Pros vs Joes 2026 - "Three and Out" - Draft #5 - Monday 8/3 Analysis
Ordered by projected overall finish (best to worst).
Draft Board
| Pros vs Joes 2026 - "Three and Out" - Draft #5 - Monday 8/3 |
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| | Parenzuela / Hanstein (Joe) | Williamson (Pro) | Mills (Joe) | McFarland (Pro) | Huang (Joe) | Hansen (Pro) | Turner / Herbert (Joe) | Boone (Pro) | Crudele / Doubleday (Joe) | Davenport (Pro) | Flake / Nichols (Joe) | Gutierrez (Pro) |
| Round 1 | Jahmyr Gibbs DET (6) | Bijan Robinson ATL (11) | Ja'Marr Chase CIN (6) | Puka Nacua LAR (11) | Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA (11) | Amon-Ra St. Brown DET (6) | Ashton Jeanty LV (13) | Brock Bowers LV (13) | Christian McCaffrey SF (8) | James Cook BUF (7) | Omarion Hampton LAC (7) | Jonathan Taylor IND (13) |
| Round 2 | Tyler Warren IND (13) | A.J. Brown NE (11) | Colston Loveland CHI (10) | Malik Nabers NYG (8) | Kenneth Walker KC (5) | Derrick Henry BAL (13) | Trey McBride ARI (14) | De'Von Achane MIA (6) | Justin Jefferson MIN (6) | Saquon Barkley PHI (10) | CeeDee Lamb DAL (14) | Chase Brown CIN (6) |
| Round 3 | Drake London ATL (11) | Jeremiyah Love ARI (14) | Breece Hall NYJ (13) | Nico Collins HOU (8) | Rashee Rice KC (5) | Cam Skattebo NYG (8) | DeVonta Smith PHI (10) | George Pickens DAL (14) | Josh Jacobs GB (11) | Chris Olave NO (8) | Javonte Williams DAL (14) | Zay Flowers BAL (13) |
| Round 4 | Bhayshul Tuten JAC (7) | Garrett Wilson NYJ (13) | Travis Etienne NO (8) | Luther Burden CHI (10) | Tetairoa McMillan CAR (5) | Terry McLaurin WAS (7) | Josh Allen BUF (7) | Kyren Williams LAR (11) | Tee Higgins CIN (6) | Jaylen Waddle DEN (10) | Emeka Egbuka TB (10) | Ladd McConkey LAC (7) |
| Round 5 | Harold Fannin CLE (11) | Mike Evans SF (8) | Jameson Williams DET (6) | Tucker Kraft GB (11) | Kyle Pitts ATL (11) | David Montgomery HOU (8) | DJ Moore BUF (7) | D'Andre Swift CHI (10) | Quinshon Judkins CLE (11) | Christian Watson GB (11) | Rome Odunze CHI (10) | Carnell Tate TEN (9) |
| Round 6 | Caleb Williams CHI (10) | Drake Maye NE (11) | Jaylen Warren PIT (9) | Jadarian Price SEA (11) | Bucky Irving TB (10) | Brian Thomas JAC (7) | Davante Adams LAR (11) | Parker Washington JAC (7) | Joe Burrow CIN (6) | TreVeyon Henderson NE (11) | Sam LaPorta DET (6) | Lamar Jackson BAL (13) |
| Round 7 | Marvin Harrison ARI (14) | George Kittle SF (8) | Alec Pierce IND (13) | Jayden Daniels WAS (7) | Jordyn Tyson NO (8) | Trevor Lawrence JAC (7) | Tony Pollard TEN (9) | Jalen Hurts PHI (10) | Isaiah Likely NYG (8) | Jonathon Brooks CAR (5) | Dak Prescott DAL (14) | Travis Kelce KC (5) |
| Round 8 | Chris Godwin TB (10) | Dallas Goedert PHI (10) | Jaxson Dart NYG (8) | Josh Downs IND (13) | Kenny Gainwell TB (10) | Rico Dowdle PIT (9) | Chuba Hubbard CAR (5) | DK Metcalf PIT (9) | Quentin Johnston LAC (7) | Brock Purdy SF (8) | Justin Herbert LAC (7) | Rhamondre Stevenson NE (11) |
| Round 9 | Rachaad White WAS (7) | Dalton Kincaid BUF (7) | Courtland Sutton DEN (10) | RJ Harvey DEN (10) | Patrick Mahomes KC (5) | Mark Andrews BAL (13) | Matthew Stafford LAR (11) | Makai Lemon PHI (10) | Blake Corum LAR (11) | Jake Ferguson DAL (14) | Jordan Mason MIN (6) | Jayden Reed GB (11) |
| Round 10 | Baker Mayfield TB (10) | J.K. Dobbins DEN (10) | Juwan Johnson NO (8) | Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS (7) | Bo Nix DEN (10) | Brenton Strange JAC (7) | Aaron Jones MIN (6) | Michael Wilson ARI (14) | Kyler Murray MIN (6) | Wan'Dale Robinson TEN (9) | Michael Pittman PIT (9) | Chig Okonkwo WAS (7) |
| Round 11 | Matthew Golden GB (11) | Jared Goff DET (6) | Jakobi Meyers JAC (7) | Jordan Love GB (11) | Xavier Worthy KC (5) | Tyler Shough NO (8) | Jordan Addison MIN (6) | Malik Willis MIA (6) | Kyle Monangai CHI (10) | Romeo Doubs NE (11) | T.J. Hockenson MIN (6) | KC Concepcion CLE (11) |
| Round 12 | Woody Marks HOU (8) | Keaton Mitchell LAC (7) | Daniel Jones IND (13) | Kenyon Sadiq NYJ (13) | Tyrone Tracy NYG (8) | Jalen Coker CAR (5) | Zach Charbonnet SEA (11) | Stefon Diggs FA (-) | Hunter Henry NE (11) | Sam Darnold SEA (11) | Chris Rodriguez JAC (7) | Cam Ward TEN (9) |
| Round 13 | Khalil Shakir BUF (7) | Jayden Higgins HOU (8) | Rashid Shaheed SEA (11) | Tyjae Spears TEN (9) | C.J. Stroud HOU (8) | Greg Dulcich MIA (6) | Oronde Gadsden LAC (7) | Terrance Ferguson LAR (11) | Jalen McMillan TB (10) | Dalton Schultz HOU (8) | De'Zhaun Stribling SF (8) | Tre Tucker LV (13) |
| Round 14 | Jaydon Blue DAL (14) | MarShawn Lloyd GB (11) | Tyler Allgeier ARI (14) | Dylan Sampson CLE (11) | Gunnar Helm TEN (9) | Jerry Jeudy CLE (11) | Jacoby Brissett ARI (14) | Jonah Coleman DEN (10) | Jalen Nailor LV (13) | Tank Bigsby PHI (10) | Deebo Samuel SF (8) | Alvin Kamara NO (8) |
| Round 15 | Travis Hunter JAC (7) | Denzel Boston CLE (11) | Omar Cooper NYJ (13) | Aaron Rodgers PIT (9) | AJ Barner SEA (11) | Kaelon Black SF (8) | Isiah Pacheco DET (6) | Adonai Mitchell NYJ (13) | Bryce Young CAR (5) | Ryan Flournoy DAL (14) | Rashod Bateman BAL (13) | Antonio Williams WAS (7) |
| Round 16 | Cyrus Allen KC (5) | Demond Claiborne MIN (6) | Michael Mayer LV (13) | Zachariah Branch ATL (11) | Tre' Harris LAC (7) | Calvin Ridley TEN (9) | Tank Dell HOU (8) | Fernando Mendoza LV (13) | Cade Otton TB (10) | Geno Smith NYJ (13) | David Njoku LAC (7) | Malik Washington MIA (6) |
| Round 17 | Kaytron Allen WAS (7) | Isaac TeSlaa DET (6) | Emari Demercado KC (5) | Pat Freiermuth PIT (9) | Brian Robinson ATL (11) | Tua Tagovailoa ATL (11) | Mike Gesicki CIN (6) | Dontayvion Wicks PHI (10) | Darnell Mooney NYG (8) | Colby Parkinson LAR (11) | Shedeur Sanders CLE (11) | Braelon Allen NYJ (13) |
| Round 18 | Evan Engram DEN (10) | Keon Coleman BUF (7) | Keenan Allen FA (-) | Kayshon Boutte NE (11) | Sean Tucker TB (10) | Jordan James SF (8) | Ted Hurst TB (10) | Ray Davis BUF (7) | Pat Bryant DEN (10) | Christian Kirk SF (8) | Nicholas Singleton TEN (9) | Jauan Jennings MIN (6) |
| Round 19 | James Conner ARI (14) | Michael Penix ATL (11) | Ty Johnson BUF (7) | Justice Hill BAL (13) | Jaylin Noel HOU (8) | Germie Bernard PIT (9) | Nick Westbrook-Ikhine IND (13) | Mike Washington LV (13) | Tory Horton SEA (11) | Kimani Vidal LAC (7) | George Holani SEA (11) | Tyquan Thornton KC (5) |
| Round 20 | Emmett Johnson KC (5) | J.J. McCarthy MIN (6) | John Metchie CAR (5) | Eli Stowers PHI (10) | Charlie Kolar LAC (7) | Devaughn Vele NO (8) | Chris Bell MIA (6) | Erick All CIN (6) | Elijah Sarratt BAL (13) | Mac Jones SF (8) | Jake Tonges SF (8) | Ja'Tavion Sanders CAR (5) |
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Team-by-Team Analysis
Stacking
- Built the deepest correlation play in the field: Patrick Mahomes (KC) anchors a three-piece stack with Kenneth Walker (RB, ov 20), Rashee Rice (WR, ov 29), and Xavier Worthy (WR, ov 125) — Rice's early cost makes this a high-upside correlation package.
- A secondary stack pairs C.J. Stroud (HOU) with Jaylin Noel (WR, ov 221), a low-cost dart throw late.
Values / Overpays
- Elite value across the board: Brian Robinson (RB, ATL, ov 197, +22), Bucky Irving (RB, TB, ov 68, +14), AJ Barner (TE, SEA, ov 173, +14), and Charlie Kolar (TE, LAC, ov 236, +9).
- Very few reaches — the steepest was Kyle Pitts (TE, ATL, ov 53, -9), a minor cost relative to the discounts collected elsewhere.
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues; every position retains ample coverage across all weeks.
A near flawless build — value at nearly every pick, a genuine three-man stack anchored by an early WR, and clean roster construction (QB3/RB6/WR7/TE4, right in the sweet spot for TE depth). The floor here is exceptionally high.
Values: 10/10
Construction: 9/10
Stacking: 9/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Jordan Love (GB) pairs with Tucker Kraft (TE, ov 52), a mid-round correlation with real upside given TE-premium scoring.
- Aaron Rodgers (PIT) pairs with Pat Freiermuth (TE, ov 196) as a cheap, late-round correlation.
- Jayden Daniels (WAS) shares a backfield with Jacory Croskey-Merritt, though that pairing is a QB/RB-only correlation and is noted here for completeness rather than counted as impactful stacking value.
Values / Overpays
- Outstanding late-round harvesting: Eli Stowers (TE, PHI, ov 237, +32), Justice Hill (RB, BAL, ov 220, +29), and Pat Freiermuth (TE, PIT, ov 196, +25) all came at huge discounts.
- Notable reaches: Zachariah Branch (WR, ATL, ov 189, -22) and Josh Downs (WR, IND, ov 93, -15).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
Elite discount-shopping throughout, particularly at TE, paired with two legitimate same-team correlations. Roster construction (QB3/RB6/WR7/TE4) sits right in the ideal band. A few early reaches at WR are the only blemish on an otherwise excellent build.
Values: 9/10
Construction: 9/10
Stacking: 7/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Three separate correlations: Josh Allen (BUF) with DJ Moore (WR, ov 55); Matthew Stafford (LAR) with Davante Adams (WR, ov 66); and Jacoby Brissett (ARI) with Trey McBride (TE, ov 18) — the McBride pairing is especially notable given how early McBride was taken relative to his backup QB.
Values / Overpays
- Strong value mining: Isiah Pacheco (RB, DET, ov 175, +19), Oronde Gadsden (TE, LAC, ov 151, +18), Davante Adams (WR, LAR, ov 66, +10), and Josh Allen (QB, BUF, ov 42, +9).
- Overpays were modest: Ted Hurst (WR, TB, ov 210, -18) and Tank Dell (WR, HOU, ov 186, -8) were the steepest.
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
Three distinct same-team correlations, headlined by an elite early TE tied to a stack, plus solid value throughout the middle and late rounds. Construction (QB3/RB6/WR8/TE3) sits at the upper edge of the range but remains within it.
Values: 8/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 9/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Jalen Hurts (PHI) anchors a stack with Makai Lemon (WR, ov 104) and Dontayvion Wicks (WR, ov 200).
- Fernando Mendoza (LV) pairs with Brock Bowers (TE, ov 8) — Bowers' first-round cost makes this an exceptionally valuable correlation despite the late-round QB piece — and also with Mike Washington (RB, ov 224).
- Malik Willis (MIA) shares a backfield with De'Von Achane, a QB/RB-only pairing noted for completeness.
Values / Overpays
- Consistent RB value: Mike Washington (RB, LV, ov 224, +17), Ray Davis (RB, BUF, ov 209, +16), D'Andre Swift (RB, CHI, ov 56, +9), and Kyren Williams (RB, LAR, ov 41, +7).
- Overpays were contained, topped by Adonai Mitchell (WR, NYJ, ov 176, -16).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
A well-rounded build anchored by an elite TE stack and a deep, value-laden running back room. Construction (QB3/RB6/WR8/TE3) is within range, and the correlation profile is one of the best in the field.
Values: 6/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 9/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Joe Burrow (CIN) pairs with Tee Higgins (WR, ov 40), a strong early-round correlation.
- Kyler Murray (MIN) pairs with Justin Jefferson (WR, ov 16) — an elite, first-two-round correlation piece.
Values / Overpays
- Solid discounts: Kyle Monangai (RB, CHI, ov 129, +23), Bryce Young (QB, CAR, ov 177, +21), and Cade Otton (TE, TB, ov 184, +15).
- Overpaid at receiver repeatedly: Pat Bryant (WR, DEN, ov 208, -18), Darnell Mooney (WR, NYG, ov 201, -15), and Jalen Nailor (WR, LV, ov 160, -13).
Bye-Week Concerns
- Running back group thins out in week 11 — only 2 other RBs remain available that week.
Two premium same-team correlations, including a top-tier WR pairing, offset by a run of late receiver reaches. Roster is WR-heavy (9), pushing beyond the optimal range, but the value and stacking upside carry the build.
Values: 7/10
Construction: 6/10
Stacking: 9/10
Byes: 7/10
Stacking
- Drake Maye (NE) pairs with A.J. Brown (WR, ov 23), an early and valuable correlation.
- Jared Goff (DET) pairs with Isaac TeSlaa (WR, ov 194), a low-cost late-round pairing.
- Michael Penix (ATL) and J.J. McCarthy (MIN) each share a backfield with a same-team RB, but both are QB/RB-only pairings noted for completeness.
Values / Overpays
- Solid value found late: J.K. Dobbins (RB, DEN, ov 119, +19), Jared Goff (QB, DET, ov 122, +14), and Keaton Mitchell (RB, LAC, ov 143, +8).
- Overpaid on a run of speculative pieces: Demond Claiborne (RB, MIN, ov 191, -16), Keon Coleman (WR, BUF, ov 215, -14), and Michael Penix (QB, ATL, ov 218, -10).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
A clean, balanced build (QB4/RB6/WR7/TE3, all within range) with an early, meaningful WR stack. Value and overpays largely offset one another, leaving a roster with a solid floor but limited standout upside.
Values: 5/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 7/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Dak Prescott (DAL) anchors a stack with CeeDee Lamb (WR, ov 14) and Javonte Williams (RB, ov 35) — both pieces came very early, making this one of the highest-value stacks in the draft.
- Justin Herbert (LAC) anchors a second stack with Omarion Hampton (RB, ov 11) and David Njoku (TE, ov 182).
Values / Overpays
- Big late-round scores: Jake Tonges (TE, SF, ov 230, +24), George Holani (RB, SEA, ov 227, +20), and Deebo Samuel (WR, SF, ov 158, +13).
- Costly reaches offset the gains: Rashod Bateman (WR, BAL, ov 179, -30) and Shedeur Sanders (QB, CLE, ov 203, -14).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
Two of the best-constructed multi-piece stacks in the field, both anchored by early first-round-caliber skill talent, give this roster serious correlation upside. Construction (QB3/RB6/WR7/TE4) is right in the ideal range, though a handful of significant reaches temper the overall value grade.
Values: 3/10
Construction: 9/10
Stacking: 9/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Both Brock Purdy and Mac Jones share Christian Kirk (WR, ov 207) as a common receiver, giving the roster a QB-depth correlation around a single, late-round wideout.
Values / Overpays
- Nice value at the margins: Kimani Vidal (RB, LAC, ov 226, +22), TreVeyon Henderson (RB, NE, ov 63, +9), Jake Ferguson (TE, DAL, ov 106, +9), and Geno Smith (QB, NYJ, ov 183, +8).
- Overpaid most on Christian Kirk (WR, SF, ov 207, -18) and Romeo Doubs (WR, NE, ov 130, -11).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
Steady value on the ground and at tight end, but the only same-team correlation ties back to a single low-cost receiver shared by two backup-caliber quarterbacks, limiting the stacking upside. Construction (QB4/RB6/WR7/TE3) is within range.
Values: 6/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 4/10
Byes: 10/10
Stacking
- Trevor Lawrence (JAC) anchors a stack with Brian Thomas (WR, ov 67) and Brenton Strange (TE, ov 115).
- Tyler Shough (NO) pairs with Devaughn Vele (WR, ov 235), a low-cost, late-round correlation.
Values / Overpays
- Modest value gains led by Tyler Shough (QB, NO, ov 126, +9) and Germie Bernard (WR, PIT, ov 222, +7).
- Significant overpays dominate: Kaelon Black (RB, SF, ov 174, -26), Jerry Jeudy (WR, CLE, ov 163, -24), and Trevor Lawrence (QB, JAC, ov 78, -10).
Bye-Week Concerns
- Running back group thins out in week 8 — only 2 other RBs remain available that week.
A quality WR/TE stack anchored by an early receiver is undercut by some of the steepest overpays in the field. Construction (QB3/RB6/WR8/TE3) sits at the upper edge of range but remains acceptable.
Values: 2/10
Construction: 8/10
Stacking: 8/10
Byes: 7/10
Stacking
- Baker Mayfield (TB) pairs with Chris Godwin (WR, ov 96), a solid mid-round correlation, but it's the only same-team pairing on the roster.
Values / Overpays
- Two standout late finds: Emmett Johnson (RB, KC, ov 240, +48) and Evan Engram (TE, DEN, ov 216, +29) — among the best individual values in the entire draft.
- Overpaid notably on Cyrus Allen (WR, KC, ov 192, -23), Matthew Golden (WR, GB, ov 121, -9), and Tyler Warren (TE, IND, ov 24, -9).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No quarterback remains available for week 10 — both QBs on the roster share that bye.
A pair of elite late-round finds is the highlight, but a single stack, a top-heavy running back group (8 RBs, beyond the optimal range), and a total quarterback blackout in week 10 hold this roster back.
Values: 5/10
Construction: 6/10
Stacking: 5/10
Byes: 5/10
Stacking
- Lamar Jackson (BAL) pairs with Zay Flowers (WR, ov 36), an early and valuable correlation.
- Cam Ward (TEN) pairs with Carnell Tate (WR, ov 60), a solid mid-round pairing.
Values / Overpays
- Nice value with Jauan Jennings (WR, MIN, ov 205, +22), Braelon Allen (RB, NYJ, ov 204, +12), and Rhamondre Stevenson (RB, NE, ov 85, +10).
- Notable overpays: Malik Washington (WR, MIA, ov 181, -19), Tre Tucker (WR, LV, ov 156, -16), and Cam Ward (QB, TEN, ov 133, -11).
Bye-Week Concerns
- Only one tight end remains available for week 5 — a real risk if the primary starter is on bye that week.
Two solid early-to-mid WR stacks provide correlation value, but the roster is heavily receiver-loaded (10 WRs, well beyond the optimal range) at the expense of depth elsewhere, and the tight end room carries real bye-week risk.
Values: 4/10
Construction: 4/10
Stacking: 7/10
Byes: 6/10
Stacking
- Daniel Jones (IND) pairs with Alec Pierce (WR, ov 75), the roster's only same-team correlation.
Values / Overpays
- A single standout value in John Metchie (WR, CAR, ov 238, +19), with only modest gains elsewhere.
- Heavy overpays dominate the roster: Emari Demercado (RB, KC, ov 195, -29), Michael Mayer (TE, LV, ov 190, -27), Alec Pierce (WR, IND, ov 75, -16), and Omar Cooper (WR, NYJ, ov 171, -10).
Bye-Week Concerns
- No meaningful concentration issues across any position.
The steepest and most frequent overpays in the field, a receiver-heavy build (9 WRs, beyond the optimal range), and only a single meaningful stack leave this roster with the lowest projected outlook in the league.
Values: 1/10
Construction: 6/10
Stacking: 5/10
Byes: 10/10