WEBVTT

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[SPEAKER_00]: What's up, everyone?

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[SPEAKER_00]: Welcome into another episode of the toolshed podcast brought to you by Rotoballre.

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[SPEAKER_00]: This is episode 432.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Thank you for joining me.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I'm your host, Eric Cross.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You can find me on Twitter at Eric Cross MLB.

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[SPEAKER_00]: And the show is at toolshed pod.

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[SPEAKER_00]: kicking off third base this episode with third base prospect rankings rolling solo in this one by got plenty of guess lined up for the next few episodes.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Before I get into all my rankings, somebody player discussion here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Get the housekeeping out of the way.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You can find all of my content either on Rotobauer or over on my Patreon on ToolShitBannancy.com.

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[SPEAKER_00]: All right, let's get into the rankings here third base top 20 prospect rankings.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I'll be diving into in this episode starting with the top 10 and there's a lot of guys here that are just eligible at multiple spots.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Actually, there's only one, two, three guys in my entire top 20 where I only have third base.

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[SPEAKER_00]: as in their position called on my spreadsheet.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Everyone else has, you know, two positions in their column here or even three on a few of those guys.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So definitely an interesting position for sure.

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[SPEAKER_00]: But yeah, let's start off with the rankings here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: We'll start off with the top 10.

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[SPEAKER_00]: No,

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[SPEAKER_00]: elite guy at this position right now, but just a lot of good prospects.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So no super sexy names here, but starting in and off with South Stewart, who also probably plays a little more first base this year for Cincinnati, we shall see number two, Jordan Lawler, number three, Marcelo Meyer,

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[SPEAKER_00]: Seven is Sam Antanachi, eight Andrew Fisher, nine Kim Collier, and ten Alex Freeland.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So again, all those guys had at least two spots in their position.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Call them on my spreadsheet.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Well, let's start, you know, I already discussed South Stewart and Jordan Lawler at other positions, and we'll also talk about Jordan Lawler more in the third-based dynasty episode, which I actually have already recorded.

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[SPEAKER_00]: That'll be out on Wednesday.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I won't talk about Jordan Lawler here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Same with we talked about Marcelo Meyer in that episode, third-based dynasty, which shows with Owen Hurd.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I won't go over him either, but I want to

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[SPEAKER_00]: in third base for the Chicago white socks this year.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Most of the season was in low way, a little cup of coffee in high eight and the season pretty good overall season for bottom

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[SPEAKER_00]: 151 WRC plus 420 Wolba at 30 doubles 12 home runs 29 steals only caught eight times 75 walks to 101 strikeouts.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So that's a 15.8% walk rate to a 21.2% strikeout rate.

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[SPEAKER_00]: And you know, one of the, you know,

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[SPEAKER_00]: Please shug a white socks right now.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think many would probably have great amount of gummery number one, you know, maybe one of the pitchers, no assaults or higginsmith or up in there as well.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Those are kind of like the top four in some particular order, but Caleb Bonamer might have the highest upside.

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[SPEAKER_00]: of any of any white socks prospect, really even more so than Montgomery, who probably has a higher floor, but safer, he's more advanced, but when he's looking at the entire package that Caleb Bonner brings to the table, I mean, he's a very advanced hitter for his age.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, he was 19, the entire season, he turned 20 just after the season,

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[SPEAKER_00]: and have a 401OBP overall at least 400 at both levels, 400 on the dot in low A 409 in high A.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Now, this shows is how advanced his I is in picture recognition is for a 19 year old.

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[SPEAKER_00]: That's very, very impressive.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Good contact skills too overall, but 77% contact

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[SPEAKER_00]: Okay, right only 21% walk rate just to hair under 16% at both levels.

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[SPEAKER_00]: He was that.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So you got a at least as of now Project him to be you know, I got it probably gives you a good average and a high O BP as well And that's not to say you know, there's no you know power speed ups.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I hear because there is solid power in the profile here with Caleb Bonamer

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I don't know if I'd say plus, I mean, I think he could get to plus down the road.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, if you maybe adds a little bit more muscle here in the coming years, but, you know, I could safely say above average power down the road, like projection wise.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think it's definitely fair.

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[SPEAKER_00]: And it kind of like a 20 to 25 homework guy.

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[SPEAKER_00]: And, you know, he's far from a burner, but,

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I think there's, you know, at least average, maybe ticks down the front jabberage speed, but I feel like he's a guy that's going to give you like 15 and the 20 steals as well.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe he's not a 25, 30 plus guy.

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[SPEAKER_00]: He had 29 last year, not sure if he gets to that level in majors, but if he's given you a 15 to 20 steals with, you know, 20, 25 home runs, good average, good OPP,

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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, that's a pretty good all-round package right there, offensively.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, he's still a couple years away, you know, probably spends, you know, most of the season that hi a double a, there's a coming near maybe you see a mid to late 2027 ETA maybe even early 2028 we'll see, but I think bottomers have got that could find his way into, you know, like a top 25 range and that I'm I'm even thinking about it now just talking about him out loud.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I might want to bump him up even higher here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, Stuart was a bit my number one, but actually, I can probably make a case for Bonhammer ahead of Meyer and Lawyer.

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[SPEAKER_00]: It's definitely Meyer and I'm actually going to make that swap right now switching it around right now on the air.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, you know, I've done this a few times over the years as as clay on these episodes where we.

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[SPEAKER_00]: It's why I love doing these.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You really start talking to them now and once you really just hear yourself talk about a player out loud, you're like, man, you mean, you mean, you have to like the sky more or less than the night thought I did.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm going to swap them right now.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I'll keep law or two, but I'll move bottomer to three and Marcelo Meyer down to number four.

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[SPEAKER_00]: overall.

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[SPEAKER_00]: But yeah, Bonamer, a good target right now.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's a take that next step and maybe be a top 25 overall prospect by the end of the 2026 season right behind him and the five spot here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: We get Jacob Breimer with the New York Metz

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[SPEAKER_00]: who another guy to had kind of like a sneaky could season in the minor leagues this year that I just don't feel like is getting talked about quite as much as he probably should.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Though the hype is starting to build on Rymer, you know, overall it was a 282 379 491

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[SPEAKER_00]: slash line in 120 games, which were split exactly down the middle 61 games in high a 61 in double a 17 home runs 32 doubles as well 15 steals 11.1 percent walk rate and a 21.5 percent strike out right so pretty solid walk the k rate there if the walks

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[SPEAKER_00]: 100 and 12 strikeouts was only caught three times just pretty consistent production at both levels you know hit right around 280 at both levels OBP above 370 at both levels slug above 475 at both levels and a WRC plus of 150 in AA 163 in high.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So one of one of the higher WRC plus marks in the

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[SPEAKER_00]: For prospects, it had at least 500 player appearances.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I can't remember.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I don't have the whole leader board in front of me, but I remember he was pretty high up for guys that like played the full season, you know, with with Rimer here, it's no one tool that really stands out, but he's solid enough contact hitter around 75% contact in 2025 with a 10 and a half percent swing strike rate.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, I think there's above average power here in the profile as well.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe even plus.

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[SPEAKER_00]: They kind of like that fringy above average to plus power guides.

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[SPEAKER_00]: That's not huge power, but I do think he could be at a 2025.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Homer bat down the road, you know, solid arm over at their base as well and you've got to wonder does he have to move off?

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[SPEAKER_00]: Doesn't really have like a ton of range over there.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe he moves over to first down the road though.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think that's anything imminent in 2026.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Nothing to worry about there.

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[SPEAKER_00]: As of now, I think the bat will play.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, not a big speed guy, probably never gives you

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[SPEAKER_00]: in this career, but I want to expect like 15 to 20, even though he did have some, I was a 15 steals last year, where I said, yeah, 15 steals last year.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I want to really expect that moving forward, he's more like a fringy average guy, but maybe he gives you, you know, close double digits early on in this career, but, you know, not a zero in the speed department, you know, solid, you know, average, maybe a tick above average contact guy,

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[SPEAKER_00]: decent approach above average to plus power.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, definitely a lot to like here with Rimer, who probably starts the year in Triple A. I imagine, and that's where he gets 20, 26 season started and probably you may be see him later on second half of the year.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Now, with the mats, you know, Brett Bady kind of established himself at third base or at least, maybe that's too much, even established himself, but showed enough in the second half where he, I think he'll get some run at the hot corner for the mats, but if he were to falter, which, you know, he's done before at the major league level, maybe you see Ryan McGee some, some run at third base later on in the season, or even at first base and kind of both those

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[SPEAKER_00]: So we'll see, you know, the Anthos up there, baby.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, I got his mention.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So we'll see, but I like the bat.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I remember like a top 75 prospect from here now and a guy who if he's still prospect eligible at the end of the season.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think could be like, I don't want to say top 25 like Bonnamar, I think there's that level of upside, but I could definitely say a top 50 or so prospect here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: for Jacob Breimer by the end of the season.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I was able to see him a little, I think I saw him a few games, one series in AA, very solid bats, and a lot of loud contact all fields.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Probably because he gives you a good amount of extra base hits overall.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So, good bat here with Jacob Breimer.

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[SPEAKER_00]: And he's a buy too.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I'd say Bonner is a bigger buy in my eyes, but Jacob Breimer solid bat as well.

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[SPEAKER_00]: All right, next guy, I want to discuss here, one of the top FYPD guys in this past year's draft 2020.

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[SPEAKER_00]: If I've draft, it was a first round pick.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Got that.

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[SPEAKER_00]: As of now, we'll be a third basement, and though probably maybe moves over to first base at some point, hard to say, Andrew Fisher is the guy I'm talking about here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: the brewers have so many corner infield guys.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, their top guys are middle infielders in my day in Peña, but at the corners, they got luke Adams, they got Brock Wilkins, they got Fisher, you know, that they have so many guy Blake Burke as well, Eric Patonti, you know, it's a lot of Tyler Black is still kicking around too, he's still prospering out as well.

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[SPEAKER_00]: But,

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I don't know how those have a corner is going to look and you know what which one of these guys or which two of these guys can arise about the rest but

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[SPEAKER_00]: I like Fisher's bat a lot, and I know I'm not alone in that.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I know plenty of other people I've talked to in the industry are pretty high on and do Fisher as well, you know, good, final year in college, that's really, you know, two good years, but really broke out, you know, to like first round.

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[SPEAKER_00]: draft levels last year at the University of Tennessee, finished with a 341, 497, 760 slash line, the 520 will but pretty damn good.

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[SPEAKER_00]: 25 bombs, 21.6% lock rate and a 14.4% straight gut rate.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Then got a little bit of time in high A.

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[SPEAKER_00]: and the season on 19 games, 87 played appearances, at 7X race hits, 1dinger, stole 8 bags, randomly, this shows you that you don't take any stolen base numbers, every stolen base number in my least needs to be taken with a grain of salt, especially anything below double

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[SPEAKER_00]: Now, single A, especially rookie ball, I don't even really look at that, but low A, high A, especially a collegiate guy that's just going to take advantage of just lower level and inexperienced catching prospects.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So don't look at those eight steals and he's a burner.

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[SPEAKER_00]: He's not.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's more of a two, three, four, five, type of steel guy.

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[SPEAKER_00]: But the bat could be really, really good stand out guy.

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, where he's a guy that if I don't have an elite like top seven or eight pick, if I'm like in the back end of a top 10 FYPD anywhere in the eight to 12 range, I think you got to look long and hard at a guy like Andrew Fisher because I think the bat is that good, the bat is advanced.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think he is average to above average contact potentially, even if it's just average, maybe I'll air in a set of caution and say average right now, you know, more like a 260-ish hitter.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's 25 to 30 home runs here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's a plus power bats, and it really gets in that pull side power, so really good angles, a high fly ball rate, high pull rate, high pull air rate, so really all you really

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[SPEAKER_00]: with a power hitter.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I think like a 260 30 home or type of guy is a distinct possibility.

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[SPEAKER_00]: And I got to give you good OBP as well.

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[SPEAKER_00]: The high OBP everywhere he's gone is lowest OBP in college was 397.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Again, had a 21.5% walk rate is last year in college.

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[SPEAKER_00]: It was 12.5% in that cup of coffee in

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[SPEAKER_00]: to end the last season.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I think at 363, 373, Eighty, somewhere in that range, OBP guy to go along with a decent enough average and 30 plus home runs.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I think he's a guy that's got to be a big riser up prospect rankings in 2026 and just a good, you know, good third base.

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[SPEAKER_00]: We're just a good prospect target as well, not just at this position overall.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's a good

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[SPEAKER_00]: And even after FYPD, if you don't land him in your FYPD, I got to be a good trade target as well.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I think there's a chance he's in like that 25 to 40 range overall in prospect rankings.

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[SPEAKER_00]: By the end of 2026, don't think we see him debut this upcoming year, but definitely think we see him get up the triple A, probably starts the year in double A if I had to guess.

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[SPEAKER_00]: spends a good chunk of the year there.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously depends on how we place, but I think like a double late trip away season for him with a, you know, early to mid 2027 ETA as kind of where I'm at right now on infrastructure, but like the bat a lot and again, I'm not the only one.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So plenty of others like me, like the bats with Andrew Fisher.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So again, he is a definite top 10 guy at this position.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, some of the games I got I already talked about sim on to not she at second base you know he played some third base as well Luke Adams and another another solid under ready guy by talking about him at first base, but those yeah those of the guys that really went to hit at this position in the top 10 bottomer Jacob Raymer and Andrew Fisher three really good targets right now and you know quick shout out to Alex Freeland.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Honestly, I have zero clue how he fits into the picture.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, outside of an injury, I mean, he's played kind of all three infield spots outside of first.

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[SPEAKER_00]: He's played some seconds, thirds, some short, some solid blend of contacts, some decent power, a little speed mixed in there too.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I got it and give you a, you know,

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[SPEAKER_00]: At least some sort of impact to varying levels at, you know, kind of all five categories, you know, the five major stack categories that we usually play with in fancy baseball, but, you know, he's a little bit older, he's 24.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Don't really know where he fits into the plan here with the Dodgers, but, you know, Mookie is a little bit older.

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[SPEAKER_00]: The Dodgers has some older guys where

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[SPEAKER_00]: You know, there's been some injuries there.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I feel he gets at least 300, 400 play appearances as is maybe more with injuries.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe he gets dealt in the Dodgers have so many guys that are trying to fit in there.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, you know, they have all the the big name, the all stars, the studs, the autonies.

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[SPEAKER_00]: That's really like the level of tech.

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[SPEAKER_00]: It goes like, you know, bench guy, solid regular, like, all star stud and then

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[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, don't know where Freeland mixes in to that mix, but I like Freeland's profile a little bit here.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, I'll give him a shout out as a guy that won't cost you much in a dynasty league that all is because, you know, again, he's 24.

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[SPEAKER_00]: That's like 50 in prospect years.

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[SPEAKER_00]: He's a Dodgers.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So, there's always that question mark of, you know, playing time.

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[SPEAKER_00]: They're still trying to get

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[SPEAKER_00]: I don't even want to figure out how that outfield log jam is going to play out.

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[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I'm not not to get into an outfield rant here, but since I'm talking about the Dodgers, like, you know, that fearsome for some, uh, desire, hope, just wait.

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[SPEAKER_00]: They Paula Eduardo Contaro and Mike Sarota, wow, how, I don't know, you're going to assume a few because that's get traded, but, uh, yeah.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Dodgers, I mean, they're number one system in baseball right now for reasons.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So Alex Freeland, sneaky target there.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So he runs at my top 10.

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[SPEAKER_00]: All right.

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[SPEAKER_00]: Let's move over to 11 through 20 in my rankings starting with Brock Wilkins of the Milwaukee Brewers, one Sanchez of Toronto at 12.

20:47.185 --> 20:51.012
[SPEAKER_00]: Max Anderson talked about him more so in the second base episode.

20:50.992 --> 21:13.540
[SPEAKER_00]: Because he played a little bit more there than the third base, but he's at 13, so we can have old Shay Whitcomb at 14, but he's still prospering, I'll enjoy and I still like the profile with him, it's kind of fancy friendly profile even if he never gets a shot, which maybe is the case, so probably he's been he's been moving down my rankings probably would continue to do so, but right now he's still a tough 20 guy for me.

21:14.245 --> 21:17.530
[SPEAKER_00]: But again, maybe that's this the last time you'll see him as top 20 for me.

21:18.331 --> 21:24.099
[SPEAKER_00]: Lou James Grover at 15 for the Diamondbacks, Quentin Young and Xavier Nions.

21:24.680 --> 21:32.812
[SPEAKER_00]: Two guys from the 20 25 draft class, you know, you know, probably more so, I mean, Nions, you know, third base short stop.

21:33.313 --> 21:38.160
[SPEAKER_00]: Quentin Young, third base short stop is again, more of this guys are just kind of playing multiple spots here.

21:38.630 --> 21:46.490
[SPEAKER_00]: I got one of my favorite names to say here, especially as a New Englander, Pax Haba, definitely a good New England name.

21:46.550 --> 21:53.888
[SPEAKER_00]: Unfortunately, he's now way out in San Francisco, but had a chance to see him out in the Arizona Fall League.

21:53.868 --> 22:04.681
[SPEAKER_00]: He's at 18 Tommy Tanks Tommy White from the athletics at 19 and how you Lee at 20 for the diamond back.

22:04.721 --> 22:18.036
[SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, those three guys I mentioned the only three that I only have as third base only on much spreadsheet are Wilkins Grover and Tommy white and maybe I missed maybe one of those guys as played enough to

22:18.016 --> 22:30.616
[SPEAKER_00]: added in the position of my sheet, but I haven't seen it yet, but first in all in the talk about here, right at 11 Brock Wilkins, you know, quietly he had a really good year.

22:31.958 --> 22:41.813
[SPEAKER_00]: And you might look at the 226 average and think what the heck are you talking about Eric, but now when he look past the 226 average, you know,

22:42.468 --> 22:54.165
[SPEAKER_00]: It's I was it was a really good season all around he had a 158 WRC plus which was among the highest marks in all of the minor leagues, you know, this past year.

22:54.533 --> 22:59.338
[SPEAKER_00]: a very high mark overall, tire years at AA, 79 games.

23:00.039 --> 23:01.921
[SPEAKER_00]: So let's take away the 226 average.

23:02.422 --> 23:17.898
[SPEAKER_00]: He had a 387 OBP, you know, a large part due to the 20% walkerate he had at a 489 OBP and a 263 ISO, 18 home runs and 17 doubles in 79 games.

23:18.359 --> 23:23.224
[SPEAKER_00]: So 35 X-Base hits, little under one X-Base hit, every other game.

23:23.204 --> 23:36.026
[SPEAKER_00]: had a nice 69 walks to 93 strikeouts, so huge walk rate as I mentioned, K rate, kind of similar to last year, he was 28% last year, 27% this year.

23:36.507 --> 23:41.415
[SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, that's high, a little too much string and miss in terms of,

23:41.395 --> 23:57.167
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, it's actually more so less you let me or phrase, you know, we're looking much straight out, but not really because of too much string and miss, you know, I think that's a calling misconception where you see a higher key rate and people automatically think, oh, it's because of these strings and misses too much.

23:57.588 --> 23:59.832
[SPEAKER_00]: That's not really the case with Brock Wolken.

23:59.912 --> 24:02.678
[SPEAKER_00]: You need a nine and a half percent swinging strike rate.

24:02.658 --> 24:09.185
[SPEAKER_00]: I think it's more so he just got two patient, you know, swing rate was only 34% that's low.

24:09.705 --> 24:11.007
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, the super high walk rate.

24:11.027 --> 24:17.874
[SPEAKER_00]: So he was getting himself into a lot of deep counts, you know, which turned out to a lot of walks.

24:17.894 --> 24:21.678
[SPEAKER_00]: That's great, but you know, also turned, got to have been a lot of two straight counts.

24:22.139 --> 24:28.125
[SPEAKER_00]: Therefore, even if he didn't have a ton of

24:28.105 --> 24:37.439
[SPEAKER_00]: Just getting himself in that whole kind of made the strike out rate a little bit higher than you might think what you see a guy with a 9.4% swing strike rate.

24:37.520 --> 24:40.945
[SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, he's probably never hit for high average.

24:41.406 --> 24:48.797
[SPEAKER_00]: He's been generally in like that 70 to 72 ish percent contact rate range to 72%.

24:48.777 --> 24:56.609
[SPEAKER_00]: This past year, so it's probably more to 32, 40, maybe to 50, given the quality of contact.

24:57.190 --> 24:59.032
[SPEAKER_00]: But that's your come with a high OBP.

24:59.573 --> 25:03.399
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, even one is, you know, not hitting Bravergy, still been giving you a good OBP.

25:03.960 --> 25:08.607
[SPEAKER_00]: There's easy plus power here with Brock Wilkins.

25:09.147 --> 25:11.291
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, maybe even higher than that.

25:11.331 --> 25:14.475
[SPEAKER_00]: But I'll say if we say plus, that's just carrying tools.

25:14.555 --> 25:17.620
[SPEAKER_00]: Because if he's a hit to 40-ish, give or take,

25:17.600 --> 25:28.925
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, the LBP will be probably better than that and more impactful and LBP leagues, but he really needs that power to be there because he's a bottom of the, you know, kind of bottom of the barrel runner, not to give you any speed.

25:29.366 --> 25:33.415
[SPEAKER_00]: So really need that, you know, average to be not terrible.

25:33.395 --> 25:53.412
[SPEAKER_00]: just again 240 we can kind of live with in today's game where that's not quite as bad as it used to be whatever he's given you I mean 2530 maybe even 30 plus home runs over a full season I think you can live with that so again in the guy where he'd probably be five six sevens maybe even you know

25:53.864 --> 25:59.924
[SPEAKER_00]: It's top six or seven overall at this position in O BP focused dynasty rankings.

26:00.525 --> 26:02.291
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, nice bump there.

26:02.331 --> 26:06.304
[SPEAKER_00]: So I think Wilkins is solid by right now, I really do.

26:06.892 --> 26:17.647
[SPEAKER_00]: next guy up another guy who thinks a good buy and probably continue to break out already did break out a little bit this year but I think they break out couldn't continue in 2026.

26:18.168 --> 26:28.663
[SPEAKER_00]: That is one Sanchez with the Toronto Blue Jays and another guy where it's third base and it's sure that we did play a little more.

26:28.643 --> 26:42.980
[SPEAKER_00]: at the third base spot and this given all the top guys at shortstop and I wanted to talk about him here because he'd be a harder one to fit into a shortstop episode upcoming later this week.

26:43.661 --> 26:51.630
[SPEAKER_00]: But with Sanchez, he is more of the bat first shortstop, not so much the

26:51.610 --> 26:57.980
[SPEAKER_00]: you know high speed type of guy where we see a lot of that short stop prospects give me a good amount of speed.

26:58.841 --> 27:01.705
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't I don't know what you're gonna get from speed from one Sanchez.

27:01.725 --> 27:13.483
[SPEAKER_00]: He only had four steals last year, only attempted seven steals and a 56 games and he's really I think either fringy or I think right now I'd say fringy average.

27:13.463 --> 27:31.962
[SPEAKER_00]: power and probably down to below average once he fills out, I mean, still only 18, just an 18 in late September and definitely has more projection on that frame, you know, six, six, six foot, three, six foot, four type of guy, I probably could add a good 15 to 20 pounds of bulk.

27:31.942 --> 27:37.815
[SPEAKER_00]: And so don't expect a ton of steals, but I think the back could really, really stand out.

27:38.376 --> 27:44.449
[SPEAKER_00]: And he already kind of showed that this past year in those 56 games in the DSL.

27:44.783 --> 28:09.981
[SPEAKER_00]: slashed a robust 342, 439, 565 with a 156 WRC plus 10.3% walk rate in a 17.4% strike at rate a 224 ISO 16 doubles, 4 triples, 8 home runs, so 28 extra bass hits and 56 games, that's one every other game.

28:09.961 --> 28:13.466
[SPEAKER_00]: and 26 walks to only 44 straight down.

28:13.706 --> 28:17.571
[SPEAKER_00]: So 10.3% walk rate, 17.4% strikeout rate.

28:18.052 --> 28:32.712
[SPEAKER_00]: And he already showed a good approach, good eye at the plate, swinging straight, right around 10%, contact rate around 78%, and he's already flashing pretty good raw power for his age.

28:32.692 --> 28:39.810
[SPEAKER_00]: For him to be kind of hitting, you know, he's already shown like, you know, he's hit a few balls like 1415 up the year 11 16.

28:40.311 --> 28:47.730
[SPEAKER_00]: So for his age, you know, the the raw power he's already showing it's really, really good and doesn't really.

28:47.710 --> 29:03.676
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, in the in zone, he makes a lot of contact, doesn't really chase a ton outside the zone, and this road can barrel the ball, it's all fields, which is that that power potential with some good contact rates and a good approach.

29:04.418 --> 29:13.853
[SPEAKER_00]: I think I think just the all round impact with the bat, the average OBP in the home runs could be really really impactful from this shortstop spot.

29:13.833 --> 29:15.977
[SPEAKER_00]: Does he outgrow it moved the third?

29:16.138 --> 29:17.039
[SPEAKER_00]: That is a question.

29:17.140 --> 29:23.292
[SPEAKER_00]: We'll see that's still you know way far off right now He's been playing again both spots by head to guess.

29:23.513 --> 29:34.575
[SPEAKER_00]: I would guess third as opposed to short But I do think both are possible We should see but yeah, I think they're one of the bigger breakouts this upcoming season

29:34.555 --> 29:35.858
[SPEAKER_00]: could be one Sanchez.

29:35.878 --> 29:48.366
[SPEAKER_00]: I got it's already in top 100 conversation and I think I got it could be top 25 wrap there with Hila Bonamer at overall in my overall top 500 and buy the end of the season.

29:48.426 --> 29:53.577
[SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, one Sanchez, one of the bigger buys at this spot.

29:53.557 --> 30:00.505
[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, Lou James Groover, formerly known as Gino Groover, Kishir wondering who the heck is this Lou James guy?

30:00.825 --> 30:03.168
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, Lou James Groover with the Diamondbacks.

30:03.829 --> 30:12.919
[SPEAKER_00]: I think one of these things more underrated prospects in all baseball from a hitting standpoint, not a guy, it's not flashy.

30:12.939 --> 30:19.547
[SPEAKER_00]: The profile is not flashy, but when you look at prospects, I think, okay, that guy's going to be a majorly hitter.

30:19.898 --> 30:22.121
[SPEAKER_00]: That is what I think with Lou James Groover.

30:22.141 --> 30:27.350
[SPEAKER_00]: Like this guy is just a hitter through and through, wakes up in his hits, baseballs.

30:28.191 --> 30:35.803
[SPEAKER_00]: Every year, every level he's ever been at in professional baseball, complex level, low A, high A, double A, everyone.

30:36.764 --> 30:37.866
[SPEAKER_00]: Contact right above 80%.

30:38.968 --> 30:42.413
[SPEAKER_00]: Swing strike rate, well below 10%.

30:42.545 --> 30:54.002
[SPEAKER_00]: Last year, it's 82% contact, little over 7% so I can strike rate, 11.5% walk rate, 14.4% K rate, previous year, more of the same.

30:54.022 --> 31:08.123
[SPEAKER_00]: It was basically almost the same exact walk and strike out rates, 11.4 and 13.6, slash 281, 367, 474, and 24, and 64, and 61 games, a little bit of injury short and season there.

31:08.784 --> 31:11.488
[SPEAKER_00]: Last year in double A, 123 games,

31:11.468 --> 31:18.508
[SPEAKER_00]: 309 399 a 434 slash line 12 home runs 23 doubles.

31:19.290 --> 31:20.694
[SPEAKER_00]: So not again.

31:20.714 --> 31:21.697
[SPEAKER_00]: This give you a lot of speed.

31:22.158 --> 31:26.490
[SPEAKER_00]: He's really a 345 steel guy.

31:26.470 --> 31:29.334
[SPEAKER_00]: Probably not going to give you more than 15 20 home runs either.

31:30.336 --> 31:44.057
[SPEAKER_00]: It's really, you know, maybe average power, maybe fringe average, I think mid teens is a fair, you know, middle middle ground there, maybe upper teens.

31:44.037 --> 31:52.112
[SPEAKER_00]: So this isn't really a direct comp because the guy I'm in with the say, I think has more raw power, but it's limited more show by the bad at ball angles.

31:52.192 --> 32:01.168
[SPEAKER_00]: But if you're looking at what Gurura could be just statistically, you know, if he kind of turns into the guy that I think he can be,

32:01.148 --> 32:25.080
[SPEAKER_00]: Like an alicabone, a guy that gives you a good average, a bonus general, generally been on that 15, the 18 homerange, I think that's where a groove could be, so yeah, not a sexy option, but a solid high floor guy, like this guy is going to be angelic hitter, I have zero doubt about that, and got that, you know, probably has more value and then points format too, so.

32:25.060 --> 32:26.301
[SPEAKER_00]: I like Lou James Grover.

32:26.321 --> 32:32.749
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's definitely undervalued and it got a good maybe make an impact for the dynamics this year.

32:32.769 --> 32:35.372
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, the progress start with Lawler at third.

32:35.693 --> 32:37.335
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe we'll see how that works out.

32:37.375 --> 32:46.305
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe he gets some outfield reps as well, but with Grover likely starting in AAA, if Lawler gets hurt again, doesn't perform whatever.

32:46.806 --> 32:48.608
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe you see Grover at some point this season too.

32:48.628 --> 32:50.410
[SPEAKER_00]: Just keep him in the back of your minds.

32:50.390 --> 32:52.212
[SPEAKER_00]: for redraft fleets as well.

32:52.292 --> 32:57.977
[SPEAKER_00]: And not a buzzy guy, not a high ceiling guy, but a high floor guy, and just a really, really good hitter.

32:59.058 --> 33:11.849
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, next guy here, and I want to talk about in this range, is Pac's Haba, I feel like we might have talked about him a little bit in the first base prospects, I have a certified recall correctly.

33:11.869 --> 33:15.973
[SPEAKER_00]: It's hard to remember, every player I've talked about on on these shows at this point.

33:16.433 --> 33:20.397
[SPEAKER_00]: But I feel like, you know, if it wasn't me, maybe Welsh,

33:20.377 --> 33:47.768
[SPEAKER_00]: on that episode, but, you know, harbors a guy that, you know, saw him a little bit this year, and obviously in the AFL as well, but a guy that, you know, I just liked a little bit more and more every time, you know, I kind of saw him, you know, played some third base this year, a little first, I think he had a few games in the outfield as well, and obviously came over from

33:47.748 --> 34:05.048
[SPEAKER_00]: In 79 games total, you know, most of that at high a, but two thirds of that at high a 59 games in high a 20 in a low a overall slash line was a pretty impressive 326 395 489.

34:05.028 --> 34:29.820
[SPEAKER_00]: had, I should even know that was in, sorry, that was in high A for the yanks, but the overall line was even better actually, 323 for 2550 overall with 13 home runs, 21 doubles, 6 deals, 12.8% walkerate in a 23% strikeout rate, you

34:29.800 --> 34:40.493
[SPEAKER_00]: And I'm actually going to pull up the minor league WRC plus leaders here with at least 300 played appearances because I'm pretty sure he was very high up.

34:40.653 --> 34:49.965
[SPEAKER_00]: So let me set the minimum PAs for 300 and go over to WRC plus.

34:50.566 --> 34:52.168
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, he was he was number two.

34:52.869 --> 34:58.035
[SPEAKER_00]: So for minor

34:58.454 --> 35:00.618
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, Prospect eligible right now.

35:01.239 --> 35:03.663
[SPEAKER_00]: And that's a lot of these guys aren't Prospect eligible anymore.

35:03.703 --> 35:05.426
[SPEAKER_00]: But number, let's go to top 10.

35:05.927 --> 35:14.843
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, this was WRC plus in the minor leagues in 2025 with a minimum of 300 plate appearances.

35:15.498 --> 35:20.988
[SPEAKER_00]: At number 10, Edward Florentino with Pittsburgh and my name is Otto Camp with the Phillies.

35:21.008 --> 35:29.203
[SPEAKER_00]: 8, Marco Dingis with Milwaukee, 7, Renoir, Regas with St. Louis, 6, Alfred O'Donnell with Cincinnati.

35:29.223 --> 35:35.214
[SPEAKER_00]: 5 was, as she had tied, a 4 and 5 was Connor Griffin and just an enemy of Malois.

35:35.695 --> 35:37.759
[SPEAKER_00]: Number 3, Jack Cagliom.

35:38.228 --> 35:43.597
[SPEAKER_00]: He had a 170 WRC plus, then he got Park's Harbor with a 174 WRC plus.

35:44.138 --> 35:49.989
[SPEAKER_00]: Only one ahead of him was that dude, Kevin McGonagall and number two prospect in my overall top 500.

35:50.429 --> 36:00.507
[SPEAKER_00]: So, yeah, pretty elite company when the three that are right around you are a

36:00.487 --> 36:04.753
[SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, really good, sticky ear for Park's Harbor.

36:05.173 --> 36:09.179
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, you could say, oh, he is a little bit older for the level, which is true.

36:09.519 --> 36:11.822
[SPEAKER_00]: He was 23 in low and high.

36:12.483 --> 36:23.338
[SPEAKER_00]: So that does have to be factored in where he was facing competition, generally, I'd say, in the vicinity of three years younger than him.

36:23.318 --> 36:37.354
[SPEAKER_00]: So you definitely can't forget that, but he excelled, I was actually surprised he didn't get some time in AA at the end of the season, but so be it, you know, with with Harbor, you know, the context skills are more fringe average.

36:37.374 --> 36:40.958
[SPEAKER_00]: He was around like 72, 73% contact rates.

36:41.538 --> 36:50.068
[SPEAKER_00]: And so not a guy where I expect 300 plus average to continue, but I feel like he is a good enough

36:50.048 --> 36:51.711
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, it's going to be a fine average.

36:51.732 --> 36:52.192
[SPEAKER_00]: No, we pay.

36:52.213 --> 37:00.069
[SPEAKER_00]: Well, maybe won't be super high and impactful, but maybe a 250 to 60 hitter, you know, like a 330, 340, it'll be piece up like that.

37:00.149 --> 37:06.402
[SPEAKER_00]: That's kind of where I'm at right now on Park Sober and also a guy that could be a 20 25 home or guy as well.

37:06.422 --> 37:09.188
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think there's, you know, above average raw power.

37:09.168 --> 37:21.427
[SPEAKER_00]: in the profile, he had a 107.8 90% tile average EV last year, so just really good power guy.

37:21.447 --> 37:26.936
[SPEAKER_00]: Nothing that really stands out overall, but decent approach above average power.

37:27.637 --> 37:37.352
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think decent enough context skills, I think you can see him, it may be because it surprises

37:37.855 --> 37:43.103
[SPEAKER_00]: I think you said, be a guy that continues surprising here in 2026 and beyond.

37:43.884 --> 37:49.071
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, that is my top 20 here to recap.

37:49.592 --> 38:07.778
[SPEAKER_00]: We're going one through five with South Stewart Jordan Law or Marcelo Meyer, Caleb Bonamer, actually I flip up that so Caleb Bonamer, then Marcelo Meyer, and then Jacob Ramer at five, six through 10, Luke Adams,

38:08.163 --> 38:14.673
[SPEAKER_00]: 11 through 15 is Brock Wolkin, one Sanchez, and that I'm thinking about it.

38:14.693 --> 38:24.747
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's too low in Sanchez and probably got bump him up a few here before the 500 update comes out, which is going to be soon, by the way, probably in about a week or so.

38:24.767 --> 38:31.437
[SPEAKER_00]: I've got to finish writing up my starting, or my pitching prospect rankings, so then the 500 will be out after that.

38:31.517 --> 38:34.862
[SPEAKER_00]: So ETA roughly a week or so I'll give a take.

38:34.842 --> 38:37.685
[SPEAKER_00]: Uh, so again, then 13, we got Max Anderson, 14.

38:37.725 --> 39:00.529
[SPEAKER_00]: Shay, welcome 15, Lou James Groover, 16, Quentin Young, 17 Xavier Nianz, 18 Pax Hava, 19 Tommy White, and 20 Howie Lee, and yes, I'm, I'm with continue saying Pax Hava, with the most New England Boston, Maine, whatever, whatever you want to call accent, I can because it's just fun to, to say.

39:01.032 --> 39:08.963
[SPEAKER_00]: All right, as we do with every prospect rankings article going to end with a breakout pick.

39:09.664 --> 39:12.849
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, one Sanchez is already a breakout pick there.

39:12.889 --> 39:17.835
[SPEAKER_00]: He's definitely one that I would recommend getting in all leagues right now before the price tech goes up.

39:17.856 --> 39:25.386
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's one, but another one here that I really like, very buzzy, very toolsy guy.

39:25.366 --> 39:26.388
[SPEAKER_00]: That's Quentin Young.

39:27.270 --> 39:33.706
[SPEAKER_00]: You got into a handful of games after the draft this past summer.

39:34.327 --> 39:41.063
[SPEAKER_00]: When he was taken in the second round, 54th overall out of Oak Squish and High School,

39:41.043 --> 39:47.190
[SPEAKER_00]: And got into, yeah, I was just five games in low A, you know, and a couple games start with a second or third, excuse me.

39:47.730 --> 39:49.893
[SPEAKER_00]: A couple games at shortstop as well.

39:49.993 --> 39:58.562
[SPEAKER_00]: So not really, you know, mentioned stats there and five games and 22 play appearances, but it's a loud profile in a lot of ways.

39:59.223 --> 40:00.164
[SPEAKER_00]: He's very raw.

40:00.404 --> 40:03.928
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he struck out in nine of his 22 play appearances after the draft.

40:03.908 --> 40:14.734
[SPEAKER_00]: And he's a very raw hitter, you know, it's definitely a lot of work to be done in terms of, you know, the hit tool in general, the approach, making contact.

40:14.754 --> 40:20.247
[SPEAKER_00]: So that really determined, you know, kind of where he winds up as as a player.

40:20.328 --> 40:28.062
[SPEAKER_00]: but the raw tools are there in terms of, he is a big strong athletic person.

40:28.623 --> 40:31.168
[SPEAKER_00]: Now he's listed at 65 to 15.

40:31.188 --> 40:36.818
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, he's already shown really good, raw power for his age.

40:36.798 --> 40:46.513
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, you've got to shorten up the string a little bit, you know, another one of those things that you have to kind of be worked on over the last couple of years, but impressive raw power for his age.

40:46.994 --> 40:52.663
[SPEAKER_00]: And maybe he does take down the more of an average runner, but right now, I think he could say he's above average good.

40:52.643 --> 41:06.300
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, good athlete plenty of foot speed just a good athlete for size to one of those bigger stronger quicker guys that you really want think of be as quick as he is, but you know, definitely a premium athlete as well.

41:06.741 --> 41:15.512
[SPEAKER_00]: So even if he does tick down and you know, foot speed and he still, you know, 15 to 20 still guy down the road with potential for 25 30 home runs.

41:15.492 --> 41:17.314
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, that's really the upside we're talking about here.

41:17.374 --> 41:19.036
[SPEAKER_00]: He's really strong arm as well.

41:19.136 --> 41:26.806
[SPEAKER_00]: So definitely can fit at either of the infield spots on the left side of that in the field, but just that hit tool will be everything.

41:27.226 --> 41:35.596
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, so, but if you're looking for upside guy here on your FIPDs, you know, after the first 15, 20 picture so, I think he's a great upside pick.

41:35.777 --> 41:42.765
[SPEAKER_00]: And if Minnesota can get that hit tool, you know, improve the bit here, you know, make enough contact, keep the K rate and check.

41:42.745 --> 41:46.949
[SPEAKER_00]: I think you could see a pretty good rise here from the young this year.

41:46.989 --> 41:52.335
[SPEAKER_00]: So that's my breakout pick, but also again, another shout out to one Sanchez as well.

41:52.836 --> 42:07.471
[SPEAKER_00]: That is going to wrap up the third base prospect rankings episode again, third base data seal will be out on Wednesday with Owen heard and we'll close out the three episodes a week with shorts that prospects later in the week on Friday.

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[SPEAKER_00]: So I will talk with you again on Wednesday, but until them everyone take