Pros vs Joes 2026 - "Pick Six" - Slow Draft Analysis
Ordered by projected overall finish (best to worst).
Draft Board
| Pros vs Joes 2026 - "Pick Six" - Slow Draft |
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| | Selinger (Joe) | Harris (Pro) | Klitzner (Joe) | Strachan (Pro) | Rilot (Joe) | Cooper (Pro) | Evanowski (Joe) | Kelly/Driscoll (Pro) | Hacker/Steffan (Joe) | Verbit (Pro) | DeCuir / Newhouse (Joe) | Hayes (Pro) |
| Round 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs DET (6) | Bijan Robinson ATL (11) | Ja'Marr Chase CIN (6) | Puka Nacua LAR (11) | Christian McCaffrey SF (8) | Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA (11) | Brock Bowers LV (13) | Amon-Ra St. Brown DET (6) | Trey McBride ARI (14) | Jonathan Taylor IND (13) | Ashton Jeanty LV (13) | James Cook BUF (7) |
| Round 2 | Kenneth Walker KC (5) | Tyler Warren IND (13) | Derrick Henry BAL (13) | Saquon Barkley PHI (10) | Colston Loveland CHI (10) | Chase Brown CIN (6) | A.J. Brown NE (11) | Drake London ATL (11) | CeeDee Lamb DAL (14) | De'Von Achane MIA (6) | Omarion Hampton LAC (7) | Justin Jefferson MIN (6) |
| Round 3 | Rashee Rice KC (5) | Nico Collins HOU (8) | Jeremiyah Love ARI (14) | DeVonta Smith PHI (10) | Breece Hall NYJ (13) | George Pickens DAL (14) | Chris Olave NO (8) | Zay Flowers BAL (13) | Javonte Williams DAL (14) | Cam Skattebo NYG (8) | Josh Allen BUF (7) | David Montgomery HOU (8) |
| Round 4 | Tucker Kraft GB (11) | D'Andre Swift CHI (10) | Garrett Wilson NYJ (13) | Jaylen Waddle DEN (10) | Ladd McConkey LAC (7) | Emeka Egbuka TB (10) | Tee Higgins CIN (6) | Travis Etienne NO (8) | Josh Jacobs GB (11) | Kyren Williams LAR (11) | Malik Nabers NYG (8) | Harold Fannin CLE (11) |
| Round 5 | Tetairoa McMillan CAR (5) | Davante Adams LAR (11) | Kyle Pitts ATL (11) | Sam LaPorta DET (6) | Quinshon Judkins CLE (11) | TreVeyon Henderson NE (11) | Mike Evans SF (8) | Bhayshul Tuten JAC (7) | Jameson Williams DET (6) | DJ Moore BUF (7) | Christian Watson GB (11) | Luther Burden CHI (10) |
| Round 6 | Marvin Harrison ARI (14) | Alec Pierce IND (13) | Joe Burrow CIN (6) | Jayden Daniels WAS (7) | Rome Odunze CHI (10) | Carnell Tate TEN (9) | Drake Maye NE (11) | Lamar Jackson BAL (13) | Bucky Irving TB (10) | Travis Kelce KC (5) | Terry McLaurin WAS (7) | Jadarian Price SEA (11) |
| Round 7 | Jaylen Warren PIT (9) | George Kittle SF (8) | Tony Pollard TEN (9) | Rhamondre Stevenson NE (11) | Caleb Williams CHI (10) | Isaiah Likely NYG (8) | Justin Herbert LAC (7) | Jordyn Tyson NO (8) | Trevor Lawrence JAC (7) | Jalen Hurts PHI (10) | Jonathon Brooks CAR (5) | Dak Prescott DAL (14) |
| Round 8 | Josh Downs IND (13) | Rachaad White WAS (7) | Jake Ferguson DAL (14) | Kenny Gainwell TB (10) | Chuba Hubbard CAR (5) | Rico Dowdle PIT (9) | Quentin Johnston LAC (7) | RJ Harvey DEN (10) | Brock Purdy SF (8) | DK Metcalf PIT (9) | Brian Thomas JAC (7) | Parker Washington JAC (7) |
| Round 9 | Jaxson Dart NYG (8) | Michael Wilson ARI (14) | Courtland Sutton DEN (10) | Chris Godwin TB (10) | Jayden Reed GB (11) | Michael Pittman PIT (9) | J.K. Dobbins DEN (10) | Makai Lemon PHI (10) | Jakobi Meyers JAC (7) | Wan'Dale Robinson TEN (9) | Dallas Goedert PHI (10) | Jordan Mason MIN (6) |
| Round 10 | Mark Andrews BAL (13) | Tyler Shough NO (8) | Jared Goff DET (6) | Matthew Stafford LAR (11) | Patrick Mahomes KC (5) | Blake Corum LAR (11) | Keaton Mitchell LAC (7) | Chig Okonkwo WAS (7) | Kyle Monangai CHI (10) | Jordan Addison MIN (6) | Dalton Kincaid BUF (7) | Bo Nix DEN (10) |
| Round 11 | Jalen Coker CAR (5) | Kyler Murray MIN (6) | Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS (7) | Juwan Johnson NO (8) | Matthew Golden GB (11) | Baker Mayfield TB (10) | Jaydon Blue DAL (14) | Xavier Worthy KC (5) | Brenton Strange JAC (7) | Aaron Jones MIN (6) | Stefon Diggs FA (-) | Hunter Henry NE (11) |
| Round 12 | Tyrone Tracy NYG (8) | Tyler Allgeier ARI (14) | Jayden Higgins HOU (8) | Chris Rodriguez JAC (7) | Deebo Samuel SF (8) | Oronde Gadsden LAC (7) | Romeo Doubs NE (11) | T.J. Hockenson MIN (6) | Jordan Love GB (11) | Dalton Schultz HOU (8) | Malik Willis MIA (6) | Denzel Boston CLE (11) |
| Round 13 | Greg Dulcich MIA (6) | Jerry Jeudy CLE (11) | Kenyon Sadiq NYJ (13) | Daniel Jones IND (13) | Terrance Ferguson LAR (11) | Sam Darnold SEA (11) | Tank Bigsby PHI (10) | C.J. Stroud HOU (8) | Khalil Shakir BUF (7) | Rashid Shaheed SEA (11) | Ricky Pearsall SF (8) | Bryce Young CAR (5) |
| Round 14 | De'Zhaun Stribling SF (8) | Geno Smith NYJ (13) | Cam Ward TEN (9) | Dylan Sampson CLE (11) | Isiah Pacheco DET (6) | KC Concepcion CLE (11) | Jalen McMillan TB (10) | Tyjae Spears TEN (9) | Zach Charbonnet SEA (11) | Jacoby Brissett ARI (14) | Woody Marks HOU (8) | Jalen Nailor LV (13) |
| Round 15 | Jonah Coleman DEN (10) | Tre Tucker LV (13) | Justice Hill BAL (13) | AJ Barner SEA (11) | Gunnar Helm TEN (9) | Alvin Kamara NO (8) | Ryan Flournoy DAL (14) | Pat Freiermuth PIT (9) | Evan Engram DEN (10) | Travis Hunter JAC (7) | Mike Washington LV (13) | David Njoku LAC (7) |
| Round 16 | Fernando Mendoza LV (13) | George Holani SEA (11) | Jauan Jennings MIN (6) | Tre' Harris LAC (7) | Braelon Allen NYJ (13) | Malik Washington MIA (6) | MarShawn Lloyd GB (11) | Omar Cooper NYJ (13) | Cade Otton TB (10) | Aaron Rodgers PIT (9) | Tank Dell HOU (8) | Cyrus Allen KC (5) |
| Round 17 | Brian Robinson ATL (11) | Adonai Mitchell NYJ (13) | Isaac TeSlaa DET (6) | Rashod Bateman BAL (13) | Tua Tagovailoa ATL (11) | Eli Stowers PHI (10) | Emmett Johnson KC (5) | Ray Davis BUF (7) | Sean Tucker TB (10) | Colby Parkinson LAR (11) | Jake Tonges SF (8) | Jaylen Wright MIA (6) |
| Round 18 | Kayshon Boutte NE (11) | Kaelon Black SF (8) | Samaje Perine CIN (6) | Ja'Kobi Lane BAL (13) | Ted Hurst TB (10) | Elijah Arroyo SEA (11) | Cooper Kupp SEA (11) | Zachariah Branch ATL (11) | Dontayvion Wicks PHI (10) | Kimani Vidal LAC (7) | Jordan James SF (8) | Caleb Douglas MIA (6) |
| Round 19 | Emari Demercado KC (5) | Daniel Bellinger TEN (9) | Ty Johnson BUF (7) | Demond Claiborne MIN (6) | Keon Coleman BUF (7) | Deshaun Watson CLE (11) | Theo Johnson NYG (8) | Mike Gesicki CIN (6) | Tory Horton SEA (11) | Carson Beck ARI (14) | Dawson Knox BUF (7) | Malachi Fields NYG (8) |
| Round 20 | Emanuel Wilson SEA (11) | Jahan Dotson ATL (11) | Germie Bernard PIT (9) | Justin Joly DEN (10) | Antonio Williams WAS (7) | Adam Randall BAL (13) | Ollie Gordon MIA (6) | Pat Bryant DEN (10) | Kaytron Allen WAS (7) | DJ Giddens IND (13) | Erick All CIN (6) | Tyquan Thornton KC (5) |
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Team-by-Team Analysis
Stacking
- Sam Darnold (SEA) anchors a stack with Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, ov 6) and Elijah Arroyo (TE, ov 211) — Smith-Njigba's first-round cost makes this an elite correlation piece.
- Baker Mayfield (TB) pairs with Emeka Egbuka (WR, ov 43), a strong early-round correlation.
- Deshaun Watson (CLE) pairs with KC Concepcion (WR, ov 163), a low-cost late-round addition.
Values / Overpays
- The best value-hunting in the field: KC Concepcion (WR, CLE, ov 163, +27), Alvin Kamara (RB, NO, ov 174, +25), Blake Corum (RB, LAR, ov 115, +20), and Sam Darnold (QB, SEA, ov 150, +12).
- Overpays were modest, topped by Eli Stowers (TE, PHI, ov 198, -18) and Elijah Arroyo (TE, SEA, ov 211, -12).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
A near-complete roster: an elite early-round WR correlation, three distinct same-team stacks, and the best positive value ledger in the draft. Construction (QB3/RB6/WR7/TE4) sits right in the ideal band, with TE depth at the sweet spot for tight-end premium scoring.
Values: 10/10
Construction: 9/10
Stacking: 9/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Trevor Lawrence (JAC) anchors a stack with Jakobi Meyers (WR, ov 105) and Brenton Strange (TE, ov 129).
- Jordan Love (GB) shares a backfield with Josh Jacobs, a QB/RB-only pairing noted for completeness.
Values / Overpays
- Deep running back value: Kaytron Allen (RB, WAS, ov 232, +24), Zach Charbonnet (RB, SEA, ov 160, +14), Jordan Love (QB, GB, ov 136, +14), and Bucky Irving (RB, TB, ov 64, +13).
- Overpaid on Jakobi Meyers (WR, JAC, ov 105, -24) and both of the team's quarterbacks (Brock Purdy, -12; Trevor Lawrence, -9).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
A running-back-rich value profile paired with a legitimate WR/TE correlation gives this roster a high floor. Construction (QB3/RB7/WR6/TE4) leans backfield-heavy but stays within range, and tight end depth sits at the ideal level.
Values: 8/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 7/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Josh Allen (BUF) anchors a double-tight-end stack with Dalton Kincaid (TE, ov 110) and Dawson Knox (TE, ov 227) — a rare correlation shape that leans heavily into tight-end premium scoring.
Values / Overpays
- Strong value throughout: Dallas Goedert (TE, PHI, ov 107, +19), Stefon Diggs (WR, WAS, ov 131, +15), Woody Marks (RB, HOU, ov 158, +13), and Malik Nabers (WR, NYG, ov 38, +11).
- Overpays were contained, led by Mike Washington (RB, LV, ov 179, -18) and Tank Dell (WR, HOU, ov 182, -8).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
Consistent value at nearly every position, headlined by a premium tight end pickup, plus a distinctive dual-TE stack tied to an elite quarterback. Construction (QB2/RB6/WR7/TE5) leans light at quarterback but carries the deepest tight-end room in the field.
Values: 9/10
Construction: 7/10
Stacking: 6/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Matthew Stafford (LAR) pairs with Puka Nacua (WR, ov 4) — Nacua's first-round cost makes this one of the most valuable correlations in the entire draft.
Values / Overpays
- Good value spread: Ja'Kobi Lane (WR, BAL, ov 213, +12), Daniel Jones (QB, IND, ov 148, +12), Tre' Harris (WR, LAC, ov 189, +10), and Matthew Stafford (QB, LAR, ov 117, +9).
- Overpays were minor, topped by Sam LaPorta (TE, DET, ov 52, -10).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
An elite, early-round WR correlation anchors a clean, well-valued roster with few notable reaches. Construction (QB3/RB6/WR7/TE4) sits right in the ideal band, with tight-end depth at the sweet spot.
Values: 7/10
Construction: 9/10
Stacking: 7/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Lamar Jackson (BAL) pairs with Zay Flowers (WR, ov 32), an early-round correlation.
Values / Overpays
- Excellent late-round harvesting: Pat Bryant (WR, DEN, ov 233, +31), Mike Gesicki (TE, CIN, ov 224, +25), Ray Davis (RB, BUF, ov 200, +12), and C.J. Stroud (QB, HOU, ov 152, +10).
- Overpaid modestly, led by Makai Lemon (WR, PHI, ov 104, -15) and Chig Okonkwo (TE, WAS, ov 113, -10).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
Elite value collection in the middle and late rounds, plus a solid early-round WR stack. Construction (QB2/RB5/WR9/TE4) is heavily receiver-loaded, well beyond the optimal range, and quarterback depth is thin, capping the overall grade.
Values: 9/10
Construction: 5/10
Stacking: 7/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Joe Burrow (CIN) anchors a stack with Ja'Marr Chase (WR, ov 3) and Samaje Perine (RB, ov 214) — Chase's first-round cost makes this the single most valuable correlation in the entire draft.
- Jared Goff (DET) pairs with Isaac TeSlaa (WR, ov 195), a low-cost late addition.
- Cam Ward (TEN) pairs with Tony Pollard (RB, ov 75), a mid-round correlation.
Values / Overpays
- Solid value: Cam Ward (QB, TEN, ov 166, +21), Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB, WAS, ov 123, +17), Germie Bernard (WR, PIT, ov 238, +14), and Jared Goff (QB, DET, ov 118, +9).
- Overpaid on tight end depth: Kenyon Sadiq (TE, NYJ, ov 147, -14) and Kyle Pitts (TE, ATL, ov 51, -10), plus Justice Hill (RB, BAL, ov 171, -19).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
The premier same-team correlation in the field — an elite first-round receiver tied to his quarterback — headlines three total stacks, backed by solid value at the skill positions. Construction (QB3/RB7/WR7/TE3) is within range.
Values: 5/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 9/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Caleb Williams (CHI) anchors a stack with Colston Loveland (TE, ov 20) and Rome Odunze (WR, ov 68) — Loveland's early cost makes this a strong tight-end-premium correlation.
Values / Overpays
- Solid value gains: Antonio Williams (WR, WAS, ov 236, +21), Patrick Mahomes (QB, KC, ov 116, +12), Gunnar Helm (TE, TEN, ov 173, +8), and Rome Odunze (WR, CHI, ov 68, +6).
- Overpays were mild, topped by Jayden Reed (WR, GB, ov 101, -12) and Ted Hurst (WR, TB, ov 212, -9).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
A single but genuinely valuable tight-end-anchored stack, paired with steady value across the board and few significant reaches. Construction (QB3/RB6/WR8/TE3) sits at the upper edge of range but remains acceptable.
Values: 6/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 7/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Jaxson Dart (NYG) shares a backfield with Tyrone Tracy, a QB/RB-only pairing noted for completeness rather than a driver of correlation value.
Values / Overpays
- Nice value found: De'Zhaun Stribling (WR, SF, ov 168, +21), Mark Andrews (TE, BAL, ov 120, +20), Brian Robinson (RB, ATL, ov 193, +16), and Tyrone Tracy (RB, NYG, ov 144, +14).
- Overpaid on Jalen Coker (WR, CAR, ov 121, -25), Emari Demercado (RB, KC, ov 217, -13), and Tucker Kraft (TE, GB, ov 48, -12).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
Decent value at tight end and running back, but the roster lacks any meaningful same-team correlation beyond a QB/RB pairing. Construction (QB2/RB8/WR7/TE3) is running-back-heavy, beyond the optimal range.
Values: 7/10
Construction: 6/10
Stacking: 3/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT) pairs with DK Metcalf (WR, ov 87), the roster's only same-team correlation.
Values / Overpays
- Modest value collection: Aaron Rodgers (QB, PIT, ov 183, +10), Aaron Jones (RB, MIN, ov 130, +9), Colby Parkinson (TE, LAR, ov 202, +9), and Kimani Vidal (RB, LAC, ov 207, +7).
- Overpaid heavily at tight end: Travis Kelce (TE, KC, ov 63, -19) and Dalton Schultz (TE, HOU, ov 135, -16), plus Jacoby Brissett (QB, ARI, ov 159, -13).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
A single mid-round stack and a middling value ledger, with the steepest overpays concentrated at tight end. Construction (QB4/RB7/WR6/TE3) is quarterback-heavy at the upper edge of range.
Values: 4/10
Construction: 7/10
Stacking: 5/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Geno Smith (NYJ) pairs with Adonai Mitchell (WR, ov 194), a low-cost late-round correlation.
Values / Overpays
- A few late finds: Kaelon Black (RB, SF, ov 215, +12) and Jahan Dotson (WR, ATL, ov 239, +4).
- Some of the steepest overpays in the field: Jerry Jeudy (WR, CLE, ov 146, -43), Alec Pierce (WR, IND, ov 71, -39), George Holani (RB, SEA, ov 191, -20), and Tyler Allgeier (RB, ARI, ov 143, -14).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
Four significant reaches, two of them severe, drag down an otherwise unremarkable roster with only a single late-round stack. Construction (QB3/RB6/WR8/TE3) is within range but doesn't offset the value deficit.
Values: 1/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 4/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Drake Maye (NE) anchors a stack with A.J. Brown (WR, ov 18) and Romeo Doubs (WR, ov 138) — Brown's early cost makes this an elite correlation piece.
- Justin Herbert (LAC) pairs with Quentin Johnston (WR, ov 90) and Keaton Mitchell (RB, ov 114).
Values / Overpays
- Some late-round running back value: MarShawn Lloyd (RB, GB, ov 186, +28) and Ollie Gordon (RB, MIA, ov 234, +8).
- A severe overpay on Jaydon Blue (RB, DAL, ov 127, -37), plus Keaton Mitchell (RB, LAC, ov 114, -14) and Tank Bigsby (RB, PHI, ov 151, -9).
Bye-Week Concerns
- Tight end depth is a real concern — only 1 other TE remains available for both week 8 and week 13, doubling the risk given the roster carries just 2 tight ends total.
An elite early WR correlation is undercut by a glaring reach at running back and a thin, doubly-exposed tight end room. Construction (QB2/RB7/WR9/TE2) is receiver-heavy and critically light at tight end, a real problem in a tight-end-premium format.
Values: 3/10
Construction: 3/10
Stacking: 8/10
Byes: 5/10
Stacking
- No same-team QB correlations were found on this roster.
Values / Overpays
- A handful of modest values: Parker Washington (WR, JAC, ov 85, +20) and Luther Burden (WR, CHI, ov 60, +9).
- Heavy overpays dominate: Denzel Boston (WR, CLE, ov 133, -29), Jaylen Wright (RB, MIA, ov 204, -22), Harold Fannin (TE, CLE, ov 37, -19), and Caleb Douglas (WR, MIA, ov 205, -18).
Bye-Week Concerns
- Tight end depth is thin for week 11 — only 1 other TE remains available that week.
The complete absence of any same-team correlation, combined with some of the steepest and most frequent overpays in the field and a tight-end bye-week pinch, leaves this roster with the lowest projected outlook. Construction (QB3/RB5/WR9/TE3) is receiver-heavy, beyond the optimal range.
Values: 2/10
Construction: 6/10
Stacking: 1/10
Byes: 7/10