[SPEAKER_02]: Welcome to the Toolshed, a podcast covering all levels of professional baseball to help give you the edge in your dynasty leagues.
[SPEAKER_02]: From the MLB draft, all the way to the show, the Toolshed podcast has you covered with rankings, player analysis, and in-depth discussion.
[SPEAKER_02]: And now, here's your host, Eric Cross.
[SPEAKER_00]: What's up, everyone?
[SPEAKER_00]: Welcome into another episode of the Toolshed Podcast brought to you by Rotobar.
[SPEAKER_00]: This is episode 445.
[SPEAKER_00]: Thank you for joining me.
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm your host, Eric Cross.
[SPEAKER_00]: You can find me on Twitter at Eric Cross MLB.
[SPEAKER_00]: And the show is at Toolshed Pod.
[SPEAKER_01]: apologies for the delay in this episode recorded it on Thursday night last week but had some technical difficulties and didn't want to put out a sub-par audio quality podcast so to start it to delay and try it again and
[SPEAKER_01]: dusting off the crystal ball once again in this episode after doing so last episode with the prospect crystal ball with Chris Cleg which is a phenomenal episode.
[SPEAKER_01]: So if you miss that absolutely go back and check that one out episode 444 this time it is the Dynasty crystal ball version always love doing these episodes every spring
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, part of the game and a big part of the game in dinosaur leagues is looking to the future and kind of projecting players who could rise up who could fall off what prospects could emerge always a fun exercise to do every spring so really enjoy these ones.
[SPEAKER_01]: But before I get into all of that, the usual housekeeping, if you enjoy the podcast, please rate and review.
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[SPEAKER_01]: All right, so that's a crystal ball and three years into the future.
[SPEAKER_01]: So 2029, opening day April 1st, 2029, whatever you want to call it, and I'm not projecting who will be the best players in 2029.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm doing it more so as who will be the top players ranked in dynasty rankings in 2029.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to go five players each in field position, 12 outfielders and 12 starting pitchers, not doing relievers because that's as everyone knows and dancing.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's kind of a crap shoot, you know, three years and now.
[SPEAKER_01]: So not doing relievers, but five catcher, five first, five second, five third, five short, 12 outfield, 12 starting pitcher and I will give a dark horse slash.
[SPEAKER_01]: Honorable mention can be a mix of those two terms for each position as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: Let's start with the catcher spot, which really fun one.
[SPEAKER_01]: And I think I'm becoming a catcher guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: I just love so many of the young catchers and baseball right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: I feel like you could give eight or nine guys into these top five slots, but starting with number five, I want Augustine Ramirez with the Miami Marlins.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, Ramirez, there's a lot of, I think varying rankings on him right now, because on one hand he went to 21 16 last year as a rookie, which is really good.
[SPEAKER_01]: On the other hand, 231 adverse 287 OBP, but you know, the skills are there to improve upon those.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, maybe not so much the OBP, you know, he didn't walk a lot last year, so maybe the OBP is always a little
[SPEAKER_01]: But he had above average contact skills last year, 86.3% inzone contact rate kept the strike out right under 20% above average quality of contact metrics, he's always going to catch you that runs a bit, he's not a burner, my bany means does not have a high sprint speed, but he's always stolen bags.
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, so I think you can see, you know, additional 20 plus 10 plus seasons from him with a better average, he'll be 27 and 29.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I feel like he's got to stay in that top five consideration as as long as he gets to that average up a little bit, which I believe he can.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'll guess he'd remember as number five.
[SPEAKER_01]: four and three.
[SPEAKER_01]: I flip up these guys multiple times.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's the two older guys of this five sum here.
[SPEAKER_01]: Cal Rally in number four slot here.
[SPEAKER_01]: He'll be 32 in 2022 and Shale Angoliers.
[SPEAKER_01]: It'll be 31.
[SPEAKER_01]: They might still be number one and number two in terms of like redraft or at least up in that top three or so, so I don't think I have the one I've got to fall off anytime soon.
[SPEAKER_01]: In languages, it's just keeps getting better and better.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, you get a career year to last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: 31 home runs 277, 325, 536 slash line.
[SPEAKER_01]: drop the K rate by about seven and a half per cent, improve the zone and overall context rates by about 4% each is keep hitting better and better as a pure hitter while also maintaining his power.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's not a leap power, but it's a well above average power.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's good angles, you know, the angles last year, I mean, all four years of his career, he said really good batted ball angles, both in terms of air, pull, and pull air rate.
[SPEAKER_01]: And he gets to hit in a very good park in the top half of a very good line up for the athletics set is a really good line up, especially with the top two thirds or so.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think he's going to stay around as a top five catcher for the next half decade or so is he until he gets into his, you know, early to mid 30s.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't see Langlor still in any time soon.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I do think he's going to jump past.
[SPEAKER_01]: Rallie at some point, maybe even this year.
[SPEAKER_01]: And that's no slight to Rallie whatsoever.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, obviously he's not going to have 60 homerums again, but can he still be a at 252 60 hitter with 35 to 40 homerums?
[SPEAKER_01]: Absolutely.
[SPEAKER_01]: So these guys are a tough or back-to-back for me here and I think you know either was way with them, but you know that I don't think they'll be number one and number two in dynasty rankings just given that they'll be 31 and 32 respectively.
[SPEAKER_01]: But Langoliers in the three spot, Calaroli in the four spot,
[SPEAKER_01]: in the two spots going with Drake Baldwin with the Atlanta Braves, I think he's just a safe bet.
[SPEAKER_01]: He might not have quite the upside of the other names around him here, but let's look at the metrics that Baldwin had as a rookie catcher last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, strike at rate only 15.2%.
[SPEAKER_01]: Above average quality of contact across the board, including 11% in Barrel rate in a 49.6% heart hit rate, context skills were above average.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, the real only real work here.
[SPEAKER_01]: was, you know, the bad-a-balling was worth the greatest, he had only a 51% error rate, and a 15% pull error rate.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's really nitpicking, and maybe you can nitpick the batting averaging as off speed as well, although not a high wiff rate against off speed.
[SPEAKER_01]: not really terribly worried there, you know, Baldwin's really really good hitter.
[SPEAKER_01]: Got that's going to hit you a 270 plus 20 plus for a long time.
[SPEAKER_01]: So if he's just a safe guy to put in this top five and the fact that he'll only be 27 in the 2022 nine season.
[SPEAKER_01]: feels like he's going to be pretty high of a dash here inks as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: So ball one in the two spot, which leaves number one, Samuel Bassayo.
[SPEAKER_01]: I've, you know, kind of comp Tim to a young Rafi Devers, where the power is elite.
[SPEAKER_01]: Like I think Bassayo's going to be a 30 plus homer guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: Especially if he continues, they continue doing this, you know, where he's mostly the aging thing, you know, backing up Adley sometimes and enough to keep that eligibility, which I think would be the best case scenario for besides value, where he plays enough behind the plate to keep the the eligibility, but not enough to like really deal that, you know, the rigors of a full season of catching.
[SPEAKER_01]: So,
[SPEAKER_01]: This could be a really good situation for him.
[SPEAKER_01]: The power is near elite.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's one of the better hard hit rates among young players and baseball last year, especially in AAA.
[SPEAKER_01]: And maybe the context skills are a bit below average, similar to Devers, but I feel like the side doesn't have damage when he makes contact where the average is still gonna be decent.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's a hit 260 to 70 in that range, 30 home runs or so.
[SPEAKER_01]: in the beginning of the 20-29 season, so that's kind of what gave him the edge over the rest.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, obviously, the skills, but the fact that he'll only be 24, so he goes into the number one spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: So again, five through one, Augustine Ramirez, Cal Raleigh, Shay Langoliers, Greg Baldwin, Samuel Pesayo, the Dark Horse, I'm on radial Rodriguez with the St. Louis Cardinals.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I think he absolutely has these skills to be a top five fantasy catcher.
[SPEAKER_01]: I didn't put him there quite yet.
[SPEAKER_01]: He'll only be 22 in 2022 and 29 and this position is very, very talented.
[SPEAKER_01]: So given the fact that he'll still be really young, probably not fully established by that time, though I do think he's debuted by that time, but maybe not, you know, again, establishing himself as a top 10 option quite yet at that point in time.
[SPEAKER_01]: Plus the double plus, you know, context skills were, you know, fine last year on 74% that's not bad, 74 75% range for a young catcher.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, that's fine.
[SPEAKER_01]: The approach is very good.
[SPEAKER_01]: He had a 15% walk rate, 18% strike up right last year, 20 home runs and 84 games.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he could be every bit as good as Beside, I like that's the upside.
[SPEAKER_01]: Obviously he's a lot further away, but you know, if everything clicks that ceiling is right in that Beside range.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I will give a radio where we get the dark horse selection here.
[SPEAKER_01]: Moving over to first base, a position where a lot of the top guys are
[SPEAKER_01]: getting a little older and then when you add three years on to it, you know, I think they start pushing out of the top five, at least in dinosaur rankings, they'll probably still be again top five in like redraft rankings, I don't expect these guys to like completely become, you know, non-factors in dinosaur state, but when you look at like the Bryce Harper's, you know,
[SPEAKER_01]: Well, Harper would be like 3637 at that point, and then you've got Peter Lanzo who is a tough emission, he'll be like 3435, you know, Davers will be 3233, also only 35, just a lot of these guys.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think it's a bit hard to
[SPEAKER_01]: kind of put in that top five of dynasty rankings at that time.
[SPEAKER_01]: So you won't see any of those guys in this set of I've here, but I'll start with a number five and I'm going Bryce Eldridge, he'll be 24.
[SPEAKER_01]: This is the one I struggled with either this fifth one is when I really struggled with the other four.
[SPEAKER_01]: I came up with pretty easily the fifth one.
[SPEAKER_01]: I was like, would I go with a Peter Lanzo, but he'll be 35, do I go?
[SPEAKER_01]: Like a 31-year-old Bush, 32-year-old Deborah's, you know, a 31-year-old at the past with Tina, I think those guys could all be in the mix absolutely, but I'm not going with Eldridge.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's still some questions with the contact with the strikeouts, you know, at this point, I'm still questioning these more than a 242-50 hitter, and obviously the ballpark not great, but Eldridge has that power that transcends ball parks.
[SPEAKER_01]: I tweeted that out like, well, three, four days ago, whatever it was, I said, you know, if divers doesn't do it, what you probably will, elders are going to break the streak of no lefty, not named Barry bonds hitting 30 hormones for the giants.
[SPEAKER_01]: The last one before Barry bonds will Clark in 1987.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think, you know, I mean, Daniel's will do it, but I think Eldridge will as well, so as long as he can keep the average and cratering to like 220, he can keep it close to 250 with 30 plus home runs, a bunch of RBI as well, they can at least get into that top five discussion.
[SPEAKER_01]: So with no other clear option to go over him at that point in time, especially those older guys, which again will probably be more like in the 6 to 10 range of down to see rankings at that point in time, starting to go with the brace Eldridge in the 5 spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: The force bought and I already want to push him higher than this, but I can't because I like the other three guys a little bit more south steward south steward's a beast and anyone that's watched him and see that if you followed him through the minor leagues this guy hits the ball hard he makes contact he keeps the K right in check walk great it's kind of fluctuated a little bit some not sure like how big of an OBP guy he's going to be but this guy is going to hit you 260 plus especially given the bad bit boost of Graham record ballpark.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's going to hit your 30 plus home runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: So he's going to be basically I think him and an Eldridge could be pretty similar in terms of home rent totals, but but Stewart should hit shed another 20 25 or so points in the batting average department.
[SPEAKER_01]: And he's already off to a really hot start this season.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he got the nationally played off the week of I saw correctly on Twitter earlier today before I started a record in this.
[SPEAKER_01]: So
[SPEAKER_01]: Really good start of this season for South Stewart.
[SPEAKER_01]: We used to have a big year this year and he'll only be twenty four in twenty twenty nine.
[SPEAKER_01]: So pretty easy pick to go into this top four as was Ben Rice.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I have here in the three spot, I mean Ben Rice and there's some nice areas out there that feel like the values being pushed to high and yeah sure it might be.
[SPEAKER_01]: But there's a reason for it, and the reason is those underlying metrics, which are just insanely elite nearly across the board, either above average or elite everywhere offensively last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: It was a 15.4% barrel rate, 93 mile an hour average EV, 56% heart hit rate, better than League average and walk and strike out hit good bad at ball angles, love average contact rates, better than average chase rate.
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, everything's either above average or elite with Ben Rice, you know, he can add, you know, handful of steals as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's a B guy that is a full time first baseman at this point.
[SPEAKER_01]: Hence why I did not put him at catcher.
[SPEAKER_01]: I do think, well, he might maintain eligibility now.
[SPEAKER_01]: I feel like come three years from now, when 2029 begins.
[SPEAKER_01]: I feel like Ben Rice is a full-time first base from at that point.
[SPEAKER_01]: Don't think they're going to be bringing him back a 42-year-old Goldschmin at that point time to play some first base.
[SPEAKER_01]: Rice is a phenomenal header.
[SPEAKER_01]: I've been banging that drum ever since I saw him live in AA a few years back.
[SPEAKER_01]: love the bad is it be 29 on that point times is still on the right side of 30 so race in three spot here which takes me to the top two which are already currently the top two and I don't see that changing
[SPEAKER_01]: Any time soon, I am going in Vlad Jr. in the two spot and Kurtz in the one spot, which is where I currently have them right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: If you want to flip flop it, I have no issue with that.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, with the age factor here, Kurtz is going to be what is Kurtz.
[SPEAKER_01]: But four years younger and he'll be 25 come opening day 29 and Vlad E will be 29.
[SPEAKER_01]: So that's still young, so I'm glad it'll be.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, over 30 or anything like that.
[SPEAKER_01]: And that is absolutely safer.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's zero doubt about it.
[SPEAKER_01]: Vlad is safer.
[SPEAKER_01]: You look at all the metrics for him are just really, really good across the board.
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, the angles aren't great.
[SPEAKER_01]: They've never been great.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's always at a higher ground ball, right?
[SPEAKER_01]: Lower air rate, lower pole rate.
[SPEAKER_01]: He uses the entire field.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's one of the best pure hitters in all baseball and that's been very apparent for his entire career.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a two 89 career hitter and maybe he doesn't return to that elite.
[SPEAKER_01]: Now what he have 40 was 48 homeruns.
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, 48 homeruns back in 2021.
[SPEAKER_01]: But they're playing in a minor league park.
[SPEAKER_01]: But he's a give you in the vicinity of like, you know, 25 to 33, you know, 30 give or take, you know, handful either way.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's on hit your good average.
[SPEAKER_01]: Very rare, you know, a very low risk, I should say possibility of it.
[SPEAKER_01]: It was average cratering at the contact skills and the quality of contact or just too good for that to happen.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's going to give you 90 plus runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's going to give you 80 plus
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, he, I don't remember when exactly he came up, but I pretty sure he played most every game in 2020 and 2019 after he came up and he played every game in 2020 and then the last five years he missed one, two, six, three, and six games.
[SPEAKER_01]: So yeah, love the durability.
[SPEAKER_01]: I hope I didn't just jinx him, but he's just a safe bet for
[SPEAKER_01]: elite for category production or really good for category production, good volume, durability, he's safe and then Kurtz has the higher upside, still a little bit of an issue with the strike out, it was 31% last year, you know, context skills below average as of now, but it does so much damage and doesn't chase either.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's a big thing.
[SPEAKER_01]: I feel like when you see below average context
[SPEAKER_01]: and high chase rate, that's a combination to be concerned by.
[SPEAKER_01]: And yeah, I would love for the context of those that would be a little better here with Kurds, but you only had a 22% chase rate last year, which is very good.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think you see these guys that don't chase a lot, you know, I think they can still hit for a decent average with that said,
[SPEAKER_01]: I think the $2.90 average is on the high end of what we're going to see from Kurds.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think you'll probably more or $262.70, but that could come with 40 to 50 homeruns in that ballpark with his power is a lead power, 18% barrel rate, 51% heart hit rate, 93 mile an hour average EV.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's probably a little bit of a lower average than cloudy, but he'll make that up with more home runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: Probably more RBI, you know, so again, they're very close, but the fact that if they were like the exact same age, you know, I might give the edge of the cloudy here, but
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, Kurt's four years under, so the scales tilt him a little bit at this first base spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: So five to one, Eldridge, South Stewart, Ben Rice, Vlad Junior, Nick Kurtz, the Dark Horse Selection, Joe Sway, Bersanio.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's out right now for a few months.
[SPEAKER_01]: I can't remember the exact timeline, but that's a bummer.
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe he doesn't debut later this year.
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe he's more of a
[SPEAKER_01]: thought process with him as with Ben Rice.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not saying they're a direct comparison, but when I saw Ben Rice live, sometimes you just see a guy, you know, like man, this guy's legit.
[SPEAKER_01]: Sometimes it takes getting eyes on these players to kind of really open your eyes to them.
[SPEAKER_01]: And same thing with Brazinho.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I like to Brazinho,
[SPEAKER_01]: And then the years of fall League over the last couple of years, and I became very high on Mercedes.
[SPEAKER_01]: Guy makes contact.
[SPEAKER_01]: Guy has a good approach, the power is there, he could easily be a really good 4 category first baseman.
[SPEAKER_01]: Guy gives you good average and a good OPP, 25 plus home runs, drives you in some runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's a settle in nicely to the middle of that Detroit line up, and probably
[SPEAKER_01]: Clark and McGonagall hitting front of him.
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, that's going to be a very good Detroit lineup him adding into it.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think you can see him really rise up guidance.
[SPEAKER_01]: He rankings and even push top five in the next, you know, three, four years or so.
[SPEAKER_01]: Interesting position because right now this is not a good position.
[SPEAKER_01]: I was hoping some guys might move over.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the thing, you know, some of these short stops are going to move off of short, whether it's the third a corner out field the second.
[SPEAKER_01]: We'll see luckily we are did one big name short stop project move over this year.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's nice.
[SPEAKER_01]: Not sure who else does though.
[SPEAKER_01]: So this position probably isn't maybe that great or we can pair it up to the other infield positions, but let's start with number five.
[SPEAKER_01]: And I'm going Jackson holiday here at number five.
[SPEAKER_01]: And obviously I'm not quite as high on Jackson holiday as most, but there's definite 2020 appeal here with holiday and he's shown that.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think if he's a guy that can go 250 plus 20 plus 20 plus,
[SPEAKER_01]: That'll probably keep you in the top five conversation at this second-based position.
[SPEAKER_01]: And I think this Baltimore lineup is going to be pretty good long-term.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, I know they're a little down last year, but they still got a lot of talent.
[SPEAKER_01]: you know, a whole day above average power above average speed dropped the K rate a ton last year that was really encouraging from 33 to 21 and a half percent increase the walk rate a little bit increase the contact skills by a lot up to right around league average contact rates and he's still very young and he's still 22 right now, he's
[SPEAKER_01]: to be like 24, 25 come opening day 29.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I thought if you like you can see him 250 plus, you know, 20 to 25 home runs, 20 to 25 steals as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: And that will put you in that top five discussion.
[SPEAKER_01]: Bryce Terang, I have in the four spot, he's a hard one because I'm one hand, the quality of contact went way up to career best marks easily across the board for him.
[SPEAKER_01]: But 10 of his 18 home runs came in one month in August last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: So
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, I don't know.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's like, how many home runs is he going to give you up, but even if he's down the like 12 to 15 range, there's 30 plus steel wheels here.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's already shown that he said a 50 steel year already.
[SPEAKER_01]: He can hit for a good average.
[SPEAKER_01]: He can get on base.
[SPEAKER_01]: He can score a good amount of runs, so I feel like he's sick.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's just taken around at least for the next few years.
[SPEAKER_01]: This was like four or five years out.
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe I wouldn't have him top five, but he'll be in his, you know, the end part of his 20s during this time frame, we 29 and 29.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I feel like Bryce Forens got a few more good years, good like top five, caliber years at this position.
[SPEAKER_01]: Especially if some of these other guys, the short stops I mentioned prospects do not move over that my push him out, but for now, I think he can hold on the top five value.
[SPEAKER_01]: In the three spot, jazz, chism, junior, who everyone knows has the highest upside of anybody you know, at this position right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: And he's got it already has a 30 30 year under his belt.
[SPEAKER_01]: Has said he wants to go 40 40.
[SPEAKER_01]: Obviously, we'll see if he does, but he has the skills to 130 to 130 one, 31 last year, 24 40 the year before that.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, above average to plus power with, you know, Yankee Stadium to aid him as a lefty hitter and, you know, speed is, you know, it's middle of actually been all the pack and sprint speed, but he's always been super aggressive.
[SPEAKER_01]: on the base paths.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'd expect another 30 plus 30 plus year or two out of him.
[SPEAKER_01]: He'll be 31 coming 2029.
[SPEAKER_01]: So a little bit on the older side in terms of these top 5s go, but that's the all-round categorical juice will still be there for jazz.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'll put him in the three spot in the two spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: Luke Kieshal.
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, another guy where I'm not sure if the power is more than like 15-ish or so, but even if he can get into those mid-teens, I have like 13 to 17 homerons every year.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's 30 plus steel wheels here.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a plus runner.
[SPEAKER_01]: The approach is very good.
[SPEAKER_01]: Only a 14% K rate last year as a rookie.
[SPEAKER_01]: 9.2% walk rate and he has some decent batted ball angles.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, in the majors last year wasn't the greatest, but he's a guy that can use the entire field.
[SPEAKER_01]: And he can elevate, you know, a little bit though again, the air rate was only 54% as a rookie last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, the context goes are better thanly garage.
[SPEAKER_01]: Chase rate better thanly garage.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's a lot of good here with Kishul.
[SPEAKER_01]: So if he's like a 15 homer 30 plus steel type.
[SPEAKER_01]: score a ton of runs, hit a good average, probably a good OVP.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he can be one of the better benefits to take a basement in the game for the next handful of years.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'll put him in the two spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: And the ones, but the guy I traded for in my home, keep a league about a month ago, maybe a little less, JJ weatherhole, who is the short subprostric.
[SPEAKER_01]: I alluded to a few minutes ago, whom we've over the second base, and then he's the only one that I feel really good about staying here.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think the other so many of the names I might mention later are going to move over to second base, although they might.
[SPEAKER_01]: But obviously, whether he'll already has and he's already after a good start this year, had a home run, a walk off, hit as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, a guy that just does a lot of things well.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, the approach is plus or better, you know, he had more walks and caves for most of his minor league career.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's 20 plus home or pop.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's 20 steel wheels here.
[SPEAKER_01]: I got this got to hit you a high average.
[SPEAKER_01]: He had a above average contact rate last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, the really good approach.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a good five category guy, without any real weakness in the profile.
[SPEAKER_01]: And it doesn't have any red flags here.
[SPEAKER_01]: That are worried some right now with weatherhold.
[SPEAKER_01]: So,
[SPEAKER_01]: I feel like he's at a B, you know, I got that catapults to the top of second base rankings pretty close are pretty soon here and you know, it sticks around as one of the top guys in that in the game at this position for the next handful years probably longer.
[SPEAKER_01]: And so JJ weatherhole will be 26 in 29 he takes the top spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: So five to one Jackson holiday Bryce Trang.
[SPEAKER_01]: Just Shism Jr. Luke Kieshal, J.J. Weatherholtz, and the Dark Horse Sam Antanachi.
[SPEAKER_01]: I almost put him in the top five as it was.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not sure if he's at the end of the second third outfield, he's playing a little bit outfield right now in AAA, so maybe he doesn't end up at second base.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know, but I wanted to mention him at least some versions of that
[SPEAKER_01]: Anthony, he erupted in the rankings, he moves higher, if somebody dig into him, I get higher on him, the guy just hits.
[SPEAKER_01]: In my one hangup was, you know, at least before seeing him live, I didn't think there was a ton of juice in the bat.
[SPEAKER_01]: I knew he was, he could steal something, he'd steal a lot of bags.
[SPEAKER_01]: I knew he could put the bat on the ball and get on base.
[SPEAKER_01]: But I was just questioning where the, the home run powder was.
[SPEAKER_01]: use more of a good gap to gap double sky.
[SPEAKER_01]: Then I saw him in Arizona just hitting the ball hard all over the field.
[SPEAKER_01]: I still don't think he's a 20 plus homeer guy, but could he get into that 15 to 18 homeer range?
[SPEAKER_01]: Absolutely.
[SPEAKER_01]: Honestly, I thought there's a lot of similarities here between him and like a Luke Kieshal.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think down the road, you know, you could see a 15 30 type of guy with Sim Antonashi.
[SPEAKER_01]: And again, I still know what position that's gonna be at, but he's a really good hitter.
[SPEAKER_01]: And he's gonna be a pretty good fantasy asset down the road as well for this white sucks team.
[SPEAKER_01]: They're putting something together.
[SPEAKER_01]: We'll see if they can figure out the pitching side, but offensively, they got some pieces here.
[SPEAKER_01]: Over the next few years, they're gonna bring up and especially if they had rock chaloski,
[SPEAKER_01]: to that mix as well, who might be that I'm going to pick to them, is it upcoming summer?
[SPEAKER_01]: White starts their cooking something here and I'm not going to choose to be a big part of that.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a dark horse for second base, going over to the hot corner now at number five.
[SPEAKER_01]: Austin Riley.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, it was tough to not include Joe Ram here.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, the same way at second base, tough to not include, could tell marte, but again, this is how I believe that it's your rankings are going to look not who will be the best players again, redraft leagues.
[SPEAKER_01]: that particular year like Kittel Martale be like 35 and a half at this point in time.
[SPEAKER_01]: So he's not going to be a top five guy at this position.
[SPEAKER_01]: Joe Ram is going to be 36 and a half.
[SPEAKER_01]: So much so I love these guys especially Joe Ram can't put him in here.
[SPEAKER_01]: But Austin Riley will be like 31, 32, come, 20, 26.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'll put him in the five spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's because I don't only see a ton of other guys rising up over him.
[SPEAKER_01]: at this position, there's a lot of other names, top names now, or a little bit on the older side, as well, in addition to Joe Ram, you got Machado, who's already in his early 30s, you know, swore as, bragging in all of them.
[SPEAKER_01]: So the position isn't loaded as it is right now,
[SPEAKER_01]: But I think it could be.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think you're going to see some of the short shots move over here.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's where I have a couple of those big names.
[SPEAKER_01]: I talked about earlier in the episode.
[SPEAKER_01]: So in the five spot though, Austin Riley before I get to the other guys, Riley has not been the same Riley that we came to know.
[SPEAKER_01]: And love a few years ago, but the skills are still really good.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think you're going to see a nice bounce back from Austin Riley this season, maybe not get back to previous levels, but there's still a lot of good under the hood that should have people, you know, incurred for a bounce back.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, the quality of contact is still lead last year is 15% barrel rate, 92.3 mile an hour average EV, 50.2% hard hit rate,
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, the walk and strike out rates have been kind of stagnant though the key rate did take up a little bit last year, walk rate down a little bit, see if you can correct that this year.
[SPEAKER_01]: Angles have always been really good.
[SPEAKER_01]: Context skills have always been a tick below average, but not in the concerning levels, same thing with the chase rate.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think he's going to have a handful of more 260 plus 25 plus type of seasons.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think he doesn't enough just to stay in that top five.
[SPEAKER_01]: The Scottish had not at least close to it.
[SPEAKER_01]: In the forespot, I'm going to Michael Garcia.
[SPEAKER_01]: I already have Garcia ranked.
[SPEAKER_01]: pretty highly and he's got that obviously broke out last year and I think there could be a further breakout this year with them moving the fences in in Kansas City He had 16 home runs 23 steals last year some more power less speed than the previous year
[SPEAKER_01]: be still a solid runner, you know, there's a buff average power that he's finally tapping into more consistently in games as the launch angle went up, he's always had a buff average quality of contact, the approach metrics are really good, he doesn't strike out that much only a 12.6% K rate last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: career best 9.3% walkerate as well, 90 to 1.5% zone contact 85% overall contact, 21% chase rate, a lot of good here.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think you can see like a 20, 25 plus type of season out of my Cal Garcia with a good average with plenty of runs and he's only going to be 29, come 29, so I think he's still going to be one of the top five players at this position at that point in time.
[SPEAKER_01]: I like Garcia a lot.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a good buyer right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's a build off a last year and continue establishing himself as one of the best fantasy third baseman in the game in the three spot here.
[SPEAKER_01]: Here's the first short set moving over Leo de Vries with the athletics.
[SPEAKER_01]: Now we saw the upside.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, anyone at this fall is prospects, you know, already new de Vries.
[SPEAKER_01]: was one of the best prospects in the game even though the stats in the minor leagues haven't been gody but he's always been a little you know not a little young a lot young for every level he's been up you know last year he got the double a as an 18 year old and he had overall 15 home runs in 11 steals and 118 games 255 355 451 saw shine 12 and a half percent walk rate 20%
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, very young for the levels.
[SPEAKER_01]: He was at basically much more advanced than older competition.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think it was three home runs and three steals in spring training.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, the power is there.
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, maybe he takes down to more of an average runner, but I think it'll still add GF15 or so steals.
[SPEAKER_01]: With 25 plus home runs, plenty of counting stats as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think it'll hit for a decent average.
[SPEAKER_01]: Get a good OPP from him as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's always going to got a walks at a good clip.
[SPEAKER_01]: very advanced for his age.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think you're finally going to see someone that was gotty numbers come in to play here in 2026.
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe he debuted later this year, maybe not, maybe it's early 2027.
[SPEAKER_01]: But by 2029, when he's stoning to be 22 years old, I think he's already established himself as one of the best young fantasy infillters in the game.
[SPEAKER_01]: I do want to see how they kind of figure this out in, well, I'm not Oakland or
[SPEAKER_01]: They're going to be in Vegas by then.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't even know at this point.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think it.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't have a good answer on that.
[SPEAKER_01]: Is there even a year where there's supposed to be there?
[SPEAKER_01]: Feel that it was and then got pushed out.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know.
[SPEAKER_01]: Anyway, I'm rambling.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, wherever it's going to be, it's probably going to be a hitter from the park, whether it's still in Sacramento or Vegas.
[SPEAKER_01]: And that lineup should be pretty good as I mentioned earlier.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think there's a lot of good here in the profile of the breeze.
[SPEAKER_01]: What a good external factors as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: So if you move it over to third base, if they keep Wilson at short, they can move to raise the short and or keep the raise it short, move Wilson the second base, move the raise the second base.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's a few different options that come into play here.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I will see how this all plays out, but for this exercise at least, I'll have the raise moving over to third and wherever he does wind up, I think he's going to be one of the best fantasy options and one of the top ranked dynasty players in the game.
[SPEAKER_01]: So he's in the number three spot here at their base, another guy, another former source of prospect who's already moved over to their base, at least for the time being going to go with Kevin McGonagall here in the two spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: He'll be 24 years old in 2029.
[SPEAKER_01]: No.
[SPEAKER_01]: He is just one of the best pure hitters I've ever seen in the my league's at least Let's see guys.
[SPEAKER_01]: I've had a chance to see live.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think seven or eight games now six seven eight games can remember exactly but in between double a and the air is on the fall league last year
[SPEAKER_01]: So two different environments, two very different environments, the northeast and the southwest different times of the year.
[SPEAKER_01]: In last year hit 305, 408, 583, 19 home runs, 10 steals, more walks and strikeouts.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's been more walks and strikeouts at every single level.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's been at
[SPEAKER_01]: Just phenomenal.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, and there wasn't any that really that close height there like he's been at least 3% higher in the walker rate than the K rate everywhere and oftentimes even way more than that.
[SPEAKER_01]: So God is going to give you a good average good O BP that I'm very confident in.
[SPEAKER_01]: And even if the power speed isn't gody, I mean, he's got enough juice to be 20 plus home or bad.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's got enough speed to be a 10 plus seal guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: So if he's going 20 plus 10 plus plenty of runs, decent amount of RBIs, you know, great average no B p blend.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a high floor guy, you know, probably the highest floor of any prospecting baseball right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think he's a good candidate to be a top two top three third basements and he does
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not sure if they keep him there, if this is a long term move or just a short term move for him being a third base, where he is right now, but similar to what I said about the race, it doesn't matter where he runs up, he's the be a top player wherever, but for now, I'll say he stays at third and it is the number two guy in Dinosaur rankings in
[SPEAKER_01]: junior came an arrow.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, there's some naysayers out there that's, you know, are saying, oh, he's, you know, going back from San Bernard Field to the drop.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's a downgrade shirt.
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, it is.
[SPEAKER_01]: I can't deny that.
[SPEAKER_01]: But kiddinner's power, as we've seen, transcends ball parks.
[SPEAKER_01]: He hit a ton of home runs in the WBC.
[SPEAKER_01]: He had more home runs than,
[SPEAKER_01]: on the road that at home last year, I think was 23 on the road, 22 at home.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a very good power bat anywhere he goes.
[SPEAKER_01]: The config skills are actually pretty solid as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's not just an all enough in power bat.
[SPEAKER_01]: He had a carry under 20% and he had a above average zone contact right.
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, he doesn't walk a lot.
[SPEAKER_01]: So the OBP probably would have been super high.
[SPEAKER_01]: But this should be an annual threat to go over 40 home runs with a 260 plus average as well and plenty of RBI and runs and he's probably not going to give you more than a handful of steals, but that's fine.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's giving you all those runs and RBI and home runs and then decent average to go with it all.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's fine and he's only going to be 24 in 2029.
[SPEAKER_01]: So are 225 and 2029.
[SPEAKER_01]: So pretty easy selection here.
[SPEAKER_01]: though you know mechanical or debris is going over him.
[SPEAKER_01]: I won't be surprised they have the upside to to go over the cabinet.
[SPEAKER_01]: We'll see but for now I'll take him around a one.
[SPEAKER_01]: So for third base, Austin Riley, Mike Helger, Cia, Leo de Vries, and three spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: We're going to go to and junior camera one.
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, over to the shortstop position.
[SPEAKER_01]: Obviously, the big one here, when it's always the top position, every year in fantasy, it seems like I'm going to go, he's there's a mod A in the five spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: Not sure where they're going to play him is he's going to stick it short is he going to second is he going to third another guy that I'm just not quite sure where they're going to wind up putting him and they just signed Cooper Pratt to an extension which was very odd.
[SPEAKER_01]: kind of a head scratcher there.
[SPEAKER_01]: So they might be looking to play him at short long term.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I don't know.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know where mod is.
[SPEAKER_01]: Ultimately, he wants a home is going to be, but he's going to be really good.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's only going to be 21, come 29.
[SPEAKER_01]: He looks bigger this spring.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, he is bigger.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, I can guarantee that.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's bigger than he was last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: And so far, he has had a ton of home runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's been more like gap, power, doubles.
[SPEAKER_01]: But that powers there.
[SPEAKER_01]: The athleticism is there.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's a big guy that gives you 25 plus home runs and maybe he's ticks down in speed, maybe he's more like a 20 steel guy, but I think he could give you some 20 plus 20 plus type of seasons.
[SPEAKER_01]: The field of hit is there.
[SPEAKER_01]: Doesn't strike out much.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's very advanced first age as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: And the guy that got the double A last year
[SPEAKER_01]: especially when it's warranted and not just like randomly pushed like Ethan Salus was a few years ago like to freeze and mod day and then Connor Griffin on these guys definitely deserved it so I think that power speed blend is going to keep mod day you know on the upward trajectory and the sky
[SPEAKER_01]: It is the limit here with the mod.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's going to be one of the best players in the game.
[SPEAKER_01]: And I taught five players at this short stop position.
[SPEAKER_01]: But it's just so loaded because look at the four names of one of them.
[SPEAKER_01]: At number four, in number three, two, 27-year-olds, Gunner Henderson, and Ellie Dayla Cruz.
[SPEAKER_01]: Gunner had a, you know, a down year.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm using air quotes, you can't see it.
[SPEAKER_01]: But I'm using air quotes, you know, for him at least.
[SPEAKER_01]: It was still good year.
[SPEAKER_01]: It wasn't like Gunner had a bad year last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: He still had 85 runs, 17 bombs, 30 steals, hit 274 to the 340 that no B.P.
[SPEAKER_01]: Most players were killed for that, but when it comes after scoring 118 runs, hitting 37 home runs, 281, 264, 529 slash line,
[SPEAKER_01]: It was a little bit of a step back per se for one of the top hitters in the game, but he's 24 years old, the metrics are still very good under the hood, especially in the quality of contact department.
[SPEAKER_01]: Good line up, good ballpark.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, there's no reason to think that he's not going to be a top 20 player for years to come, above average sprint speed as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think you see him kind of get back up there, 25 plus one runs, 20 plus deals, a good average, good OPP, plenty of runs on our BI.
[SPEAKER_01]: So easy inclusion here in the top four.
[SPEAKER_01]: but couldn't put him any higher than four because he's next three guys are just so dang special and especially in in the fantasy lens Ellie the Ellie dealer crews are the mention in the three spot who'll also be 27 come twenty twenty nine another guy that had a down year for him but it was mostly in the second half
[SPEAKER_01]: when he was playing through injury, he had a lot going on on the field and off the field, he was just playing through.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm actually really shocked.
[SPEAKER_01]: I didn't, you know, sit him now for a little bit.
[SPEAKER_01]: Why don't clear his head?
[SPEAKER_01]: Let him rest.
[SPEAKER_01]: I know they were pushing for the postseason.
[SPEAKER_01]: which played a I think pit role in them not sitting him, but you saw the first half and second half splits, you know, be pretty stark for the other crews.
[SPEAKER_01]: You'll get in the first half of last year, he hit 284 359 495 18 home runs 25 steals.
[SPEAKER_01]: He was on about a 27-ish Homer 40-steel pace, something like that, second half of the season 284 plate appearances, four hormones, 12 steels, 236303, 363.
[SPEAKER_01]: Look at the first half, Alia Cruz, that's the guy you're getting, that's the guy you're gonna get.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm very confident saying that.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, we've seen and we've already seen them go 25 67.
[SPEAKER_01]: If there's anybody else that can put up an Iconia type 40 plus 70 plus year, it's LED of the cruise.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, he's would have to be the
[SPEAKER_01]: near or at the top of that list.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'm not digging him for last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's still Uber talented, you know, phenomenal park and a good lineup.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'll put him in three spot here.
[SPEAKER_01]: And you probably know the top two guys.
[SPEAKER_01]: Number two, Connor Griffin can't put him one yet because Bobby would junior is still going to be a thing.
[SPEAKER_01]: and Hill still be only 28, Griffin will be 22, would it totally shock me if Griffin over took a wit for the number one at short stop?
[SPEAKER_01]: No, but I just can't bring myself to put him ahead of Bobby with Jr.
[SPEAKER_01]: Especially as Hill still be in his prime 28 years old at that time.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, Bobby would could be when all of us at this end on the best short stop of the history of baseball.
[SPEAKER_01]: He has that upside, you know, this been a lot of good short stops in this game.
[SPEAKER_01]: Obviously, Aero, before I moved over Ripkin, Banks, Wagner.
[SPEAKER_01]: A lot of good short stops over the years, Derek Jeter, but Bobby would Jr. has already shown like he could easily be the number one guy, still super early.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'm not going to like say that yet.
[SPEAKER_01]: But,
[SPEAKER_01]: It's hard to argue with a guy who's gone 20 plus 20 plus the first four years of his career.
[SPEAKER_01]: He went 20, 30 as a rookie, then 30, 39, or should we 30, 49, 32, 31, and 23, 30 last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: So for straight 20 plus, 30 plus years,
[SPEAKER_01]: It's easier career to 90 hitter, he seems to just keep getting better and better as a peer hitter, he's going to give you a ton of runs, son of our BI, and moving the fence as in as I mentioned earlier, I feel like you could maybe see like I got 30 plus 40 type of season from Bobby with Junior 25 years old right now, there's, I think he's so good to be one of the most exciting players in the game, and maybe even still no one in Diocy rankings overall, he'll be in that
[SPEAKER_01]: But again, Griffin has got that, as I said before, has number one, you know, top five, first round, you know, fantasy upside.
[SPEAKER_01]: Like, it's all there.
[SPEAKER_01]: He could be the number one guy in fantasy in a few years, and it wouldn't surprise me.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's already after a hot start this year in AAA, 5 for 10, and it's first three games.
[SPEAKER_01]: He hit three home runs and it's been training, 21, 65 year last year, hitting well over 300, you know, hit over 300 at every level, improve the context skills, improve the...
[SPEAKER_01]: approach, you know, there's still some areas to work on as we saw in spring training, you know, how they keep walking in spring training, but there's still some areas to work on.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's still very young, but when I say that the sky's a limit that doesn't do him justice, like he could break through the sky and go into freaking out or space with his upside.
[SPEAKER_01]: So if anybody is going to overtake Bobby Wachunier at this position in the next handful of years, it's going to be counter-griiffing and, you know, he could, again, could be in a moon guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's that good.
[SPEAKER_01]: So if I've the one, he's just my day, gunner Henderson, I like the other crews, counter-griiffing.
[SPEAKER_01]: and Bobby with Jr.
[SPEAKER_01]: The Dark Horse Rock Chaloski, who will be 24 in 2020-9, probably the number one pick this coming summer to the white socks, unless they get cute with it, which I think would really piss off a lot of their fans.
[SPEAKER_01]: He gives me Cory Seager with speed vibes.
[SPEAKER_01]: where he is his power profoundly best hitters in the country in college, probably the best hitter in the country, when you combine contact approach power, he already has like a thousand homeruns this spring, I don't know the exact number I've got in my head, but last time I checked he was at like, like, like, 14 or something through like 21 games, just ridiculous stuff.
[SPEAKER_01]: And maybe he's not the biggest storm base threat, but I think there's enough speed there to be like a 12 to 15.
[SPEAKER_01]: steel guy with 30 plus one runs with a good average with a good OPP.
[SPEAKER_01]: Again, he could be, you know, looking one of the best hitters at this position in terms of average empire while giving you a little bit of speed as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think he's got a good move quickly, rise quickly up rankings, and establish himself, you know, within the next year or two, as one of the best young choice ups in the game.
[SPEAKER_01]: So pretty easy one to pick here for the the Dark Horse Honorable
[SPEAKER_01]: But let's move to the outfield now.
[SPEAKER_01]: This one's really tough because a lot of these guys that I'm going to talk about are already there.
[SPEAKER_01]: And they're already in their pretty young.
[SPEAKER_01]: So it's, I don't know if these a lot of these guys are going to be moving out of the top 10 anytime soon.
[SPEAKER_01]: But in the 10 spots, let's have a look.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, no, she was a 12 spot, top 12 guys here outfield and pitcher in the 12 spot, going chased a lot
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, off to a phenomenal start this season, you know, full homeruns already, the contact is there above average to plus contact, you know, plus approach, plus or better power above average speed.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, he knock his durability.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's always been there and he's not going to shake that anytime soon unless he has a couple of healthy seasons.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, upcoming and as long as he can say healthy though, I mean the upset is there to be, you know, one of the 12 to 15 best outfielders in the game.
[SPEAKER_01]: And he'll be 27 in 2029 in the 11 spot and going Kyle Tucker.
[SPEAKER_01]: He'll be 32.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think you'll still, you know, he'll be maybe on the, you know, downside past his peak, so to speak, but
[SPEAKER_01]: I think Packer is still going to be a guy that's giving you a really good fantasy production into his 30s, early 30s, be like an outfield version of like what trade turner is now or Joe Ram, these guys are still giving you a elite production.
[SPEAKER_01]: But at that point in time, given how good this position is, probably not a top seven or eight guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: But I think you so could be a top 12 guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I have him in 11 Jackson Cheerio in the 10 spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: on the I.L.
[SPEAKER_01]: right now, which is unfortunate, but just as steady, good, young player is there another level to be unlocked with Jackson Cheerio.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not sure.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I'm not going to say it's not there because he's way too young to say he can't get better.
[SPEAKER_01]: That'd be foolish.
[SPEAKER_01]: But even if he's what he is,
[SPEAKER_01]: And he's already giving you back to back 20 plus 20 plus years, I mean, and he's missed a little bit of time in each year.
[SPEAKER_01]: So given another 60 70 play appearances, 25 25 is in play with a bunch of runs, bunch of RBI, you know, 270 plus average doesn't walk a ton.
[SPEAKER_01]: But, you know, context skills are above average, it does chase a bit too much, but again, it has the context, so it's a back it up, sprint speeds there above average quality of contact.
[SPEAKER_01]: And so even if he's not, you know, that next level doesn't come for him.
[SPEAKER_01]: This is still really good.
[SPEAKER_01]: And if that next level does come, if he becomes more patient.
[SPEAKER_01]: So he'll unlock some more power.
[SPEAKER_01]: You could be a top five guy at this position, but for right now, I'll have him in the 10 spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: in the nine spot, Max Clark, man, Dan Clark has got a freaking hate this ranking.
[SPEAKER_01]: I hope you're listening, Dan.
[SPEAKER_01]: And I hope that as Max Clark is running out a triple, his chain smacks you in the face because he's a real good ball player.
[SPEAKER_01]: And I think that's going to come to everyone's
[SPEAKER_01]: you know mindset here in the next few years that maybe they don't know next Clark as well as you know prospect towns do but he's a become a household name here in the next couple of years again I think that's going to be a really good one two with him in McGonagola top that straight line up for the next half decade or longer there's
[SPEAKER_01]: 15 plus Homer pop here the context goes a good the ambace abilities are there is plenty of speed So I feel like he could be a really exciting player maybe like a outfield version of tray turner of everything You know kind of breaks right for him.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's high praise absolutely but one of the most talented outfield projects in the game and One that'll be just 24 in the twenty twenty nine
[SPEAKER_01]: So Max Clark is in the 9 spot 8 spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: We got for an otatis junior.
[SPEAKER_01]: Still we never have that next like super big year.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think we've all been waiting for it.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's so could be in there.
[SPEAKER_01]: Now the skills are still there.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's improving as a superior hitter drop the K rate last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: So a career best K rate.
[SPEAKER_01]: career best walk rates last year, career best zone contact rate, career best chase rate and a career best overall contact rate last year, which kind of flew under the radar for tattoos.
[SPEAKER_01]: And he's still had a good power speed year at 25 home runs, 32 steals, 111 runs scored,
[SPEAKER_01]: lot of red in the profile as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: He'll be 30 in 2029.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think there's no reason to think he's a fall off and not be a top 10 option at this position for the next handful of years in the seven spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: That guy that this is the one I'm feeling the least confident about, but he also has top five upset of this position.
[SPEAKER_01]: James Wood.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know where I want to put James Wood.
[SPEAKER_01]: James Wood has
[SPEAKER_01]: We've seen that and he went, I think, 31-15 last year while falling off drastically in the second half, he was on a 40-20 pace until everything that we was going to came off for him because the strike got right, weight too high, needs to make more contact so there's still those big red flags there with James Wood but not many have the same upside-ish James Wood.
[SPEAKER_01]: Well, to see how he develops and if you can, you're going to curb the K-ray and make it up contact to reach his lofty ceiling, but he's a guy that absolutely could be ranked this highly and he won't be 26 years old in 29.
[SPEAKER_01]: So put him in the seventh spot for now, but again, I don't feel
[SPEAKER_01]: Super confident in that in the sixth spot one of the coonio junior another guy that is either gonna be a top three option or outside this top 12 Hopefully he can stay healthy.
[SPEAKER_01]: I hope he'll be in the wrong side of 30 at this point in time, but assuming he can keep you know those knees can stay You know not torn I think he's still gonna be again.
[SPEAKER_01]: I keep to go back to the trade turn a cop, but you know a guy that's still giving you elite
[SPEAKER_01]: fantasy production into his early 30s with that power speed blend in a coonus one of the most exciting players in the game has been for the last handful of years.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't expect that to change anytime soon.
[SPEAKER_01]: Just hopefully again hopefully he can say healthy.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's the extractor with him, but not many have more upside on this planet than one of the coonus juniors.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's going in the six-bought J-rod in the five-spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's only 28 years old.
[SPEAKER_01]: Now, what she could start the season off-hots is that's kind of his thing that he can't really have to do good start with then finishes the season well.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, he's got some peaks and valleys along the way, but hey, it was still a 32 Homer 30 steel season last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: This is his second 30-thirty year in the last three years.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's got the power, he's got the speed, he's aggressive, that leads to some peaks and valleys, but all the upside in the world as we've already seen, you know, 270-ish guy for his career, a little bit on the lower side, OBP was, but nothing terrible.
[SPEAKER_01]: And so I think he's a keep giving here.
[SPEAKER_01]: Those 30, 30 caliber years into his mid to late 20s.
[SPEAKER_01]: I got that can easily continue being a top five option, even at this low to the alpha position.
[SPEAKER_01]: In the fourth spot, we're going to want a soda.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, he's every 30, you know, some people out there are being like, oh, he's already 34 ever, you know, whatever, you know, he's, I don't think that's the case.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's 27, which is what he says he's right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe not, but whatever, he's still a phenomenal freak and player.
[SPEAKER_01]: One of the best peer bats in the game elite power.
[SPEAKER_01]: The barrel rate has jumped over 18% each the last two years.
[SPEAKER_01]: hard hit rate above 55% each the last three years.
[SPEAKER_01]: We know he walks a ton.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's got to get his runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: He got his RBI.
[SPEAKER_01]: Who knows where the soul mayce is wind up from after going 7 to 38.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know.
[SPEAKER_01]: Probably more closer to 7 and 38.
[SPEAKER_01]: But even if it's like 15, that's still, you know, a decent little addition.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's been over 40 homeruns each the last two years.
[SPEAKER_01]: Already has 244 career home runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's aged 27.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's already up there.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's able over 300 runs in the next two years, 300 home runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's able over a probably over a thousand runs total in the next two years.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's one of the best young hitters we've ever seen in this game.
[SPEAKER_01]: So don't think he's a drop off anytime soon, so I'll have him in the fourth spot here.
[SPEAKER_01]: in the three spots.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm going to why it lengthened.
[SPEAKER_01]: And I was off to a slow start this year and hasn't been fully what you wanted or what we wanted, what I wanted.
[SPEAKER_01]: But he still went 22, 22 last year in his second season after going 16, 19 as a rookie, 80th percentile sprint speed, 90th percentile walk rate, 80th percentile chase rate,
[SPEAKER_01]: 14% barrel rate, 91 and a half mile in our average EV, 40 and a half in our hit rate.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's still 30, 30 outside here and I truly believe he gets to it or close to it as a well-rounded five category guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: I do think that you're going to see, you know,
[SPEAKER_01]: higher average of him moving forward.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's already a decent OBP guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think he can get up in that 260 to 270 range with a 360 plus OBP 25 plus bombs 25 plus deals, you know 90 runs, honey 200 RBI as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: The one kind of little red flag or, you know, detriment is the ballpark isn't great, you know, down there in Texas, which limits him, maybe this is a little aggressive, maybe I'm still sipping that white link for cool late, but I'm still a believer, and I still believe he's a great buy in Dallas, he leaks, so off him number three, number two Roman Anthony from the red socks.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a guy that everyone, all of his peers, especially all of his veteran peers rave about him.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think that speaks volumes when other major league ball players, especially ones that are pretty good and better on the block at time or two.
[SPEAKER_01]: Can't stop raving about this kid.
[SPEAKER_01]: He had the best hard hit rate in baseball after he debuted last year at 60.3%.
[SPEAKER_01]: He didn't have enough plate appearances to qualify for the leaderboards, but that was ahead of judge, head of botani, head of shorebore, head of all of them.
[SPEAKER_01]: Head of Cal Rawley, all those guys, he was ahead of them.
[SPEAKER_01]: 94 and a half mile an hour average EV, 15 and a half or some barrel ray.
[SPEAKER_01]: He walks a ton.
[SPEAKER_01]: He hits high in the spot and line up.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's just score probably 100 runs every single year.
[SPEAKER_01]: So me say it's healthy.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's 30 plus homer juice in there.
[SPEAKER_01]: There's enough speed to be at 10 to 12 steel guy as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: Hit ya 280 plus.
[SPEAKER_01]: And another guy, where the context goes,
[SPEAKER_01]: aren't quite there for what you'd expect from a 280 plus hitter, but given the approach, given the elite power, and he says still hit for a good average, and have an elite OBP as well, and he'll be 24.
[SPEAKER_01]: at this time.
[SPEAKER_01]: So, you know, the youngest guy on this list or tied for the youngest with Max Clark and Cheerio.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't know when other birthdays are, they're all going to be 24 on this time.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not sure who'll be the youngest, but still very young.
[SPEAKER_01]: So, Roman Anthony in the two spot, one spot going to Corbin Carroll.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think the handmade things that make a long-term issue, and 28 years old for him in 2029, with the massive power speed upside last year went to 2132 after a 2235 year in his second
[SPEAKER_01]: three straight years above 22 home runs, three straight years above 32 steals, three straight years above 107 runs, three straight years above 74 RBI, and I think the contact skills are going to be there enough for him to hit 270 to 280.
[SPEAKER_01]: I felt he's closer to 2023, Corbin Carroll in terms of average and LBP, then he is the last two years.
[SPEAKER_01]: and given his, you know, the context goes which are above average, his speed, which obviously is a elite.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he's a hitcha, you know, 270 plus 25 plus 30 plus score a crap ton of runs and he's still going to be 28, coming 29 and so.
[SPEAKER_01]: Put him in a number one spot, though, this is a loaded position.
[SPEAKER_01]: You can make a case for a handful of guys in the number one spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: But I'll go with Corbin Carroll, three cap.
[SPEAKER_01]: We got chased a loter in the 12th spot.
[SPEAKER_01]: Kyle Tucker, 11, Jackson, Cheerio, 10.
[SPEAKER_01]: Max Clark, 9.
[SPEAKER_01]: Fernando Taty's junior, eight.
[SPEAKER_01]: James Wood, seven.
[SPEAKER_01]: Run on the Cune Junior, six.
[SPEAKER_01]: J. Rod, five.
[SPEAKER_01]: So four, Langford, three, Roman Anthony, two.
[SPEAKER_01]: Corbin Carroll, one.
[SPEAKER_01]: Dark Horse, I'm going in Justin Crawford.
[SPEAKER_01]: He'll be 25 in this time.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's got the power.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's got around average power.
[SPEAKER_01]: He had a hard hit rate of a 40% last year in Triple A.
[SPEAKER_01]: Just hits too many balls into the ground.
[SPEAKER_01]: But if he can get it up a little bit, get up to 12 to 15 home runs.
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe even 16, 17, elite speed, just like his dad.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, obviously Carl Crawford is his father.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's kind of falling in his foot steps in terms of the profile So we could be looking at a 15 to 40 type of guy The context skills are very good.
[SPEAKER_01]: The approaches very good.
[SPEAKER_01]: So a lot of good here in the profile of a Crawford I think it's to be a really fun fantasy asset in that Philadelphia outfield
[SPEAKER_01]: moving forward.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'll put him as the dark horse canada here, going to the mound, another tough position at 10 or something.
[SPEAKER_01]: We had 12 and 11.
[SPEAKER_01]: Two guys that have the upside without question to be here, but the downside
[SPEAKER_01]: Give me a little bit of pause, but I'm going Thomas White in the 12 spots, there'll be 24 in 2022 and Jacob Miserowski in the 11 spot, he'll be 26.
[SPEAKER_01]: Miserowski just had a really good start, the open his season.
[SPEAKER_01]: Double to just strikeouts, everything from him is just insanely hard in terms of velocity.
[SPEAKER_01]: those over a hundred miles an hour, mid-90s slider, the change, the curve, like low-90s change, high-80s curve, everything, everyone of his pitches is on the high end of the velocity spectrum.
[SPEAKER_01]: He absolutely could be one of the best pitchers in this game, but there's still some, you know, little bit of durability concerns, little bit of command and control concerns that could kind of pop their way into the picture here.
[SPEAKER_01]: So that's why, you know, it was a little
[SPEAKER_01]: but the upside is off the charts, same with Thomas White.
[SPEAKER_01]: He has three plus pitches right now, but the walk rate has been pretty high for him.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's still very young though, and he's been young and every level he's been at, so I'm kind of hoping he can at least give that walk rate into the 10% range.
[SPEAKER_01]: which given his swing and strike abilities would be fine, because he can strike out 30 plus percent of batters easily, I think he's almost not a lock for that, I'll never say that, but I feel very confident he's a be an elite strike out source, so we'll see where that walk rate ends up, that'll be the kind of the extractor for him, but all the upset in the world and one of the top pitching prospects right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: So white, 12,
[SPEAKER_01]: And then we're getting into a few, you know, a lot of these veterans here coming up at 10, 9 and 8, Logan Gilbert, Christopher Sanchez, Brian Will.
[SPEAKER_01]: They're already top 10 guys.
[SPEAKER_01]: They'll all be in their upper 20s, low 30s in 29, will be 29, Sanchez 32, Gilbert 31.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I don't see them falling off a cliff anytime soon.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, there are elite ACEs right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: And I don't see any reason for that to change.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, so I don't feel like I need to like super deep dive into these guys.
[SPEAKER_01]: You all know their elite.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't think it's got change anytime soon.
[SPEAKER_01]: They'll still be around 30.
[SPEAKER_01]: And we've seen many pictures remain elite into their early, even into their mid 30s.
[SPEAKER_01]: So, I think there's going to be putting out ace caliper seasons.
[SPEAKER_01]: The downside is not very low for these guys.
[SPEAKER_01]: They all have high floors as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: Especially now that woo was kind of cleared that whole arm issue thing.
[SPEAKER_01]: That was from any of us.
[SPEAKER_01]: So there's not really a huge concern anymore.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's what that.
[SPEAKER_01]: They're pretty easy to put at 10 9 and 8.
[SPEAKER_01]: In the 7 spot, I'm going Yeri Perez.
[SPEAKER_01]: He has one of the best all on Arsenal's that I've ever seen.
[SPEAKER_01]: He has a potential to be it.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, got that strike out 250 plus guys a year.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's one of the top striker arms and all baseball.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's only going to be 25, come 29.
[SPEAKER_01]: We have last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: We saw flashes of the upside.
[SPEAKER_01]: We saw flashes of the guy that can be a top five picture and all of baseball.
[SPEAKER_01]: We also saw a young arm shaking off the rust after missing an entire season due to major injury.
[SPEAKER_01]: But he actually had a lower XERA last year than in his rookie year.
[SPEAKER_01]: Still had a 19% came on his walk rate.
[SPEAKER_01]: The WIFRATE is still very, very good.
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe they weren't the same as they were in 2023.
[SPEAKER_01]: He still had a WIFRATE above 40% on three pitches, including a 61% WIFRATE on his change up.
[SPEAKER_01]: He can spin it really well.
[SPEAKER_01]: The fast mobility is there.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think you have to see him take that next step in becoming an ace this year and then stay there for the
[SPEAKER_01]: And so, Yuri Perez is in the seventh spot and that might even be too low, but there's just so many good guys on this list.
[SPEAKER_01]: You have a motto is in the sixth spot for me, some more line of thinking to what I was saying about Wu Sanchez and Gilbert.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's already a top five guy now, he's only 30 and 29.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, he's shown that he can pitch on the brightest stage, you know, leading that talented
[SPEAKER_01]: dominated in the postseason last year.
[SPEAKER_01]: Everywhere is gone.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's dominated and he's just one of the best pictures not baseball and it'll still only be 30 in 2020, nine.
[SPEAKER_01]: So maybe I got this also too low here, but you know, put him in number six for now.
[SPEAKER_01]: Five and four are the guys that I've gone back and forth on a million times.
[SPEAKER_01]: You know, right now they're basically a coin flip.
[SPEAKER_01]: But no one McLean, he'll be 27, Chase Burns, he'll be 26, these guys are just so damn good, but in different ways.
[SPEAKER_01]: McLean, much more diverse among our snowing of five, six-pitch guy.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's got the sinker, sweeper, curveball.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's all with a place.
[SPEAKER_01]: He's a tough look.
[SPEAKER_01]: because he has so many different movement profiles.
[SPEAKER_01]: He can go east to west, he can go north to south, he can run of the end, he can run a lot, he can drop it down.
[SPEAKER_01]: He is a really fun picture to watch.
[SPEAKER_01]: And it makes even more impressive that, as I've said before, this is only last year, was only his first year as a full-time pitcher.
[SPEAKER_01]: He was a two-way guy in 2024.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think he's just scratching the surface.
[SPEAKER_01]: I really do.
[SPEAKER_01]: though he has thrown in a sinker, change up curveball occasionally.
[SPEAKER_01]: He said he was working on those, this off season, and then he followed that up but saying they were improved early in spring, thought that might mean you see them a bit more being used, that hasn't been the case yet.
[SPEAKER_01]: But fastball, upper 90s, sliders, one of the best sliders in baseball already.
[SPEAKER_01]: So he gives you some Spencer strider vibes right now.
[SPEAKER_01]: And if you can really diversify the arsenal, you use the other pitches a little bit more, establish a third weapon to go with that fastball slider.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think he can really establish himself as one of the best pitchers in the game, and an annual threat to win the strikeout cram.
[SPEAKER_01]: Tom McLean in the five spot, burns in the four spots.
[SPEAKER_01]: top three are still my top three and you can again, you could order them any which way, but I'm going youngest to the oldest here.
[SPEAKER_01]: So in the three spot, Tark's school, who will be 32, two spot, Garrett Gorshe, he'll be 29, one spot, Paul schemes, he'll be 26.
[SPEAKER_01]: So we would have a run here of these guys is anchoring this starting to put your position.
[SPEAKER_01]: Are all three guys gonna stay at the top three guys for the next three or four years?
[SPEAKER_01]: Probably not, that's just, it's hard to do.
[SPEAKER_01]: One of these guys will fall out a little bit.
[SPEAKER_01]: Someone else will rise up and join the mix.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's always how it's gonna be, but I think the safest,
[SPEAKER_01]: that is to keep them in the top three.
[SPEAKER_01]: But I'll put school both three just because it'll be 32.
[SPEAKER_01]: It'll be three years older than crochet.
[SPEAKER_01]: Six years older than skins.
[SPEAKER_01]: Skins is already my number one.
[SPEAKER_01]: And does he ranks right now for starting pitcher?
[SPEAKER_01]: In fact, he's only just 26.
[SPEAKER_01]: I don't see that changing anytime soon.
[SPEAKER_01]: Yeah, the opening day was weird, whatever.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'm not worried by it.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I'm a little worried that only recruiters can't play center for the same as life, but schemes is, are going to be already the best picture on the planet.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's hammer school ball with crochet, just a pair behind them, they're all work horses.
[SPEAKER_01]: They're all going to be a low year raise and a crap to strike out.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'm going to have them stay as the top three here.
[SPEAKER_01]: I think that's the safe bet with scooble three, crochet two, and skins one, mainly due to the age difference, picking up three of them.
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, so re-capping 12 to one, Thomas White, Jacob Missierowski, Logan Gilbert, Christopher Sanchez, Brian Wu, Yeri Perez, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Norma Clean, Chase Burns, Drake scooble,
[SPEAKER_01]: And the two dark horses, I'm going Ryan Sloan, who will be 22 in 229 and Travis Acora, two of the nastiest pictures in the matter leagues.
[SPEAKER_01]: Acora might be the number one pitching prospering in baseball right now for me if he wasn't hurt and missing all this year.
[SPEAKER_01]: So that's a bummer, that was to the mech a little bit, but assuming he can come back and not have any long-term issues from that, I still think except you won the best pictures in the game, same with Ryan Sloan.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, he's built the, he added a cutter this year.
[SPEAKER_01]: It's already looking absolutely nasty, especially against varieties.
[SPEAKER_01]: I mean, I guess left he's, excuse me, good luck.
[SPEAKER_01]: That thing is just a dart away under the hands and
[SPEAKER_01]: just be either a breaking bats, b's, swung over or c rolled over weekly to first base.
[SPEAKER_01]: So and probably more so on the flip side.
[SPEAKER_01]: So he is this filthy, deep arsenal advanced for his age.
[SPEAKER_01]: Seattle just keeps churning them out and adding him and key, Anderson know that rotation down the road.
[SPEAKER_01]: That's going to be just a really good rotation for a long time.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I think he's a
[SPEAKER_01]: Maybe even then one pitching prospect in baseball, but into the year, and then another dark horse would be Seth Hernandez as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: So those three guys, Hernandez Sloan, Sikora, all could absolutely be getting into this mix in three years, but Hernandez is a little bit further behind these are the two guys.
[SPEAKER_01]: So I'll go with those two guys a little bit over Hernandez.
[SPEAKER_01]: So the upset at him is off the charts as well.
[SPEAKER_01]: All right, that's gonna wrap up my dynasty crystal ball episode here.
[SPEAKER_01]: Love doing this again if you missed the crystal ball prospect episode with Chris Cleg episode 444 go back and check that out.
[SPEAKER_01]: I'll be back with you again later this week to talk some early season notables, but until then everyone take care.