: And assuming he has a, you know, at least a decent sprint training and doesn't like struggle mightily. 21:06.525 --> 21:08.528 [SPEAKER_00]: I think he's going to get that spot. 21:08.508 --> 21:15.259 [SPEAKER_00]: And, you know, the apple probably hit lower and line up, but, you know, that's one of the better lineups, you know, one through nine and baseball. 21:15.820 --> 21:21.189 [SPEAKER_00]: So even if he's hitting like eighth or ninth, then he gets, you know, top of the order rip behind him. 21:21.269 --> 21:25.736 [SPEAKER_00]: He gets, you know, try Turner and Bryce Harper and all those guys rip behind him. 21:25.837 --> 21:31.005 [SPEAKER_00]: So, that's a good, that could be a good spot to be in, you know, once you get one time through the order. 21:30.985 --> 21:32.048 [SPEAKER_00]: Speed is elite. 21:32.168 --> 21:34.856 [SPEAKER_00]: He is a double plus or better runner. 21:34.936 --> 21:42.918 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, just like his dad definitely falls in his dad's foot steps there contact skills are also really good. 21:43.059 --> 21:46.007 [SPEAKER_00]: They're they're plus or better contact. 21:45.987 --> 21:56.477 [SPEAKER_00]: He hasn't hit below 300 at any level since high A and 2023 when he hit 288, oh no, 288 in 18 games. 21:57.738 --> 22:13.412 [SPEAKER_00]: In 2024, it was 301 in high A, 333 in AA, 2025, he was in AAA for the entire year, get 334. 22:14.607 --> 22:28.195 [SPEAKER_00]: full season of Crawford, I think 35 40 steals is in play, and a good average, and he's also, you know, even though the home run total seven, been, you know, great so far, because of a higher ground ball rate, which really is limited to him, you know, 22:28.462 --> 22:30.866 [SPEAKER_00]: The quality of Hunter is actually pretty solid. 22:31.567 --> 22:38.677 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, last year, Triple A, Redder on just a hair under 90 mile an hour average EV, and a little bit over a 40% hard hit rate. 22:39.178 --> 22:50.335 [SPEAKER_00]: So I think he could be the kind of like his dad and that mid-teens range, you know, like 14, 15, 16, maybe even 17, 18 some years, but he'll need to get the ground ball right down. 22:50.315 --> 22:56.100 [SPEAKER_00]: get the launch angle up a little bit because that ground will raise been incredibly high everywhere is gone. 22:56.140 --> 23:01.705 [SPEAKER_00]: Last year it was actually a little bit better than it had been, but it was still a 59% ground ball rate. 23:02.086 --> 23:07.911 [SPEAKER_00]: So I definitely limit some, but it kind of plays to a skills though obviously with the contact, the on base abilities, the speed. 23:08.451 --> 23:14.717 [SPEAKER_00]: So there's a lot to like here, and he's a guy late round, you know, get your measure, get your all fields five, six, something like that. 23:15.137 --> 23:18.280 [SPEAKER_00]: Guy with just a ton of speed impact. 23:18.260 --> 23:21.129 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, got his, you know, again, hit for average. 23:21.190 --> 23:21.892 [SPEAKER_00]: Everybody's gone. 23:21.992 --> 23:25.504 [SPEAKER_00]: So I don't expect him to be a rookie that's hitting 230. 23:25.624 --> 23:26.728 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, never say never. 23:26.888 --> 23:27.510 [SPEAKER_00]: It's a rookie. 23:27.980 --> 23:35.570 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, and everything's possible as we've seen, but he feels like a safer bet the most to hit for a good average right out of the gate. 23:35.650 --> 23:37.273 [SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, that's an ADP. 23:37.333 --> 23:47.326 [SPEAKER_00]: I do like a lot with just a Crawford, you know, the photo of your fillies and going in that, you know, back third or so of the top 200, but our top 200, excuse me. 23:47.366 --> 23:56.839 [SPEAKER_00]: But I feel like that's going to maybe push up to like that 225 range as we get closer to opening day and it looks like he's going to get that spot for sure. 23:56.819 --> 24:06.532 [SPEAKER_00]: We'll see how the rest of the spring goes and if those reports to come out, because in my Oklahoma, now going to 25-ish, you know, they 80-piece fine. 24:07.753 --> 24:18.928 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he's a better, you know, for everything I've seen, all the research I've done, all the all the discussions I've had with people that, you know, followed him and his career overseas, more closely than I did. 24:20.022 --> 24:27.892 [SPEAKER_00]: He is a better pusher hitter than Murakami, not as much power, but at the same time, that's what to say. 24:27.952 --> 24:31.686 [SPEAKER_00]: He's like, you know, blow average power guy or anything like that. 24:32.155 --> 24:40.565 [SPEAKER_00]: Is there still some solid power with him and he saw that you get a home run that was what 450 some odd feet the other day, you know, a handful of days ago. 24:41.306 --> 24:57.066 [SPEAKER_00]: So he does have some good power to start quite Murakami levels of power, but over a full year, I mean, I could see, 24:57.687 --> 25:05.268 [SPEAKER_00]: It's always hard to, you know, kind of predict how these guys are going to translate, right? 25:05.328 --> 25:13.030 [SPEAKER_00]: Because there's so much going on and I think more so than a rookie or prospects who has been coming up from Triple A. 25:13.010 --> 25:19.818 [SPEAKER_00]: because, you know, they have to get adjusted from the miners of the majors, and that's definitely an adjustment. 25:19.838 --> 25:39.000 [SPEAKER_00]: I'm not saying it's not because it absolutely is, but coming over from overseas, not only are you now playing in a new country, there's a bigger gap between, you know, the KBO or, you know, Japan, and there is, you know, to the majors, and from the miners to the majors, 25:38.980 --> 25:46.932 [SPEAKER_00]: And you're also learning how to live in a new country and navigate an entirely different country on the opposite side of the world. 25:47.435 --> 25:50.478 [SPEAKER_00]: So I think that is just a really hard transition to make. 25:50.538 --> 25:52.220 [SPEAKER_00]: So some guys have made it seamlessly. 25:52.420 --> 25:54.202 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, we've seen the great names. 25:54.743 --> 25:57.085 [SPEAKER_00]: The e-choros, the Matt Suees, et cetera. 25:57.105 --> 25:58.387 [SPEAKER_00]: There's been so many names that come over. 25:58.807 --> 26:01.210 [SPEAKER_00]: And there's also been a lot of names that come over and struggled. 26:01.290 --> 26:11.361 [SPEAKER_00]: So it's just really hard, you know, even though they might be a little bit older, you know, I think Oklahoma was like 30-ish and we're coming in and there's been, you know, midter 27 or whatever he is now. 26:11.381 --> 26:15.265 [SPEAKER_00]: So they're not like there are 22-year-old rookie prospect or anything like that. 26:15.937 --> 26:17.960 [SPEAKER_00]: he almost have to have that same adjustment period. 26:18.460 --> 26:31.719 [SPEAKER_00]: So I don't know, it's hard to say how these guys are going to form, you know, Okamoto Murkami, but I feel like, even more of their ADPs are, I think they're both fine, this is a matter of, you know, what type of player are you more inclined to take? 26:31.759 --> 26:33.561 [SPEAKER_00]: Do you want the more upside guy? 26:33.581 --> 26:37.266 [SPEAKER_00]: And the more power with Murkami, you want to play a little safer and go Okamoto? 26:37.707 --> 26:42.113 [SPEAKER_00]: I think both are fine, at the respective ADPs for this season. 26:43.207 --> 27:10.564 [SPEAKER_00]: So that's kind of talking about the top 300 guys though we have one more I've got the mentioned mechanical you know he's having obviously a really good sprint and coming off a really good 20 25 season it's funny you know him and Griffin being kind of the you know one and two some even have a go on and go one and that's fine and because he is a phenomenal 27:10.949 --> 27:20.993 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, at the peak of his prospect status right at the same time as a generational talent in Connor Griffin, but there's zero doubt in my mind that 27:22.188 --> 27:26.113 [SPEAKER_00]: Kevin McGonagall is going to be a very good hitter for a very long time. 27:26.954 --> 27:32.500 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, I've used the acronym TANG, you know, that orange drink, the powder came in the powder. 27:32.520 --> 27:33.621 [SPEAKER_00]: I don't even know if it's still around. 27:33.902 --> 27:34.923 [SPEAKER_00]: It might not be who knows. 27:34.963 --> 27:35.804 [SPEAKER_00]: I haven't seen it long time. 27:36.304 --> 27:42.692 [SPEAKER_00]: But, you know, came in that little tub, the orange powder, looked at Tito dust, and, you know, made that orangey drink, which was super sweet. 27:42.752 --> 27:44.294 [SPEAKER_00]: I'm probably pregnant drink it anymore. 27:44.794 --> 27:49.039 [SPEAKER_00]: But, acronym TANG, you know, there are no guarantees. 27:49.019 --> 28:17.811 [SPEAKER_00]: We've seen the, you know, best chemist prospect fall flat, but so I'm not going to say, you know, 100% guaranteed that the economy was going to be a stud, but, you know, he feels like I feel I feel a lot safer in saying that he's going to be an all-star caliber hitter than I do about most projects that are coming up over the last, you know, five, 10 years because the the blend of contact and approach 28:17.791 --> 28:22.689 [SPEAKER_00]: is just a really rare blend of skills that you don't see at this level. 28:23.392 --> 28:29.033 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, he has made above average, I mean, more than that, plus contact everywhere's gone. 28:30.093 --> 28:34.119 [SPEAKER_00]: Context rates consistently over 80% usually like 82 to 84%. 28:35.661 --> 28:37.163 [SPEAKER_00]: He walks at a high clip. 28:37.744 --> 28:41.409 [SPEAKER_00]: Last year it was about 15% walk 11 and a half percent strikeout. 28:41.809 --> 28:46.196 [SPEAKER_00]: He had 305, 408, OBP, 583 slug. 28:46.596 --> 28:48.439 [SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, look at that power as well. 28:48.499 --> 28:50.041 [SPEAKER_00]: I'm just gonna hit multiple home runs. 28:50.562 --> 28:55.729 [SPEAKER_00]: I saw him hit a home run in AA when they came here when Eric came here to Portland main. 28:55.709 --> 28:59.672 [SPEAKER_00]: I saw him hit a home run out in the airs on a fall wig. 29:00.133 --> 29:03.696 [SPEAKER_00]: I saw him hit an opposite field triple showing off the wheels that he has to. 29:04.497 --> 29:09.941 [SPEAKER_00]: So while it might not be quite as gody as a corner Griffin, I mean, you're looking at a guy that could hit 300. 29:10.702 --> 29:13.985 [SPEAKER_00]: A guy that could give you, you know, one of the better OBPs in baseball. 29:14.586 --> 29:17.428 [SPEAKER_00]: A guy that could be a annual 20 home ride. 29:17.448 --> 29:25.395 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I don't know if he's a 30 plus home 29:25.645 --> 29:31.533 [SPEAKER_00]: and having one of the higher floors of any prospect I've seen in the last five to 10 years, as I mentioned. 29:31.573 --> 29:33.356 [SPEAKER_00]: So I love the GDP. 29:33.376 --> 29:35.078 [SPEAKER_00]: I think he said, be up fairly early. 29:35.499 --> 29:39.344 [SPEAKER_00]: He's my second rank to rookie hitter this year behind just behind weather hold. 29:39.565 --> 29:41.267 [SPEAKER_00]: Again, I think he's just going to be up a little bit earlier. 29:41.808 --> 29:43.390 [SPEAKER_00]: But I think McGonagal is up pretty soon. 29:43.450 --> 29:46.675 [SPEAKER_00]: And hey, he might even force his way under the open of the roster. 29:46.775 --> 29:48.177 [SPEAKER_00]: That will not surprise me. 29:48.157 --> 30:05.018 [SPEAKER_00]: again, I'll put like 35-ish percent chance he's on the open and they roster if not, should be by the end of May, you know, if they put him in AAA and he's dominated there, they bring him up, put him in a short and then move Zach McKinsey more and took a super utility role where he's really thrived over the years. 30:05.658 --> 30:16.712 [SPEAKER_00]: So McGonagall going around, you know, 275-300, though, that's been creeping up, creeping up, probably will continue to do so. 30:16.895 --> 30:21.303 [SPEAKER_00]: going into the 300 to 400 range of 80 piece. 30:21.403 --> 30:30.900 [SPEAKER_00]: So now we're getting into, you know, the guys that are deeper league plays the the 15 team league plays. 30:31.801 --> 30:37.111 [SPEAKER_00]: So took 12 team Yahoo, you know, 23 to 25 man rosters. 30:37.151 --> 30:40.236 [SPEAKER_00]: I think I think the standard probably in that range. 30:40.216 --> 30:44.521 [SPEAKER_00]: maybe you have a little bit deeper benches, maybe it's 2627 players. 30:45.262 --> 30:50.088 [SPEAKER_00]: So that put you at like 300 ish players overall, you know, 300 320. 30:50.989 --> 31:06.088 [SPEAKER_00]: Some of these guys will be back in upside flyers, others will be more like, you know, deeper 15 league team plays or even, you know, deeper 50 rounds formats as well, but there's still a lot of intriguing names in this rigging just well. 31:08.060 --> 31:13.748 [SPEAKER_00]: let's start with chased a lotter, you know, all of you should know how high I am on the lotter. 31:14.408 --> 31:18.774 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a top 10 prospect talent with bottom 10 prospect durability. 31:19.075 --> 31:23.681 [SPEAKER_00]: That's what I've said many, many times, I can't say it any more clearly than that. 31:24.202 --> 31:26.264 [SPEAKER_00]: I believe both those things will be very true. 31:27.045 --> 31:28.347 [SPEAKER_00]: So, 31:28.327 --> 31:29.790 [SPEAKER_00]: just wish he could stay healthy. 31:30.010 --> 31:32.515 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, like that's the big thing with the water. 31:32.716 --> 31:38.567 [SPEAKER_00]: He is just never shown that he can stay healthy and then it now walk or Jenkins is almost getting into that range here. 31:38.607 --> 31:48.125 [SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, these guys are just phenomenal talents and I've shown that when they're on the field, but, you know, the water has played in 1308 games in the minor leagues. 31:49.027 --> 31:50.470 [SPEAKER_00]: He was drafted back in 2022. 31:51.378 --> 31:59.888 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, so he didn't play after the draft in 2022, 2023, 57 games, 2024, 39 games, 25, 42 games. 32:00.749 --> 32:04.673 [SPEAKER_00]: So he hasn't even sniffed 100 games played in the season. 32:05.394 --> 32:07.757 [SPEAKER_00]: He hasn't even cracked 60 games played in the season. 32:07.777 --> 32:10.841 [SPEAKER_00]: It hasn't cracked 50, and he's still last two seasons. 32:10.861 --> 32:16.307 [SPEAKER_00]: But the same time, he's a career 302, 384, 504, slash line. 32:16.327 --> 32:19.731 [SPEAKER_00]: Almost as many walks of strike out, 70 walks to 80Ks. 32:19.863 --> 32:34.804 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, he has 40 doubles, 20 homeruns, eight steals didn't really run much last year on yet the one steal and one attempt, but he's shown that he's the above average speed guides, just kind of unsure as to how big a part of the game that'll be for him. 32:36.006 --> 32:38.730 [SPEAKER_00]: He's just like a five still guy, can be like 12 to 15. 32:38.750 --> 32:43.677 [SPEAKER_00]: I think that remains to be seen, but the bat has always been there. 32:43.724 --> 32:46.388 [SPEAKER_00]: He's above average to plus contact. 32:46.789 --> 32:48.171 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a plus approach guy. 32:48.191 --> 32:49.553 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a plus power guy. 32:49.573 --> 32:52.999 [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, the durability sucks. 32:53.480 --> 32:57.186 [SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, the swing isn't beautiful. 32:57.626 --> 32:59.910 [SPEAKER_00]: I've already seen multiple comments. 32:59.950 --> 33:01.653 [SPEAKER_00]: I put out a blanket statement like yes. 33:02.134 --> 33:04.237 [SPEAKER_00]: The swing is not your typical swing. 33:04.457 --> 33:05.659 [SPEAKER_00]: It's a little unorthodox. 33:06.521 --> 33:07.843 [SPEAKER_00]: Okay, a lot unorthodox. 33:07.883 --> 33:08.444 [SPEAKER_00]: I'll give you that. 33:09.165 --> 33:10.407 [SPEAKER_00]: But it works. 33:10.538 --> 33:11.419 [SPEAKER_00]: Look at the production. 33:11.639 --> 33:12.621 [SPEAKER_00]: Look at the metrics. 33:12.641 --> 33:13.382 [SPEAKER_00]: It's worked. 33:14.303 --> 33:26.359 [SPEAKER_00]: And you would think if the swing was a really an issue, why went, you know, one of the better developmental organizations in baseball, Cleveland, have fixed it, have switched it. 33:26.479 --> 33:28.321 [SPEAKER_00]: And they don't seem to think it's an issue. 33:28.441 --> 33:29.222 [SPEAKER_00]: It works for him. 33:30.104 --> 33:38.014 [SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, I'm very much a, if it, if it ain't broke, don't fix it 33:38.078 --> 33:55.318 [SPEAKER_00]: And so at this point, you know, he's a guy that I would absolutely take an upside fly around and in the later rounds of a 12 team Yahoo League, he's a guy that I have on my home keep a league team, you know, which is kind of, you know, right around how many, well, it's 12 team league. 33:55.779 --> 33:57.961 [SPEAKER_00]: We have 28 player rosters. 33:58.061 --> 34:05.910 [SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, it's like, you know, 336 players rostered and I took him in the later rounds of our restocking draft. 34:05.970 --> 34:07.292 [SPEAKER_00]: We keep 10. 34:07.272 --> 34:25.129 [SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, he's a guy that I'm very excited for in that league because that one, you know, kind of emphasizes, are my homekeeper league at that is emphasizes or gives you kind of like a bonus of sorts where if you're got to hit for a high average and also walks, so we have average and then walks. 34:25.447 --> 34:30.396 [SPEAKER_00]: So, if you do both, well, it's kind of a good double positive, and that's what Chase Alotter does. 34:31.118 --> 34:33.523 [SPEAKER_00]: It's all comes down to the durability. 34:33.663 --> 34:34.585 [SPEAKER_00]: Can he say in the field? 34:35.206 --> 34:40.816 [SPEAKER_00]: You can say that about the next guy right after him in ADP, Jordan Lawyer, can he say healthy? 34:41.197 --> 34:46.307 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I'm not as enthralled with the profile with Lawyer, but I've always liked Lawyer a good bit. 34:46.540 --> 34:50.127 [SPEAKER_00]: I think there's like a 15 30 type of guy waiting to be unlocked. 34:50.347 --> 34:52.992 [SPEAKER_00]: I have no idea what position that's going to be at at this point. 34:53.493 --> 34:54.815 [SPEAKER_00]: He's bounced around a little bit. 34:54.836 --> 34:56.819 [SPEAKER_00]: It's not going to be a short stop because Pradoamos there. 34:57.781 --> 34:59.825 [SPEAKER_00]: So it's going to be, you know, third bait. 34:59.885 --> 35:03.973 [SPEAKER_00]: Probably at this point, you know, third base outfield though. 35:03.993 --> 35:04.854 [SPEAKER_00]: All right, notos there. 35:04.954 --> 35:06.878 [SPEAKER_00]: Could tell my Tade didn't get traded. 35:06.858 --> 35:07.339 [SPEAKER_00]: I don't know. 35:07.659 --> 35:14.048 [SPEAKER_00]: I don't know what the eligibility is to look like a year from now with with with law or, but I still think there's a good player in there. 35:14.789 --> 35:17.272 [SPEAKER_00]: I still think there's a fantasy friendly profile in there. 35:17.292 --> 35:23.760 [SPEAKER_00]: I got like a hit for a decent average, decent OBP as well, you know, 15, 20 home runs, maybe 25 or 30 steals. 35:24.662 --> 35:27.385 [SPEAKER_00]: If you can say health thing, and if he gets a shot, now he's a guy. 35:27.425 --> 35:34.755 [SPEAKER_00]: I'd rather take a shot on the shooting on the lottery for this year because 35:34.735 --> 35:45.174 [SPEAKER_00]: It's a much clearer path to playing time for daughter who's right now, you know, as of, you know, March 5th is penciled in to the opening day lineup for Cleveland. 35:46.035 --> 35:50.063 [SPEAKER_00]: So I think it was a better chance of him getting 500 plate appearances this year than Lollar. 35:50.543 --> 35:53.809 [SPEAKER_00]: So I would rather go to the water here, but hey, I'm not opposed to it. 35:53.910 --> 35:55.292 [SPEAKER_00]: I'm an upside play. 35:55.272 --> 36:02.181 [SPEAKER_00]: with law or as well, but I guess it could really depends on if he looks at you know break camp in the starting lineup. 36:02.361 --> 36:09.951 [SPEAKER_00]: And at this point, that's kind of, yeah, that's not a long shot, but not a sure thing either. 36:10.011 --> 36:13.215 [SPEAKER_00]: So probably won't be targeting law or this year. 36:13.996 --> 36:19.383 [SPEAKER_00]: Unless it looks to he's going to start, but I will be targeting the lotter, amagonical, and Crawford. 36:21.045 --> 36:25.110 [SPEAKER_00]: I think those 36:25.090 --> 36:47.217 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, but going a little bit further, you know, these, there's four or five more guys here in the top 400, you got, you know, Dylan Beaver's in Carson Benj and like that 333 40 range price Aldridge, a couple rounds later in the 370 ish range Harry Ford's going in the back end of the top 400 as well, you know. 36:47.652 --> 37:02.296 [SPEAKER_00]: Beaver's obviously is a guy that I'm probably hired the most on, and I've had to think of shown that in my prospect rankings and my dives, he rankings, in my redraft rankings, but now I'm the other question, how many baths does he get? 37:02.336 --> 37:08.226 [SPEAKER_00]: Because that Baltimore outfield very crowded, and they brought in Taylor Ward. 37:08.864 --> 37:24.841 [SPEAKER_00]: And, you know, at this point, I don't know if Peevers is starting regularly, because they still got, you know, they had quote in cows, it's probably in the center field, but even after at him, like they have Tyler O'Neill, they have the O'Neill to various. 37:25.322 --> 37:29.927 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, Jeremiah Jackson can place an elf, you know, too, so it's a very crowded outfield. 37:30.768 --> 37:34.652 [SPEAKER_00]: Just bringing in Ward, which again was a very weird move, given, 37:35.122 --> 37:52.388 [SPEAKER_00]: that they already had a lot of outfielders and we're looking to add pitching so they trade away, Grayson Rodriguez, maybe they just weren't, you know, digging the physicals and all that, which definitely could be the case, but still a weird deal, but it kind of created a little bit more uncertainty here for 37:52.368 --> 37:53.389 [SPEAKER_00]: Dylan Bieber's this year. 37:53.489 --> 38:01.736 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, right now he's penciled in as a platoon guy with I'm assuming this gonna be probably Tyler O'Neill who still has plenty of power. 38:02.337 --> 38:03.938 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, one of the strongest guys in baseball. 38:04.739 --> 38:07.941 [SPEAKER_00]: So he's definitely got gets, you know, in there at some degree. 38:07.981 --> 38:11.464 [SPEAKER_00]: So you got to wonder if Bieber's more like 400 plate appearances. 38:12.085 --> 38:17.410 [SPEAKER_00]: But if he gets enough time, if he gets 500 plus plate appearances, you know, I've said it time and time again. 38:17.430 --> 38:21.413 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I think he said to be a 38:21.393 --> 38:24.657 [SPEAKER_00]: another guy that doesn't make nothing really stands out. 38:25.418 --> 38:30.564 [SPEAKER_00]: He's almost like the outfield JJ weatherhole, but just dial it back a little bit. 38:31.525 --> 38:36.470 [SPEAKER_00]: Where he can give you above average production across the board. 38:37.051 --> 38:38.172 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a plus runner. 38:38.693 --> 38:40.936 [SPEAKER_00]: He is above average power guy. 38:41.436 --> 38:45.881 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, there's a little bit of, you know, this course out there, he had hit lefties. 38:45.901 --> 38:46.422 [SPEAKER_00]: I think that's 38:46.402 --> 38:46.763 [SPEAKER_00]: loan. 38:47.223 --> 38:51.090 [SPEAKER_00]: The metrics against Luffy's actually weren't that as bad as the surface line was. 38:51.672 --> 38:57.302 [SPEAKER_00]: So I am not really, you know, too concerned in that regard, he makes plenty of contact. 38:57.342 --> 38:58.664 [SPEAKER_00]: He draws plenty of walks. 38:58.684 --> 39:00.167 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a high OBP guy. 39:00.187 --> 39:04.875 [SPEAKER_00]: This does everything well without having any major red flags, at least in my mind. 39:04.956 --> 39:05.777 [SPEAKER_00]: Again, I'm not 39:05.757 --> 39:18.317 [SPEAKER_00]: As concerned about him not hitting lefties, but maybe he wouldn't even get a chance to prove that because you know if he's going to be in a platoon hitting righties and then they get Tyler O'Neill in there against lefties. 39:18.758 --> 39:21.362 [SPEAKER_00]: That's going to probably be the spot where he gets limited. 39:22.043 --> 39:29.816 [SPEAKER_00]: And right now, one of the projections half him for on 400 plate appearances, which is why his ADP has dipped a good 75 to 100 picks. 39:29.876 --> 39:30.877 [SPEAKER_00]: He was kind of going mid 200. 39:30.918 --> 39:33.081 [SPEAKER_00]: He's going mid 300's 39:33.432 --> 39:35.756 [SPEAKER_00]: Now, I think he's a guy that you got to wait without. 39:36.197 --> 39:42.748 [SPEAKER_00]: And if you have a later draft in March, I think you have a clear picture of what his role is going to be. 39:42.768 --> 39:45.432 [SPEAKER_00]: And if it says a platoon role, then he's really limited. 39:45.572 --> 39:48.778 [SPEAKER_00]: So for him, it just really comes down to what that role is going to be. 39:49.359 --> 39:53.145 [SPEAKER_00]: In general, I like the player a good bit. 39:53.125 --> 40:04.535 [SPEAKER_00]: Again, really good all round, five category upside here with Beaver's, so it's got to keep an eye on how his playing time situation and how his role with Baltimore shakes out over the next couple of weeks. 40:05.436 --> 40:12.142 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, price, eldritch, is it got that probably is going to start for San Fran on opening day. 40:12.642 --> 40:16.666 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, I guess they could send him back down to AAA. 40:17.367 --> 40:21.310 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, but right now he looks like he's going to be starting at DH. 40:21.290 --> 40:31.165 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, they get divers at first, maybe they kind of rotate those two, give divers a time at DH and get Eldridge in there, but this is going to be a god of that. 40:31.313 --> 40:35.099 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, honestly, I put a pull out, I forget what you count. 40:35.119 --> 40:36.922 [SPEAKER_00]: It might have been even from like the Rotable Rakaners. 40:37.002 --> 40:38.204 [SPEAKER_00]: Honestly, forget what you kind of was. 40:38.264 --> 40:39.406 [SPEAKER_00]: It was like a month or so ago. 40:40.227 --> 40:45.956 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, what do you think was gonna have a better season between Murakami and Eldridge? 40:45.976 --> 40:48.560 [SPEAKER_00]: Because I think they could be actually pretty close. 40:48.580 --> 40:51.665 [SPEAKER_00]: Maybe a little bit lower on the average side, but plenty of power. 40:51.945 --> 40:55.110 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, if Eldridge gets 500 plus player appearances, 40:55.090 --> 41:08.847 [SPEAKER_00]: I can see him pop in 25 to 30 homeowners this year, just like Merakami, Eldridge has shown he's one of the best power hitters in the game today, especially for prospects, and he has some of the highest power upside in general. 41:09.468 --> 41:23.646 [SPEAKER_00]: So I could easily see him being a sizable power impact guy right off the bat, even at the average is a little bit on the lower side, but his 41:23.626 --> 41:42.124 [SPEAKER_00]: So he's a guy that's 12 team Yahoo League, late round flyer, 15 teamer, you know, one of your last, you know, five guys or so, another, you know, another influencer for some depth there, probably not starting him, but a lot of upsides, so he's a guy that could power his way into starting lineup for fantasy purposes. 41:42.104 --> 41:43.686 [SPEAKER_00]: Don't love the ballpark though. 41:43.706 --> 41:47.090 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, that's always been a park that limits power. 41:47.571 --> 41:55.321 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, again, it was at a Domace was the first guy at 30 as a giant since Perry bonds in 2000. 41:55.341 --> 41:59.306 [SPEAKER_00]: Well, year was at four or five, something like that. 41:59.326 --> 42:02.070 [SPEAKER_00]: So it was like 20 year, you know, two decade gap. 42:02.337 --> 42:05.480 [SPEAKER_00]: but Eldert has, as I like to call it, big boy power. 42:05.901 --> 42:10.265 [SPEAKER_00]: So if anybody were hit 30, again from that team, he could be a good candidate to do so. 42:10.886 --> 42:15.791 [SPEAKER_00]: So I guess you're looking for some power as a later on flyer, he is a great place to look. 42:16.611 --> 42:24.079 [SPEAKER_00]: Harry Ford and Moses by a stereo, both back end of the top 480p, again, that's on NFBC drafts. 42:24.720 --> 42:27.783 [SPEAKER_00]: So you're probably not looking at these guys outside of two-culture formats. 42:28.403 --> 42:32.007 [SPEAKER_00]: But I do like them and decent bit in that type of format. 42:31.987 --> 42:36.098 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, given that, you know, Ford has been a guy, you know, the steel is went down last year. 42:36.158 --> 42:40.289 [SPEAKER_00]: He's got it has always been, you know, providing some speed element. 42:40.770 --> 42:42.615 [SPEAKER_00]: Got it gives you a good contact skills. 42:42.675 --> 42:47.768 [SPEAKER_00]: We're going to be all approached the on base abilities are top notch. 42:47.748 --> 42:49.171 [SPEAKER_00]: And they're stinky power there, too. 42:49.191 --> 42:51.496 [SPEAKER_00]: There's like 15 to 18 homer pop there, too. 42:51.516 --> 43:06.726 [SPEAKER_00]: So do you get the chance to start over, you know, a keybearer weasel, whether that be opening day or later in the season, I think you could be a sneaky waver wire guy at some point in the season, especially in two catcher formats for sure. 43:06.967 --> 43:09.672 [SPEAKER_00]: I like him more than bias arrows this year. 43:09.652 --> 43:22.270 [SPEAKER_00]: And I'll just mention in passing and before we get out of here, some of these other names as we're getting well past 12, 15, 15 team formats and more until like the deeper, draft and hold, best buy, DC formats. 43:22.951 --> 43:25.455 [SPEAKER_00]: But some upside guys, I like that. 43:25.695 --> 43:30.542 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, guys that, to monitor, because, you know, if there's an injury, bam, they could be right in there. 43:30.923 --> 43:36.030 [SPEAKER_00]: Quickly, Cole Emerson with Seattle, you know, obviously, you know, 43:36.010 --> 43:42.802 [SPEAKER_00]: guy that can hit for a high average, high OPP, you know, 20 homer, type of guy, maybe double the just deals. 43:43.223 --> 43:46.449 [SPEAKER_00]: He's almost like, you know, another comparison. 43:46.469 --> 43:59.031 [SPEAKER_00]: He's almost kind of like, a mechanical but skilled back, you know, kind of similar, doesn't do everything quite as well as mechanical, but a similar type of player just, you know, to take 85% of that or something like that. 43:59.011 --> 44:05.379 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, if he's up, you know, probably be more at second base, and I can see him being a pretty decent asset this year. 44:06.000 --> 44:13.349 [SPEAKER_00]: Jacob Mellon, and he's got to watch in Tampa Bay, 8 in Miller, and Philly, good power speed guy. 44:13.709 --> 44:17.975 [SPEAKER_00]: You know, I thought maybe they were going to make a trade, it may be Alec Bowman was going to be sent out. 44:18.015 --> 44:23.822 [SPEAKER_00]: The open up a spot for Miller to slide over from short to third, but, you know, it hasn't happened yet. 44:23.842 --> 44:28.528 [SPEAKER_00]: So he's probably waiting for an injury, and he's already been dealing with an injury himself, 44:28.508 --> 44:32.646 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a very high upside guy that is probably just 44:33.301 --> 44:38.647 [SPEAKER_00]: could spend more of the of the year in the majors than Triple A. 44:38.667 --> 44:41.090 [SPEAKER_00]: So definitely a high-ups a guy at the monitor there. 44:41.591 --> 44:45.235 [SPEAKER_00]: Tim is right in the management and there's some rumblings he might be opening day. 44:45.675 --> 44:50.381 [SPEAKER_00]: I don't see it, but he's also a guy that I think is up before the mid-way point of the season. 44:50.881 --> 44:52.884 [SPEAKER_00]: He got to be a 15 to 20 homer guy. 44:52.924 --> 44:53.765 [SPEAKER_00]: Maybe even more. 44:53.805 --> 44:57.269 [SPEAKER_00]: There's pretty sticky could-rop power there with Wallachman. 44:57.309 --> 45:01.013 [SPEAKER_00]: He already had a really high EV, he was like 115 something. 45:00.993 --> 45:06.888 [SPEAKER_00]: this spring, so really good all-round profile, speed on base abilities, context skills. 45:07.469 --> 45:11.519 [SPEAKER_00]: So he's a fun guy and air zone on the outfield is kind of in flux right now. 45:11.559 --> 45:16.251 [SPEAKER_00]: So he's a guy that I absolutely could see getting plenty of time. 45:16.771 --> 45:17.893 [SPEAKER_00]: at the major league level. 45:18.895 --> 45:23.023 [SPEAKER_00]: Two more guys, actually, four more guys I want to mention real quick. 45:23.524 --> 45:24.947 [SPEAKER_00]: There's just so many good rookies this year. 45:24.967 --> 45:32.943 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, Joshua Bias, another name, huge raw power, good athlete, a ton of steel is last year. 45:33.003 --> 45:37.311 [SPEAKER_00]: Made huge huge improvements in terms of contact. 45:37.291 --> 45:45.895 [SPEAKER_00]: in dropping the straight gut rate so he won't for me guy that was kind of falling off the radar to a guy that's in top 25 prospect discussion right now. 45:46.597 --> 45:53.275 [SPEAKER_00]: He's probably got mid seasons and the guy to keep an eye on and he kind of maybe jump the fab and get him ahead of you know. 45:53.255 --> 46:02.667 [SPEAKER_00]: You know league mates in terms of you know not having to wait for fab for him or we're getting him and stashing him We could do it in advance because he's gonna be up at some point. 46:02.727 --> 46:07.593 [SPEAKER_00]: I guarantee that and there's a really fantasy Friendly profile there with Joshua Bias. 46:08.134 --> 46:22.452 [SPEAKER_00]: I think Jet Williams is a guy that forces Milwaukee's hand early in the season His 80p is like near 500 so again, not a guy you're looking at in your typical you know 12 team 15 team league I'll set up super deep formats 46:22.432 --> 46:34.713 [SPEAKER_00]: but I think he's gonna force his way into that short stop position and whether that is pushing or T is the third and where he foot to the bench or pushing or T to the bench or those in injury. 46:35.415 --> 46:39.141 [SPEAKER_00]: I think those guys are just keeping the seats warm. 46:39.121 --> 46:40.223 [SPEAKER_00]: for jet Williams. 46:40.283 --> 46:44.289 [SPEAKER_00]: It got to has really good on base abilities, solid contact skills. 46:44.749 --> 46:56.567 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a plus runner and another guy that has more power than people give him credit for probably more of a 12 to 15 homer guy, but definitely don't think he's like a slapheader single digit homer guy. 46:56.587 --> 47:00.252 [SPEAKER_00]: I think he could be like a mid teens homer guy over a full season. 47:00.232 --> 47:09.800 [SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, that's giving you, that's where he's giving you, he goes it's like 10-20 this year in 400 plate appearances, he'll give you a good average. 47:09.820 --> 47:11.822 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, that's to be a pretty good investment right there. 47:11.842 --> 47:20.009 [SPEAKER_00]: I last two, our outfielders, Spencer Jones, Zach Avine, Jones is a guy, I'm just not targeting at all. 47:20.289 --> 47:30.238 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I think I've talked about him 7,000 times on this podcast, 47:30.218 --> 47:31.239 [SPEAKER_00]: The speed is there. 47:31.620 --> 47:38.469 [SPEAKER_00]: There's been a lot of that video of him kind of changing his stance a little bit going with the toe tap to mimic Otani. 47:39.230 --> 47:42.915 [SPEAKER_00]: That's all great, but he's still going to make contact and that's been a massive issue for him. 47:43.616 --> 47:49.003 [SPEAKER_00]: We'll see, you know, the upside can rival most anybody or any prospect in the game today. 47:48.983 --> 48:13.490 [SPEAKER_00]: But the downside is just so risky with him that I just don't want anything to do with it, especially not this year or ever, really, even though I still have him as a top 100 guy because of the upside, I can never figure out where I wanna rank him, but this year, I mean, they brought in like five outfielders, a lot of these non-Roster and Vitees, they're sort of trying to find a spot for Jason Dominguez. 48:14.191 --> 48:17.995 [SPEAKER_00]: I just don't see him unless there's an injury 48:17.975 --> 48:21.147 [SPEAKER_00]: two would be needed to get him into the lineup. 48:21.810 --> 48:27.732 [SPEAKER_00]: So I'm not really looking at Jones this year, Bazaak Veens, a guy that just keep an eye on him. 48:27.830 --> 48:29.773 [SPEAKER_00]: He's a guy that has a fantasy-friendly profile. 48:30.354 --> 48:33.338 [SPEAKER_00]: And that's always stolen ton of bags. 48:34.019 --> 48:53.668 [SPEAKER_00]: He got a bunch of average raw power, coarse field, context skills, I've been fine too, walks out of these and clip, a lot of good there last year, he had his ups and downs, but hey, he's clean, you know, provo to you, Zach, for getting clean, love to hear that. 48:53.648 --> 48:57.214 [SPEAKER_00]: added 43 pounds and I see a lot of people poo pooing that. 48:57.875 --> 48:59.537 [SPEAKER_00]: Oh, you know, how could you do that one off season? 49:00.118 --> 49:02.382 [SPEAKER_00]: Well, it wasn't just him adding 43 pounds of bulk. 49:02.402 --> 49:09.193 [SPEAKER_00]: It was him getting clean and getting out of some bad habits, which some of those bad habits could cause you to lose weight, you know. 49:09.673 --> 49:15.563 [SPEAKER_00]: So I, I believe it maybe maybe 43 is a little bit overblown, but I, you know, you just look at him. 49:15.643 --> 49:20.871 [SPEAKER_00]: He looks like he's just in, you know, for lack of a better term, the best shape of his life. 49:20.851 --> 49:21.752 [SPEAKER_00]: So I'm really excited. 49:21.892 --> 49:26.896 [SPEAKER_00]: I'm not sure if he's up opening day, but he's a guy just given the upside, given the home ballpark. 49:27.777 --> 49:33.442 [SPEAKER_00]: And I think decent enough chance to play 400 plus played appearances for Colorado this season. 49:34.003 --> 49:50.217 [SPEAKER_00]: I think Vines is a guy to absolutely just keep a eye on, put him on your watch list, write him down and you know book if you're able to go, whatever you gotta do, just don't forget about Zach Main and keep an eye on him, rest of the spring and early on in the season, if he's back down in AAA. 49:50.197 --> 49:54.506 [SPEAKER_00]: But so many names here is a lot of other names that could have gotten into. 49:54.566 --> 50:02.542 [SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I didn't even mention Walker Jenkins, who's already hurt again, you know, Bisona could be up mid season, Charlie Condon could be up mid season. 50:03.143 --> 50:04.105 [SPEAKER_00]: What are other names here? 50:04.907 --> 50:06.670 [SPEAKER_00]: But I will cap it there. 50:06.650 --> 50:08.734 [SPEAKER_00]: Thanks for everyone for tuning in. 50:09.275 --> 50:23.241 [SPEAKER_00]: I'll be back with you all early next week with a two episodes next week and two episodes every week leading up to opening day and next week I will have the picture version of this so keep an eye out for that but until then everyone take care.